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We concern computer model calibration problem where the goal is to find the parameters that minimize the discrepancy between the multivariate real-world and computer model outputs. We propose to solve an approximation using signed residuals…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-26 Yongseok Jeon , Sara Shashaani

Time series forecasting and spatiotemporal kriging are the two most important tasks in spatiotemporal data analysis. Recent research on graph neural networks has made substantial progress in time series forecasting, while little attention…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-22 Yuankai Wu , Dingyi Zhuang , Aurelie Labbe , Lijun Sun

Residual stresses, which remain within a component after processing, can deteriorate performance. Accurately determining their full-field distributions is essential for optimizing the structural integrity and longevity. However, the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-11 Shadab Anwar Shaikh , Kranthi Balusu , Ayoub Soulami

Kriging is a widely employed technique, in particular for computer experiments, in machine learning or in geostatistics. An important challenge for Kriging is the computational burden when the data set is large. This article focuses on a…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-03-01 François Bachoc , Nicolas Durrande , Didier Rullière , Clément Chevalier

Gaussian process fitting, or kriging, is often used to create a model from a set of data. Many available software packages do this, but we show that very different results can be obtained from different packages even when using the same…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-10-10 Collin B. Erickson , Bruce E. Ankenman , Susan M. Sanchez

This paper develops a frequentist solution to the functional calibration problem, where the value of a calibration parameter in a computer model is allowed to vary with the value of control variables in the physical system. The need of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-20 Rui Tuo , Shiyuan He , Arash Pourhabib , Yu Ding , Jianhua Z. Huang

We investigate two new strategies for the numerical solution of optimal stopping problems within the Regression Monte Carlo (RMC) framework of Longstaff and Schwartz. First, we propose the use of stochastic kriging (Gaussian process)…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2016-10-27 Michael Ludkovski

Many geosciences data are imprecise due to various limitations and uncertainties in the measuring process. One way to preserve this imprecision in a geostatistical mapping framework is to characterize the measurements as intervals rather…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-11-22 Brennan Bean , Yan Sun , Marc Maguire

This work investigates the prediction performance of the kriging predictors. We derive some error bounds for the prediction error in terms of non-asymptotic probability under the uniform metric and $L_p$ metrics when the spectral densities…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-09 Rui Tuo , Wenjia Wang

The problem of optimal data collection to efficiently learn the model parameters of a graphite nitridation experiment is studied in the context of Bayesian analysis using both synthetic and real experimental data. The paper emphasizes that…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2011-07-08 Gabriel Terejanu , Rochan R. Upadhyay , Kenji Miki

Scientists and engineers commonly use simulation models to study real systems for which actual experimentation is costly, difficult, or impossible. Many simulations are stochastic in the sense that repeated runs with the same input…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-08-09 Wenjia Wang , Benjamin Haaland

Applying Gaussian processes (GPs) to very large datasets remains a challenge due to limited computational scalability. Matrix structures, such as the Kronecker product, can accelerate operations significantly, but their application commonly…

Spatial prediction requires expensive computation to invert the spatial covariance matrix it depends on and also has considerable storage needs. This work concentrates on computationally efficient algorithms for prediction using very large…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-06-11 Roberto Rivera

In this work, we propose a new Gaussian process regression (GPR) method: physics information aided Kriging (PhIK). In the standard data-driven Kriging, the unknown function of interest is usually treated as a Gaussian process with assumed…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-11-17 Xiu Yang , Guzel Tartakovsky , Alexandre Tartakovsky

A coarse grid correction (CGC) approach is proposed to enhance the efficiency of the matrix exponential and $\varphi$ matrix function evaluations. The approach is intended for iterative methods computing the matrix-vector products with…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-04-23 Mike A. Botchev

This paper is interested in the computation of stresses within jammed packings of rigid polygonal cells. The cells are considered to follow a Tresca friction law. First, a constrained minimization problem is introduced where the friction…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-02-05 Frédéric Marazzato , Shankar Venkataramani

In various industrial contexts, estimating the distribution of unobserved random vectors Xi from some noisy indirect observations H(Xi) + Ui is required. If the relation between Xi and the quantity H(Xi), measured with the error Ui, is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-08-25 Shuai Fu , Mathieu Couplet , Nicolas Bousquet

Kriging or Gaussian Process Regression is applied in many fields as a non-linear regression model as well as a surrogate model in the field of evolutionary computation. However, the computational and space complexity of Kriging, that is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-02-07 Bas van Stein , Hao Wang , Wojtek Kowalczyk , Michael Emmerich , Thomas Bäck

Stochastic kriging is a popular metamodeling technique for representing the unknown response surface of a simulation model. However, the simulation model may be inadequate in the sense that there may be a non-negligible discrepancy between…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-02-14 Lu Zou , Xiaowei Zhang

This tutorial focuses on kriging-based simulation optimization, emphasizing the importance of data efficiency in optimization problems involving expensive simulation models. It discusses how kriging models contribute to developing…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-02-11 Sasan Amini , Inneke Van Nieuwenhuyse