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Identifying an appropriate covariance function is one of the primary interests in spatial and spatio-temporal statistics because it allows researchers to analyze the dependence structure of the random process. For this purpose, spatial…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-04 Jongwook Kim , Chunfeng Huang , Nicholas Bussberg

Accurate stochastic simulations of hourly precipitation are needed for impact studies at local spatial scales. Statistically, hourly precipitation data represent a difficult challenge. They are non-negative, skewed, heavy tailed, contain a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-06-22 Erwan Koch , Philippe Naveau

The rising air temperature caused by Urban Heat Island (UHI) effect has become a problem for Singapore, it not only affects the thermal comfort of outdoor microclimate environment, but also increases the cooling energy consumption of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-07-23 Zhongqi Yu , Shisheng Chen , Nyuk Hien Wong , Marcel Ignatius , Jiyu Deng , Yueer He , Daniel Jun Chung Hii

A functional time series approach is proposed for investigating spatial correlation in daily maximum temperature forecast errors for 111 cities spread across the U.S. The modelling of spatial correlation is most fruitful for longer forecast…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-23 Phillip A. Jang , David S. Matteson

Historical observations of severe weather and simulated severe weather environments (i.e., features) from the Global Ensemble Forecast System v12 (GEFSv12) Reforecast Dataset (GEFS/R) are used in conjunction to train and test random forest…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-12-19 Aaron J. Hill , Russ S. Schumacher , Israel Jirak

To assess the durability of structures, heat and moisture transport need to be analyzed. To provide a reliable estimation of heat and moisture distribution in a certain structure, one needs to include all available information about the…

数值分析 · 计算机科学 2013-03-19 Anna Kucerova , Jan Sykora

Addressing complex meteorological processes at a fine spatial resolution requires substantial computational resources. To accelerate meteorological simulations, researchers have utilized neural networks to downscale meteorological variables…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-04-30 Jing Hu , Honghu Zhang , Peng Zheng , Jialin Mu , Xiaomeng Huang , Xi Wu

Spatial prediction of weather-elements like temperature, precipitation, and barometric pressure are generally based on satellite imagery or data collected at ground-stations. None of these data provide information at a more granular or…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-04-28 Arnab Chakraborty , Soumendra Nath Lahiri , Alyson Wilson

Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) is a well-known method used widely on sequence learning and time series prediction. In this paper we deployed stacked LSTM model in an application of weather forecasting. We propose a 2-layer spatio-temporal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-11-16 Zahra Karevan , Johan A. K. Suykens

Simulation of rainfall over a region for long time-sequences can be very useful for planning and policy-making, especially in India where the economy is heavily reliant on monsoon rainfall. However, such simulations should be able to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-09-04 Adway Mitra

Intense precipitation events are commonly known to be associated with an increased risk of flooding. As a result of the societal and infrastructural risks linked with flooding, extremes of precipitation require careful modelling. Extreme…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-10-06 Paul Sharkey , Hugo C. Winter

Precipitation is a complex physical process that varies in space and time. Predictions and interpolations at unobserved times and/or locations help to solve important problems in many areas. In this paper, we present a hierarchical Bayesian…

应用统计 · 统计学 2013-01-17 Fabio Sigrist , Hans R. Künsch , Werner A. Stahel

We aim to study a finite volume scheme to solve the two dimensional inviscid primitive equations of the atmosphere with humidity and saturation, in presence of topography and subject to physically plausible boundary conditions to the system…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2014-09-18 Arthur Bousquet , Mickaël D. Chekroun , Youngjoon Hong , Roger Temam , Joseph Tribbia

Earth's temperature variability can be partitioned into internal and externally-forced components. Yet, underlying mechanisms and their relative contributions remain insufficiently understood, especially on decadal to centennial timescales.…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-02-01 Maybritt Schillinger , Beatrice Ellerhoff , Robert Scheichl , Kira Rehfeld

Hydroclimatic processes are characterized by heterogeneous spatiotemporal correlation structures and marginal distributions that can be continuous, mixed-type, discrete or even binary. Simulating exactly such processes can greatly improve…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-07-24 Simon Michael Papalexiou

A new stochastic model for daily precipitation occurrence processes observed at multiple locations is developed. The modeling concept is to use the indicator function and the elliptical shape of multivariate Gaussian distribution to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-09-02 Hsien-Wei Chen

Accurate and computationally-viable representations of clouds and turbulence are a long-standing challenge for climate model development. Traditional parameterizations that crudely but efficiently approximate these processes are a leading…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-01-05 Jerry Lin , Mohamed Aziz Bhouri , Tom Beucler , Sungduk Yu , Michael Pritchard

Quantifying the impacts of anthropogenic global warming requires accurate Earth system model (ESM) simulations. Statistical bias correction and downscaling can be applied to reduce errors and increase the resolution of ESMs. However,…

地球物理 · 物理学 2024-06-24 Philipp Hess , Niklas Boers

Power grid expansion planning requires making large investment decisions in the present that will impact the future cost and reliability of a system exposed to wide-ranging uncertainties. Extreme temperatures can pose significant challenges…

Gaussian processes and random fields have a long history, covering multiple approaches to representing spatial and spatio-temporal dependence structures, such as covariance functions, spectral representations, reproducing kernel Hilbert…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-18 Finn Lindgren , David Bolin , Håvard Rue