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In parametric estimation of covariance function of Gaussian processes, it is often the case that the true covariance function does not belong to the parametric set used for estimation. This situation is called the misspecified case. In this…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-11-13 François Bachoc

We present a methodology for model evaluation and selection where the sampling mechanism violates the i.i.d. assumption. Our methodology involves a formulation of the bias between the standard Cross-Validation (CV) estimator and the mean…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-14 Oren Yuval , Saharon Rosset

Cross-validation is the workhorse of modern applied statistics and machine learning, as it provides a principled framework for selecting the model that maximizes generalization performance. In this paper, we show that the cross-validation…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-05-21 Shane Barratt , Rishi Sharma

Cross-validation is a widely-used technique to estimate prediction error, but its behavior is complex and not fully understood. Ideally, one would like to think that cross-validation estimates the prediction error for the model at hand, fit…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-12 Stephen Bates , Trevor Hastie , Robert Tibshirani

Theoretical developments on cross validation (CV) have mainly focused on selecting one among a list of finite-dimensional models (e.g., subset or order selection in linear regression) or selecting a smoothing parameter (e.g., bandwidth for…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-12-18 Yuhong Yang

Probabilistic regression models typically use the Maximum Likelihood Estimation or Cross-Validation to fit parameters. These methods can give an advantage to the solutions that fit observations on average, but they do not pay attention to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-05-24 Naoufal Acharki , Antoine Bertoncello , Josselin Garnier

Cross-validation is one of the most popular model selection methods in statistics and machine learning. Despite its wide applicability, traditional cross validation methods tend to select overfitting models, due to the ignorance of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-12-25 Jing Lei

Hyperparameter tuning plays a crucial role in optimizing the performance of predictive learners. Cross--validation (CV) is a widely adopted technique for estimating the error of different hyperparameter settings. Repeated cross-validation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-01 Giovanni Maria Merola

Cross-validation is a popular non-parametric method for evaluating the accuracy of a predictive rule. The usefulness of cross-validation depends on the task we want to employ it for. In this note, I discuss a simple non-parametric setting,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-09-27 Stefan Wager

This text is a survey on cross-validation. We define all classical cross-validation procedures, and we study their properties for two different goals: estimating the risk of a given estimator, and selecting the best estimator among a given…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-03-10 Sylvain Arlot

As a technique that can compactly represent complex patterns, machine learning has significant potential for predictive inference. K-fold cross-validation (CV) is the most common approach to ascertaining the likelihood that a machine…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-24 Juan M Gorriz , R. Martin Clemente , F Segovia , J Ramirez , A Ortiz , J. Suckling

Robust estimators for linear regression require non-convex objective functions to shield against adverse affects of outliers. This non-convexity brings challenges, particularly when combined with penalization in high-dimensional settings.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-08-08 David Kepplinger , Siqi Wei

We develop a multi-level restricted Gaussian maximum likelihood method for estimating the covariance function parameters and computing the best unbiased predictor. Our approach produces a new set of multi-level contrasts where the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-03-29 Julio E. Castrillon-Candas , Marc G. Genton , Rio Yokota

Cross-Validation (CV) is the default choice for evaluating the performance of machine learning models. Despite its wide usage, their statistical benefits have remained half-understood, especially in challenging nonparametric regimes. In…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-08-22 Garud Iyengar , Henry Lam , Tianyu Wang

Cross-validation (CV) is one of the main tools for performance estimation and parameter tuning in machine learning. The general recipe for computing CV estimate is to run a learning algorithm separately for each CV fold, a computationally…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-07-02 Pooria Joulani , András György , Csaba Szepesvári

Cross-validation (CV) is widely used for tuning a model with respect to user-selected parameters and for selecting a "best" model. For example, the method of $k$-nearest neighbors requires the user to choose $k$, the number of neighbors,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2012-03-01 Hui Shen , William J. Welch , Jacqueline M. Hughes-Oliver

K-fold cross-validation (CV) with squared error loss is widely used for evaluating predictive models, especially when strong distributional assumptions cannot be taken. However, CV with squared error loss is not free from distributional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-10 Assaf Rabinowicz , Saharon Rosset

Cross-validation (CV) is a popular approach for assessing and selecting predictive models. However, when the number of folds is large, CV suffers from a need to repeatedly refit a learning procedure on a large number of training datasets.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-12 Ashia Wilson , Maximilian Kasy , Lester Mackey

Cross-validation (CV) is a technique for evaluating the ability of statistical models/learning systems based on a given data set. Despite its wide applicability, the rather heavy computational cost can prevent its use as the system size…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-10-26 Yoshiyuki Kabashima , Tomoyuki Obuchi , Makoto Uemura

For linear models that may have asymmetric errors, we study variable selection by cross-validation. The data are split into training and validation sets, with the number of observations in the validation set much larger than in the training…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-16 Bilel Bousselmi , Gabriela Ciuperca
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