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Suppose an online platform wants to compare a treatment and control policy, e.g., two different matching algorithms in a ridesharing system, or two different inventory management algorithms in an online retail site. Standard randomized…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-27 Peter Glynn , Ramesh Johari , Mohammad Rasouli

Causal inference is a fundamental research topic for discovering the cause-effect relationships in many disciplines. However, not all algorithms are equally well-suited for a given dataset. For instance, some approaches may only be able to…

Counterfactual learning has become promising for understanding and modeling causality in complex and dynamic systems. This paper presents a novel method for counterfactual learning in the context of multivariate time series analysis and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-03 Gianlucca Zuin , Adriano Veloso

Claiming causal inferences in network settings necessitates careful consideration of the often complex dependency between outcomes for actors. Of particular importance are treatment spillover or outcome interference effects. We consider…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-18 Duncan A. Clark , Mark S. Handcock

We study the problem of deriving policies, or rules, that when enacted on a complex system, cause a desired outcome. Absent the ability to perform controlled experiments, such rules have to be inferred from past observations of the system's…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-09-09 Kailash Budhathoki , Mario Boley , Jilles Vreeken

Recent advances in genotyping technology have delivered a wealth of genetic data, which is rapidly advancing our understanding of the underlying genetic architecture of complex diseases. Mendelian Randomization (MR) leverages such genetic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-19 Wenhao Cao , Saonli Basu

Graphical Markov models combine conditional independence constraints with graphical representations of stepwise data generating processes.The models started to be formulated about 40 years ago and vigorous development is ongoing.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-10-12 Nanny Wermuth

Studying the neurological, genetic and evolutionary basis of human vocal communication mechanisms using animal vocalization models is an important field of neuroscience. The data sets typically comprise structured sequences of syllables or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-12-20 Abhra Sarkar , Jonathan Chabout , Joshua Jones Macopson , Erich D. Jarvis , David B. Dunson

In multivariate statistics, the question of finding direct interactions can be formulated as a problem of network inference - or network reconstruction - for which the Gaussian graphical model (GGM) provides a canonical framework.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-06-11 Julien Chiquet , Mahendra Mariadassou , Stéphane Robin

We develop a model-based methodology for integrating gene-set information with an experimentally-derived gene list. The methodology uses a previously reported sampling model, but takes advantage of natural constraints in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-06-02 Zhishi Wang , Qiuling He , Bret Larget , Michael A. Newton

We introduce causal inference reasoning to cross-over trials, with a focus on Thorough QT (TQT) studies. For such trials, we propose different sets of assumptions and consider their impact on the modelling strategy and estimation procedure.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-05-31 Jeppe Ekstrand Halkjær Madsen , Thomas Scheike , Christian Pipper

This paper introduces a Bayesian framework that combines Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling, dimensionality reduction, and neural density estimation to efficiently handle inverse problems that (i) must be solved multiple times, and…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2026-02-24 Giacomo Bottacini , Matteo Torzoni , Andrea Manzoni

With the proliferation of screening tools for chemical testing, it is now possible to create vast databases of chemicals easily. However, rigorous statistical methodologies employed to analyse these databases are in their infancy, and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-11-26 Arron Gosnell , Evangelos Evangelou

Inferring the causal relationships among a set of variables in the form of a directed acyclic graph (DAG) is an important but notoriously challenging problem. Recently, advancements in high-throughput genomic perturbation screens have…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-03 Seong Woo Han , Daniel Duy Vo , Brielin C. Brown

A major goal in genomics is to properly capture the complex dynamical behaviors of gene regulatory networks (GRNs). This includes inferring the complex interactions between genes, which can be used for a wide range of genomics analyses,…

分子网络 · 定量生物学 2023-01-18 Mohammad Alali , Mahdi Imani

Genome-wide association studies (GWASs) have been extensively adopted to depict the underlying genetic architecture of complex diseases. Motivated by GWASs' limitations in identifying small effect loci to understand complex traits'…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-09 Xinran Qi , Michael E. Belloy , Jiaqi Gu , Xiaoxia Liu , Hua Tang , Zihuai He

In bipartite causal inference with interference, interventional units might receive treatment or control, and they might affect the outcome of outcome units through their connections on a bipartite network. We study bipartite causal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-18 Zhaoyan Song , Georgia Papadogeorgou

Estimating causal relations is vital in understanding the complex interactions in multivariate time series. Non-linear coupling of variables is one of the major challenges inaccurate estimation of cause-effect relations. In this paper, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-19 Wasim Ahmad , Maha Shadaydeh , Joachim Denzler

Improved communication systems, shrinking battery sizes and the price drop of tracking devices have led to an increasing availability of trajectory tracking data. These data are often analyzed to understand animal behavior. In this work, we…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-09-12 Gianluca Mastrantonio , Clara Grazian , Sara Mancinelli , Enrico Bibbona

Machine learning algorithms have been applied to predict agent behaviors in real-world dynamic systems, such as advertiser behaviors in sponsored search and worker behaviors in crowdsourcing. The behavior data in these systems are generated…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-07-14 Fei Tian , Haifang Li , Wei Chen , Tao Qin , Enhong Chen , Tie-Yan Liu