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Inferring the causal structure underlying stochastic dynamical systems from observational data holds great promise in domains ranging from science and health to finance. Such processes can often be accurately modeled via stochastic…

Causal discovery is a powerful technique for identifying causal relationships among variables in data. It has been widely used in various applications in software engineering. Causal discovery extensively involves conditional independence…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2023-09-12 Pingchuan Ma , Zhenlan Ji , Peisen Yao , Shuai Wang , Kui Ren

Independent cascade (IC) model is a widely used influence propagation model for social networks. In this paper, we incorporate the concept and techniques from causal inference to study the identifiability of parameters from observational…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-12-10 Shi Feng , Wei Chen

Inference metaprogramming enables effective probabilistic programming by supporting the decomposition of executions of probabilistic programs into subproblems and the deployment of hybrid probabilistic inference algorithms that apply…

编程语言 · 计算机科学 2019-07-16 Shivam Handa , Vikash Mansinghka , Martin Rinard

Tests of independence are an important tool in applications, specifically in connection with the detection of a relationship between variables; they also have initiated many developments in statistical theory. In the present paper we build…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-13 L. Baringhaus , R. Grübel

Real-world complex systems are often modelled by sets of equations with endogenous and exogenous variables. What can we say about the causal and probabilistic aspects of variables that appear in these equations without explicitly solving…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-11-25 Tineke Blom , Mirthe M. van Diepen , Joris M. Mooij

In biomedical research, repeated measurements within each subject are often processed to remove artifacts and unwanted sources of variation. The resulting data are used to construct derived outcomes that act as proxies for scientific…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-03 Zihang Wang , Razieh Nabi , Benjamin B. Risk

The assumption of independence between observations (units) in a dataset is prevalent across various methodologies for learning causal graphical models. However, this assumption often finds itself in conflict with real-world data, posing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-31 Alex Chen , Qing Zhou

Randomized experiments on a network often involve interference between connected units; i.e., a situation in which an individual's treatment can affect the response of another individual. Current approaches to deal with interference, in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-05-17 Guillaume Basse , Edoardo Airoldi

The probabilities of causation are commonly used to solve decision-making problems. Tian and Pearl derived sharp bounds for the probability of necessity and sufficiency (PNS), the probability of sufficiency (PS), and the probability of…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-10-12 Ang Li , Ruirui Mao , Judea Pearl

Inferring the causal structure of a system typically requires interventional data, rather than just observational data. Since interventional experiments can be costly, it is preferable to select interventions that yield the maximum amount…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-30 Michele Zemplenyi , Jeffrey W. Miller

Causal inference is capable of estimating the treatment effect (i.e., the causal effect of treatment on the outcome) to benefit the decision making in various domains. One fundamental challenge in this research is that the treatment…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-28 Qian Li , Zhichao Wang , Shaowu Liu , Gang Li , Guandong Xu

This paper addresses the problem of measurement errors in causal inference and highlights several algebraic and graphical methods for eliminating systematic bias induced by such errors. In particulars, the paper discusses the control of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-03-19 Judea Pearl

The problem of causal inference is to determine if a given probability distribution on observed variables is compatible with some causal structure. The difficult case is when the causal structure includes latent variables. We here introduce…

量子物理 · 物理学 2019-07-24 Elie Wolfe , Robert W. Spekkens , Tobias Fritz

Structural independence is the (conditional) independence that arises from the structure rather than the precise numerical values of a distribution. We develop this concept and relate it to $d$-separation and structural causal models.…

概率论 · 数学 2025-06-24 Matthias Georg Mayer

Existing causal models for link prediction assume an underlying set of inherent node factors -- an innate characteristic defined at the node's birth -- that governs the causal evolution of links in the graph. In some causal tasks, however,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-28 Leonardo Cotta , Beatrice Bevilacqua , Nesreen Ahmed , Bruno Ribeiro

Pearl and Dechter (1996) claimed that the d-separation criterion for conditional independence in acyclic causal networks also applies to networks of discrete variables that have feedback cycles, provided that the variables of the system are…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2011-06-02 R. M. Neal

Causal inference methods based on conditional independence construct Markov equivalent graphs, and cannot be applied to bivariate cases. The approaches based on independence of cause and mechanism state, on the contrary, that causal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-04 Nataliya Sokolovska , Pierre-Henri Wuillemin

Statistical learning relies upon data sampled from a distribution, and we usually do not care what actually generated it in the first place. From the point of view of causal modeling, the structure of each distribution is induced by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-09-11 Giambattista Parascandolo , Niki Kilbertus , Mateo Rojas-Carulla , Bernhard Schölkopf

We propose a new attribution method for neural networks developed using first principles of causality (to the best of our knowledge, the first such). The neural network architecture is viewed as a Structural Causal Model, and a methodology…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-07-04 Aditya Chattopadhyay , Piyushi Manupriya , Anirban Sarkar , Vineeth N Balasubramanian
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