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The declining response rates in probability surveys along with the widespread availability of unstructured data has led to growing research into non-probability samples. Existing robust approaches are not well-developed for non-Gaussian…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-29 Ali Rafei , Michael R. Elliott , Carol A. C. Flannagan

We present and describe the GPFDA package for R. The package provides flexible functionalities for dealing with Gaussian process regression (GPR) models for functional data. Multivariate functional data, functional data with…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-02-02 Evandro Konzen , Yafeng Cheng , Jian Qing Shi

We propose a simple method that combines neural networks and Gaussian processes. The proposed method can estimate the uncertainty of outputs and flexibly adjust target functions where training data exist, which are advantages of Gaussian…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-07-20 Tomoharu Iwata , Zoubin Ghahramani

In this paper, we explore the application of Gaussian Processes (GPs) for predicting mean-reverting time series with an underlying structure, using relatively unexplored functional and augmented data structures. While many conventional…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-03-05 Narayan Tondapu

This paper presents an efficient variational inference framework for deriving a family of structured gaussian process regression network (SGPRN) models. The key idea is to incorporate auxiliary inducing variables in latent functions and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-19 Rui Meng , Herbie Lee , Kristofer Bouchard

Many biological characteristics of evolutionary interest are not scalar variables but continuous functions. Here we use phylogenetic Gaussian process regression to model the evolution of simulated function-valued traits. Given…

Gaussian processes occupy one of the leading places in modern statistics and probability theory due to their importance and a wealth of strong results. The common use of Gaussian processes is in connection with problems related to…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-02-01 Zexun Chen , Jun Fan , Kuo Wang

Gaussian Process State Space Models (GP-SSMs) are a non-parametric model class suitable to represent nonlinear dynamics. They become increasingly popular in data-driven modeling approaches, i.e. when no first-order physics-based models are…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2018-11-19 Thomas Beckers , Sandra Hirche

Bayesian learning using Gaussian processes provides a foundational framework for making decisions in a manner that balances what is known with what could be learned by gathering data. In this dissertation, we develop techniques for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-04-29 Alexander Terenin

Gaussian process models are flexible, Bayesian non-parametric approaches to regression. Properties of multivariate Gaussians mean that they can be combined linearly in the manner of additive models and via a link function (like in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-04-19 Alan D. Saul , James Hensman , Aki Vehtari , Neil D. Lawrence

A latent force model is a Gaussian process with a covariance function inspired by a differential operator. Such covariance function is obtained by performing convolution integrals between Green's functions associated to the differential…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-04-20 Cristian Guarnizo , Mauricio A. Álvarez

Deep kernel learning combines the non-parametric flexibility of kernel methods with the inductive biases of deep learning architectures. We propose a novel deep kernel learning model and stochastic variational inference procedure which…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-11-03 Andrew Gordon Wilson , Zhiting Hu , Ruslan Salakhutdinov , Eric P. Xing

We develop a Bayesian approach to learning from sequential data by using Gaussian processes (GPs) with so-called signature kernels as covariance functions. This allows to make sequences of different length comparable and to rely on strong…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-07-07 Csaba Toth , Harald Oberhauser

Variational approximation methods have proven to be useful for scaling Bayesian computations to large data sets and highly parametrized models. Applying variational methods involves solving an optimization problem, and recent research in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-01-13 Victor M. -H. Ong , David J. Nott , Michael S. Smith

Reliable prediction of protein variant effects is crucial for both protein optimization and for advancing biological understanding. For practical use in protein engineering, it is important that we can also provide reliable uncertainty…

生物大分子 · 定量生物学 2024-11-01 Peter Mørch Groth , Mads Herbert Kerrn , Lars Olsen , Jesper Salomon , Wouter Boomsma

Gaussian processes (GPs) are an attractive class of machine learning models because of their simplicity and flexibility as building blocks of more complex Bayesian models. Meanwhile, graph neural networks (GNNs) emerged recently as a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-14 Zehao Niu , Mihai Anitescu , Jie Chen

Gaussian Process (GP) models provide a flexible framework for prediction and uncertainty quantification. For most covariance functions, however, exact GP prediction with $n$ points scales as $\mathcal{O}(n^3)$, making it prohibitively…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-05-29 Samanyu Arora , Christopher J. Geoga

The estimation of dependencies between multiple variables is a central problem in the analysis of financial time series. A common approach is to express these dependencies in terms of a copula function. Typically the copula function is…

In this paper, we analyze Gaussian processes using statistical mechanics. Although the input is originally multidimensional, we simplify our model by considering the input as one-dimensional for statistical mechanical analysis. Furthermore,…

统计力学 · 物理学 2025-05-05 Jun Tsuzurugi

In this paper, we introduce a novel theoretical framework for Gaussian process regression error analysis, leveraging a function-space decomposition. Based on this framework, we develop a weighted Jacobi iterative method that utilizes…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-02-27 Tiantian Sun , Juan Zhang