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Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) sampling methods provide a mechanism for defining distant proposals with high acceptance probabilities in a Metropolis-Hastings framework, enabling more efficient exploration of the state space than standard…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-05-13 Tianqi Chen , Emily B. Fox , Carlos Guestrin

Stochastic approximation methods play a central role in maximum likelihood estimation problems involving intractable likelihood functions, such as marginal likelihoods arising in problems with missing or incomplete data, and in parametric…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-06-02 Valentin De Bortoli , Alain Durmus , Marcelo Pereyra , Ana F. Vidal

The effectiveness of stochastic algorithms based on Monte Carlo dynamics in solving hard optimization problems is mostly unknown. Beyond the basic statement that at a dynamical phase transition the ergodicity breaks and a Monte Carlo…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2019-07-10 Maria Chiara Angelini , Federico Ricci-Tersenghi

This paper presents how the most recent improvements made on covariance matrix estimation and model order selection can be applied to the portfolio optimisation problem. The particular case of the Maximum Variety Portfolio is treated but…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-04-03 Emmanuelle Jay , Eugénie Terreaux , Jean-Philippe Ovarlez , Frédéric Pascal

Sparse inversion and classification problems are ubiquitous in modern data science and imaging. They are often formulated as non-smooth minimisation problems. In sparse inversion, we minimise, e.g., the sum of a data fidelity term and an…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-11-23 Jonas Latz

We describe a new family of coupling designs, extending the basic principle of stratified randomization to experiments with continuous, constrained multivariate, text/image and other irregular treatment spaces. Our approach is to first…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-14 Max Cytrynbaum , Fredrik Sävje

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) methods are standard tools for inferring parameters of complex models when the likelihood function is analytically intractable. A popular approach to improving the poor acceptance rate of the basic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-27 Henri Pesonen , Jukka Corander

Real-life applications of deep neural networks are hindered by their unsteady predictions when faced with noisy inputs and adversarial attacks. The certified radius in this context is a crucial indicator of the robustness of models. However…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-19 Blaise Delattre , Alexandre Araujo , Quentin Barthélemy , Alexandre Allauzen

This paper focuses on the study of an original combination of the Multilevel Monte Carlo method introduced by Giles [10] and the popular importance sampling technique. To compute the optimal choice of the parameter involved in the…

概率论 · 数学 2017-09-05 Mohamed Ben Alaya , Kaouther Hajji , Ahmed Kebaier

We investigate the use of a stratified sampling approach for LIME Image, a popular model-agnostic explainable AI method for computer vision tasks, in order to reduce the artifacts generated by typical Monte Carlo sampling. Such artifacts…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-03-27 Muhammad Rashid , Elvio G. Amparore , Enrico Ferrari , Damiano Verda

Sampling is an important tool for estimating large, complex sums and integrals over high dimensional spaces. For instance, important sampling has been used as an alternative to exact methods for inference in belief networks. Ideally, we…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-01-18 Luis E. Ortiz , Leslie Pack Kaelbling

We introduce and analyze a parallel sequential Monte Carlo methodology for the numerical solution of optimization problems that involve the minimization of a cost function that consists of the sum of many individual components. The proposed…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-01-04 Ömer Deniz Akyildiz , Dan Crisan , Joaquín Míguez

Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) have been shown to be susceptible to memorization or overfitting in the presence of noisily-labelled data. For the problem of robust learning under such noisy data, several algorithms have been proposed. A…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-06 Deep Patel , P. S. Sastry

Monte Carlo methods represent the "de facto" standard for approximating complicated integrals involving multidimensional target distributions. In order to generate random realizations from the target distribution, Monte Carlo techniques use…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-01-21 L. Martino , V. Elvira , D. Luengo , J. Corander

Consider a real-valued function that can only be observed with stochastic noise at a finite set of design points within a Euclidean space. We wish to determine whether there exists a convex function that goes through the true function…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2018-07-30 Nanjing Jian , Shane G. Henderson

Among random sampling methods, Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms are foremost. Using a combination of analytical and numerical approaches, we study their convergence properties towards the steady state, within a random walk Metropolis…

统计力学 · 物理学 2024-01-08 Alexei D. Chepelianskii , Satya N. Majumdar , Hendrik Schawe , Emmanuel Trizac

To improve the efficiency of Monte Carlo estimation, practitioners are turning to biased Markov chain Monte Carlo procedures that trade off asymptotic exactness for computational speed. The reasoning is sound: a reduction in variance due to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-01-03 Jackson Gorham , Lester Mackey

In many randomized trials, outcomes such as essays or open-ended responses must be manually scored as a preliminary step to impact analysis, a process that is costly and limiting. Model-assisted estimation offers a way to combine surrogate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-16 Reagan Mozer , Nicole E. Pashley , Luke Miratrix

Mixed-integer optimisation problems can be computationally challenging. Here, we introduce and analyse two efficient algorithms with a specific sequential design that are aimed at dealing with sampled problems within this class. At each…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-03-07 Mohammadreza Chamanbaz , Roland Bouffanais

We consider the problem of sequentially choosing between a set of unbiased Monte Carlo estimators to minimize the mean-squared-error (MSE) of a final combined estimate. By reducing this task to a stochastic multi-armed bandit problem, we…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2014-05-15 James Neufeld , András György , Dale Schuurmans , Csaba Szepesvári