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We try to establish a unified information theoretic approach to learning and to explore some of its applications. First, we define {\em predictive information} as the mutual information between the past and the future of a time series,…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Ilya Nemenman

Robots can be used to collect environmental data in regions that are difficult for humans to traverse. However, limitations remain in the size of region that a robot can directly observe per unit time. We introduce a method for selecting a…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2020-09-03 Elizabeth A. Ricci , Madeleine Udell , Ross A. Knepper

Information accounting provides a better foundation for hypothesis testing than does uncertainty quantification. A quantitative account of science is derived under this perspective that alleviates the need for epistemic bridge principles,…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2017-04-26 Grey Nearing , Hoshin Gupta

In machine learning or scientific computing, model performance is measured with an objective function. But why choose one objective over another? Information theory gives one answer: To maximize the information in the model, select the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-05 Timothy O. Hodson , Thomas M. Over , Tyler J. Smith , Lucy M. Marshall

The process of discovery in the physical, biological and medical sciences can be painstakingly slow. Most experiments fail, and the time from initiation of research until a new advance reaches commercial production can span 20 years. This…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-04-15 Kristopher Reyes , Warren B Powell

We investigate the algorithmic problem of selling information to agents who face a decision-making problem under uncertainty. We adopt the model recently proposed by Bergemann et al. [BBS18], in which information is revealed through…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2020-12-24 Yang Cai , Grigoris Velegkas

Robust optimization is a popular paradigm for modeling and solving two- and multi-stage decision-making problems affected by uncertainty. In many real-world applications, the time of information discovery is decision-dependent and the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-08-24 Phebe Vayanos , Angelos Georghiou , Han Yu

In order to evaluate the quality of the scientific research, we introduce a new family of scientific performance measures, called Scientific Research Measures (SRM). Our proposal originates from the more recent developments in the theory of…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2012-05-07 Marco Frittelli , Ilaria Peri

One of the well-known challenges in optimal experimental design is how to efficiently estimate the nested integrations of the expected information gain. The Gaussian approximation and associated importance sampling have been shown to be…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-08-17 Quan Long

Reliable estimation of predictive uncertainty is crucial for machine learning applications, particularly in high-stakes scenarios where hedging against risks is essential. Despite its significance, there is no universal agreement on how to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-17 Kajetan Schweighofer , Lukas Aichberger , Mykyta Ielanskyi , Sepp Hochreiter

Shannon based his information theory on the notion of probability measures as it we developed by Kolmogorov. In this paper we study some fundamental problems in information theory based on expectation measures. In the theory of expectation…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2025-01-30 Peter Harremoës

The problem of planning sensing trajectories for a mobile robot to collect observations of a target and predict its future trajectory is known as active target tracking. Enabled by probabilistic motion models, one may solve this problem by…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2026-02-23 Jennifer Wakulicz , Ki Myung Brian Lee , Teresa Vidal-Calleja , Robert Fitch

We identify fundamental issues with discretization when estimating information-theoretic quantities in the analysis of data. These difficulties are theoretical in nature and arise with discrete datasets carrying significant implications for…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2014-06-24 Venkateshan Kannan , Jesper Tegnèr

We consider the problem of estimating the expected value of information (the knowledge gradient) for Bayesian learning problems where the belief model is nonlinear in the parameters. Our goal is to maximize some metric, while simultaneously…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-11-23 Xinyu He , Warren B. Powell

Examinations of any experiment involving living organisms require justifications of the need and moral defensibleness of the study. Statistical planning, design and sample size calculation of the experiment are no less important review…

In this review, we present econometric and statistical methods for analyzing randomized experiments. For basic experiments we stress randomization-based inference as opposed to sampling-based inference. In randomization-based inference,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-10-26 Susan Athey , Guido Imbens

Systems that answer questions by reviewing the scientific literature are becoming increasingly feasible. To draw reliable conclusions, these systems should take into account the quality of available evidence from different studies, placing…

The problem of testing random number generators is considered and it is shown that an approach based on algorithmic information theory allows us to compare the power of different tests in some cases where the available methods of…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2024-04-04 Boris Ryabko

Classification and characterization of variable phenomena and transient phenomena are critical for astrophysics and cosmology. These objects are commonly studied using photometric time series or spectroscopic data. Given that many ongoing…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2020-01-08 Javiera Astudillo , Pavlos Protopapas , Karim Pichara , Pablo Huijse

We introduce an information theoretic measure of statistical structure, called 'binding information', for sets of random variables, and compare it with several previously proposed measures including excess entropy, Bialek et al.'s…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-12-10 Samer A. Abdallah , Mark D. Plumbley