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Decision analytics commonly focuses on the text mining of financial news sources in order to provide managerial decision support and to predict stock market movements. Existing predictive frameworks almost exclusively apply traditional…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-07-05 Stefan Feuerriegel , Ralph Fehrer

We introduce a novel approach to options trading strategies using a highly scalable and data-driven machine learning algorithm. In contrast to traditional approaches that often require specifications of underlying market dynamics or…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2024-11-22 Wee Ling Tan , Stephen Roberts , Stefan Zohren

The stock market has been established since the 13th century, but in the current epoch of time, it is substantially more practicable to anticipate the stock market than it was at any other point in time due to the tools and data that are…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-10-27 Ryan Chipwanya

This paper tries to address the problem of stock market prediction leveraging artificial intelligence (AI) strategies. The stock market prediction can be modeled based on two principal analyses called technical and fundamental. In the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-07-05 Sohrab Mokhtari , Kang K. Yen , Jin Liu

Tree-based ensembles such as the Random Forest are modern classics among statistical learning methods. In particular, they are used for predicting univariate responses. In case of multiple outputs the question arises whether we separately…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-01-17 Lena Schmid , Alexander Gerharz , Andreas Groll , Markus Pauly

Much research has been done to analyze the stock market. After all, if one can determine a pattern in the chaotic frenzy of transactions, then they could make a hefty profit from capitalizing on these insights. As such, the goal of our…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-27 Ziyi Zhou , Nicholas Stern , Julien Laasri

Data analysis and machine learning have become an integrative part of the modern scientific methodology, offering automated procedures for the prediction of a phenomenon based on past observations, unraveling underlying patterns in data and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-06-04 Gilles Louppe

Financial literature consists of ample research on similarity and comparison of financial assets and securities such as stocks, bonds, mutual funds, etc. However, going beyond correlations or aggregate statistics has been arduous since…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2022-10-27 Jerinsh Jeyapaulraj , Dhruv Desai , Peter Chu , Dhagash Mehta , Stefano Pasquali , Philip Sommer

We propose three different data-driven approaches for pricing European-style call options using supervised machine-learning algorithms. These approaches yield models that give a range of fair prices instead of a single price point. The…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-12-08 Anindya Goswami , Sharan Rajani , Atharva Tanksale

Sustainable financial markets play an important role in the functioning of human society. Still, the detection and prediction of risk in financial markets remain challenging and draw much attention from the scientific community. Here we…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-11-27 Jingfang Fan , Keren Cohen , Louis M. Shekhtman , Sibo Liu , Jun Meng , Yoram Louzoun , Shlomo Havlin

Stock trend forecasting, a challenging problem in the financial domain, involves ex-tensive data and related indicators. Relying solely on empirical analysis often yields unsustainable and ineffective results. Machine learning researchers…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-10-10 Saber Talazadeh , Dragan Perakovic

Although machine learning tasks are highly sensitive to the quality of input data, relevant datasets can often be challenging for firms to acquire, especially when held privately by a variety of owners. For instance, if these owners are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-02 Thomas Falconer , Jalal Kazempour , Pierre Pinson

Many studies have been undertaken by using machine learning techniques, including neural networks, to predict stock returns. Recently, a method known as deep learning, which achieves high performance mainly in image recognition and speech…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2018-06-14 Masaya Abe , Hideki Nakayama

Predicting the turnover of a company in the ever fluctuating Stock market has always proved to be a precarious situation and most certainly a difficult task in hand. Data mining is a well-known sphere of Computer Science that aims on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-08-04 D. S. Shashaank , V. Sruthi , M. L. S Vijayalakshimi , Jacob Shomona Garcia

Random Forests are one of the most popular classifiers in machine learning. The larger they are, the more precise is the outcome of their predictions. However, this comes at a cost: their running time for classification grows linearly with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-24 Frederik Gossen , Bernhard Steffen

Towards a future where machine learning systems will integrate into every aspect of people's lives, researching methods to interpret such systems is necessary, instead of focusing exclusively on enhancing their performance. Enriching the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-21 Ioannis Mollas , Nick Bassiliades , Ioannis Vlahavas , Grigorios Tsoumakas

We present an algorithm for learning decision trees using stochastic gradient information as the source of supervision. In contrast to previous approaches to gradient-based tree learning, our method operates in the incremental learning…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-09-25 Henry Gouk , Bernhard Pfahringer , Eibe Frank

Random forests are an ensemble method relevant for many problems, such as regression or classification. They are popular due to their good predictive performance (compared to, e.g., decision trees) requiring only minimal tuning of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-20 Nikolaus Umlauf , Nadja Klein

We present convincing empirical evidence for an effective and general strategy for building accurate small models. Such models are attractive for interpretability and also find use in resource-constrained environments. The strategy is to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-30 Abhishek Ghose

The decisions traders make to buy or sell an asset depend on various analyses, with expertise required to identify patterns that can be exploited for profit. In this paper we identify novel features extracted from emergent and…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-09-09 Gabriel Rodrigues Palma , Mariusz Skoczeń , Phil Maguire