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We propose a sequential, anytime-valid method to test the conditional independence of a response $Y$ and a predictor $X$ given a random vector $Z$. The proposed test is based on e-statistics and test martingales, which generalize likelihood…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-22 Peter Grünwald , Alexander Henzi , Tyron Lardy

The problem of hypothesis testing is examined from both the historical and Bayesian points of view in the case that sampling is from an underlying joint probability distribution and the hypotheses tested for are those of independence and…

comp-gas · 物理学 2008-02-03 David Wolf

In this paper we present a method ofcomputing the posterior probability ofconditional independence of two or morecontinuous variables from data,examined at several resolutions. Ourapproach is motivated by theobservation that the appearance…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-01-14 Dimitris Margaritis , Sebastian Thrun

We introduce an independence criterion based on entropy regularized optimal transport. Our criterion can be used to test for independence between two samples. We establish non-asymptotic bounds for our test statistic and study its…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-04-21 Lang Liu , Soumik Pal , Zaid Harchaoui

We give a new consistent scoring function for structure learning of Bayesian networks. In contrast to traditional approaches to scorebased structure learning, such as BDeu or MDL, the complexity penalty that we propose is data-dependent and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-09-27 Eliot Brenner , David Sontag

Bayesian networks are probabilistic graphical models widely employed to understand dependencies in high dimensional data, and even to facilitate causal discovery. Learning the underlying network structure, which is encoded as a directed…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-02-03 Jack Kuipers , Polina Suter , Giusi Moffa

We propose a new conditional dependence measure and a statistical test for conditional independence. The measure is based on the difference between analytic kernel embeddings of two well-suited distributions evaluated at a finite set of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-06-17 Meyer Scetbon , Laurent Meunier , Yaniv Romano

This paper develops a model-free sequential test for conditional independence. The proposed test allows researchers to analyze an incoming i.i.d. data stream with any arbitrary dependency structure, and safely conclude whether a feature is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-21 Shalev Shaer , Gal Maman , Yaniv Romano

This paper shows that conditional independence reasoning can be applied to optimize epistemic model checking, in which one verifies that a model for a number of agents operating with imperfect information satisfies a formula expressed in a…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2017-07-28 Ron van der Meyden

Previous algorithms for the construction of Bayesian belief network structures from data have been either highly dependent on conditional independence (CI) tests, or have required an ordering on the nodes to be supplied by the user. We…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-03-08 Moninder Singh , Marco Valtorta

Testing the validity of probabilistic models containing unmeasured (hidden) variables is shown to be a hard task. We show that the task of testing whether models are structurally incompatible with the data at hand, requires an exponential…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-02-28 Dan Geiger , Azaria Paz , Judea Pearl

Graphical models provide a framework for exploration of multivariate dependence patterns. The connection between graph and statistical model is made by identifying the vertices of the graph with the observed variables and translating the…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-02-08 Mathias Drton , Michael D. Perlman

Conditional independence (CI) tests underlie many approaches to model testing and structure learning in causal inference. Most existing CI tests for categorical and ordinal data stratify the sample by the conditioning variables, perform…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-07-06 Ankur Ankan , Johannes Textor

We investigate a class of methods for selective inference that condition on a selection event. Such methods follow a two-stage process. First, a data-driven (sub)collection of hypotheses is chosen from some large universe of hypotheses.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-09 Jelle Goeman , Aldo Solari

We propose a test of the conditional independence of random variables $X$ and~$Y$ given~$Z$ under the additional assumption that $X$ is stochastically nondecreasing in~$Z$. The well-documented hardness of testing conditional independence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-24 Rohan Hore , Jake A. Soloff , Rina Foygel Barber , Richard J. Samworth

This paper is concerned with test of the conditional independence. We first establish an equivalence between the conditional independence and the mutual independence. Based on the equivalence, we propose an index to measure the conditional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-18 Zhanrui Cai , Runze Li , Yaowu Zhang

For a continuous random variable $Z$, testing conditional independence $X \perp\!\!\!\perp Y |Z$ is known to be a particularly hard problem. It constitutes a key ingredient of many constraint-based causal discovery algorithms. These…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-12-21 Philip A. Boeken , Joris M. Mooij

We study the data-driven selection of causal graphical models using constraint-based algorithms, which determine the existence or non-existence of edges (causal connections) in a graph based on testing a series of conditional independence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-29 Daniel Malinsky

We wish to test whether a real-valued variable $Z$ has explanatory power, in addition to a multivariate variable $X$, for a binary variable $Y$. Thus, we are interested in testing the hypothesis $\mathbb{P}(Y=1\, | \, X,Z)=\mathbb{P}(Y=1\,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-23 John H. J. Einmahl , Denis Kojevnikov , Bas J. M. Werker

Bayesian networks are basic graphical models, used widely both in statistics and artificial intelligence. These statistical models of conditional independence structure are described by acyclic directed graphs whose nodes correspond to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2010-12-01 Raymond Hemmecke , Silvia Lindner , Milan Studený