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Understanding the dynamics of antibody levels is crucial for characterizing the time-dependent response to immune events: either infections or vaccinations. The sequence and timing of these events significantly influence antibody level…

Motivated by applications in movement ecology, in this paper I propose a new class of integrated continuous-time hidden Markov models in which each observation depends on the underlying state of the process over the whole interval since the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-10-01 Paul G Blackwell

Many peak detection algorithms have been proposed for ChIP-seq data analysis, but it is not obvious which method and what parameters are optimal for any given data set. In contrast, peaks can easily be located by visual inspection of…

BIC criterion is widely used by the neural-network community for model selection tasks, although its convergence properties are not always theoretically established. In this paper we will focus on estimating the number of components in a…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-12-18 Madalina Olteanu , Joseph Rynkiewicz

In this work, we propose a model that can be used to infer the behavior of multiple animals. Our proposal is defined as a set of hidden Markov models that are based on the sticky hierarchical Dirichlet process, with a shared base-measure,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-11-12 Gianluca Mastrantonio

The aim of this paper is to propose a methodology for testing general hypothesis in a Markovian setting with random sampling. A discrete Markov chain X is observed at random time intervals $\tau$ k, assumed to be iid with unknown…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-05-25 Flavia Barsotti , Anne Philippe , Paul Rochet

One of the best ways of spotting previously undetected systematic errors in CMB experiments is to compare two independent observations of the same region. We derive a set of tools for comparing and combining CMB data sets, applicable also…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2009-10-07 Max Tegmark

Performing model selection for coupled hidden Markov models (CHMMs) is highly challenging, owing to the large dimension of the hidden state process. Whilst in principle the hidden state process can be marginalized out via forward filtering,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-26 Jake Carson , Trevelyan J. McKinley , Peter Neal , Simon E. F. Spencer

Genetic recombination is one of the most important mechanisms that can generate and maintain diversity, and recombination information plays an important role in population genetic studies. However, the phenomenon of recombination is…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-08-29 Xian Chen , Zhi-Ming Ma , Ying Wang

We present a new algorithm for identifying the transition and emission probabilities of a hidden Markov model (HMM) from the emitted data. Expectation-maximization becomes computationally prohibitive for long observation records, which are…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2018-06-20 Kejun Huang , Xiao Fu , Nicholas D. Sidiropoulos

It is common to conduct causal inference in matched observational studies by proceeding as though treatment assignments within matched sets are assigned uniformly at random and using this distribution as the basis for inference. This…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-14 Samuel D. Pimentel , Yaxuan Huang

We develop Graph-Coupled Hidden Markov Models (GCHMMs) for modeling the spread of infectious disease locally within a social network. Unlike most previous research in epidemiology, which typically models the spread of infection at the level…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2012-10-19 Wen Dong , Alex Pentland , Katherine A. Heller

The use of stochastic models, in effect piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMP), has become increasingly popular especially for the modeling of chemical reactions and cell biophysics. Yet, exact simulation methods, for the…

数值分析 · 数学 2015-04-28 Romain Veltz

State-switching models such as hidden Markov models or Markov-switching regression models are routinely applied to analyse sequences of observations that are driven by underlying non-observable states. Coupled state-switching models extend…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-01 Jennifer Pohle , Roland Langrock , Mihaela van der Schaar , Ruth King , Frants Havmand Jensen

We propose a simple tractable pair hidden Markov model for pairwise sequence alignment that accounts for the presence of short tandem repeats. Using the framework of gain functions, we design several optimization criteria for decoding this…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2013-07-31 Michal Nánási , Tomáš Vinař , Broňa Brejová

We present a hidden Markov model that describes variation in an animal's position associated with varying levels of activity in action potential spike trains of individual place cell neurons. The model incorporates a coarse-graining of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-12-22 Marc Box , Matt W. Jones , Nick Whiteley

Discrete Markov random fields are undirected graphical models that capture complex conditional dependencies between discrete variables. Conducting exact posterior inference in these models is often computationally challenging because…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-10 Giuseppe Arena , Maarten Marsman

This work approaches human chromosome mapping by developing algorithms for ordering markers associated with radiation hybrid data. Motivated by recent work of Boehnke et al. [1], we formulate the ordering problem by developing stochastic…

adap-org · 物理学 2009-10-28 C. T. Falk , H. Falk

We introduce a probabilistic framework for two-sample comparison based on a nonparametric process taking the form of a Markov model that transitions between a "divide" and a "merge" state on a multi-resolution partition tree of the sample…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-05-30 Jacopo Soriano , Li Ma

To investigate interactions between parasite species in a host, a population of field voles was studied longitudinally, with presence or absence of six different parasites measured repeatedly. Although trapping sessions were regular, a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2013-01-29 Chris Sherlock , Tatiana Xifara , Sandra Telfer , Mike Begon