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We propose a general and scalable approximate sampling strategy for probabilistic models with discrete variables. Our approach uses gradients of the likelihood function with respect to its discrete inputs to propose updates in a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-08 Will Grathwohl , Kevin Swersky , Milad Hashemi , David Duvenaud , Chris J. Maddison

We investigate a generic problem of learning pairwise exponential family graphical models with pairwise sufficient statistics defined by a global mapping function, e.g., Mercer kernels. This subclass of pairwise graphical models allow us to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2013-11-25 Xiao-Tong Yuan , Ping Li , Tong Zhang

Scientists continue to develop increasingly complex mechanistic models to reflect their knowledge more realistically. Statistical inference using these models can be challenging since the corresponding likelihood function is often…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-01-07 Joshua J Bon , David J Warne , David J Nott , Christopher Drovandi

Generalized linear models (GLMs) arguably represent the standard approach for statistical regression beyond the Gaussian likelihood scenario. When Bayesian formulations are employed, the general absence of a tractable posterior distribution…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-07-03 Niccolò Anceschi , Augusto Fasano , Beatrice Franzolini , Giovanni Rebaudo

Fitting mixed models to complex survey data is a challenging problem. Most methods in the literature, including the most widely used one, require a close relationship between the model structure and the survey design. In this paper we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-23 Thomas Lumley , Xudong Huang

This paper is about models for a vector of probabilities whose elements must have a multiplicative structure and sum to 1 at the same time; in certain applications, as basket analysis, these models may be seen as a constrained version of…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-04-17 Antonio Forcina

While the theory of operator approximation with any given accuracy is well elaborated, the theory of {best constrained} constructive operator approximation is still not so well developed. Despite increasing demands from applications this…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-11-09 Anatoli Torokhti , Pablo Soto-Quiros

We propose an approach for fitting linear regression models that splits the set of covariates into groups. The optimal split of the variables into groups and the regularized estimation of the regression coefficients are performed by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-12-13 Anthony Christidis , Ruben Zamar , Laks V. S. Lakshmanan , Ezequiel Smucler

Subset selection in multiple linear regression aims to choose a subset of candidate explanatory variables that tradeoff fitting error (explanatory power) and model complexity (number of variables selected). We build mathematical programming…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-09-04 Young Woong Park , Diego Klabjan

Joint models of longitudinal and event-time data have been extensively studied and applied in many different fields. Estimation of joint models is challenging, most present procedures are computational expensive and have a strict…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-09-05 Yanqiao Zheng , Xiaobing Zhao , Xiaoqi Zhang

The nonlinear inverse problem of exponential data fitting is separable since the fitting function is a linear combination of parameterized exponential functions, thus allowing to solve for the linear coefficients separately from the…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-06-13 Annie Cuyt , Wen-shin Lee

Consider the problem of imputing missing values in a dataset. One the one hand, conventional approaches using iterative imputation benefit from the simplicity and customizability of learning conditional distributions directly, but suffer…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-06-17 Daniel Jarrett , Bogdan Cebere , Tennison Liu , Alicia Curth , Mihaela van der Schaar

This paper generalises the exponential family GLM to allow arbitrary distributions for the response variable. This is achieved by combining the model-assisted regression approach from survey sampling with the GLM scoring algorithm, weighted…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-10 Murray Aitkin

The current data explosion poses great challenges to the approximate aggregation with an efficiency and accuracy. To address this problem, we propose a novel approach to calculate the aggregation answers with a high accuracy using only a…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2019-01-23 Shanshan Han , Hongzhi Wang , Jialin Wan , Jianzhong Li

We present a new and general method of weighted least square univariate regression where the dependent variable is expanded as a series of suitably chosen functions of the independent variables. Each term of the series is obtained by an…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-03-26 Nilotpal Kanti Sinha

We suggest a simple adaptive step-size procedure, which does not require any line-search, for a general class of nonlinear optimization methods and prove convergence of a general method under mild assumptions. In particular, the goal…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-03-05 Igor Konnov

This paper considers the problem of iterative Bayesian smoothing in nonlinear state-space models with additive noise using Gaussian approximations. Iterative methods are known to improve smoothed estimates but are not guaranteed to…

We analyse and explain the increased generalisation performance of iterate averaging using a Gaussian process perturbation model between the true and batch risk surface on the high dimensional quadratic. We derive three phenomena…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-11-02 Diego Granziol , Xingchen Wan , Samuel Albanie , Stephen Roberts

Regression classes modeling more than the mean of the response have found a lot of attention in the last years. Expectile regression is a special and computationally convenient case of this family of models. Expectiles offer a quantile-like…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-12-19 Elisabeth Waldmann , Fabian Sobotka , Thomas Kneib

In this paper we consider estimation of sparse covariance matrices and propose a thresholding procedure which is adaptive to the variability of individual entries. The estimators are fully data driven and enjoy excellent performance both…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-02-14 Tony Cai , Weidong Liu