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In an influential critique of empirical practice, Freedman (2008) showed that the linear regression estimator was biased for the analysis of randomized controlled trials under the randomization model. Under Freedman's assumptions, we derive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-26 Haoge Chang , Joel Middleton , P. M. Aronow

After performing a randomized experiment, researchers often use ordinary-least squares (OLS) regression to adjust for baseline covariates when estimating the average treatment effect. It is widely known that the resulting confidence…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-04-27 Kevin Guo , Guillaume Basse

We study average treatment effect (ATE) estimation under complete randomization with many covariates in a design-based, finite-population framework. In randomized experiments, regression adjustment can improve precision of estimators using…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-12 Dogyoon Song

Regression adjustments are often made to experimental data. Since randomization does not justify the models, bias is likely; nor are the usual variance calculations to be trusted. Here, we evaluate regression adjustments using Neyman's…

应用统计 · 统计学 2008-12-18 David A. Freedman

We provide a principled way for investigators to analyze randomized experiments when the number of covariates is large. Investigators often use linear multivariate regression to analyze randomized experiments instead of simply reporting the…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-06-08 Adam Bloniarz , Hanzhong Liu , Cun-Hui Zhang , Jasjeet Sekhon , Bin Yu

Randomized experiments are the gold standard for causal inference, and justify simple comparisons across treatment groups. Regression adjustment provides a convenient way to incorporate covariate information for additional efficiency. This…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-25 Anqi Zhao , Peng Ding

Under the Neyman causal model, it is well-known that OLS with treatment-by-covariate interactions cannot harm asymptotic precision of estimated treatment effects in completely randomized experiments. But do such guarantees extend to…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-03-19 Joel A. Middleton

We study nonasymptotic (finite-sample) confidence intervals for treatment effects in randomized experiments. In the existing literature, the effective sample sizes of nonasymptotic confidence intervals tend to be looser than the…

Misspecified models often provide useful information about the true data generating distribution. For example, if $y$ is a non-linear function of $x$ the least squares estimator $\hat{\beta}$ is an estimate of $\beta$, the slope of the best…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-05-17 James P. Long

When data is collected in an adaptive manner, even simple methods like ordinary least squares can exhibit non-normal asymptotic behavior. As an undesirable consequence, hypothesis tests and confidence intervals based on asymptotic normality…

Causal inference with observational studies often relies on the assumptions of unconfoundedness and overlap of covariate distributions in different treatment groups. The overlap assumption is violated when some units have propensity scores…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-19 Shu Yang , Peng Ding

This paper investigates estimation and inference for average treatment effects in completely randomized experiments when researchers observe potentially many covariates. Within Neyman's (1923) design-based framework, allowing the number of…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-20 Harold D Chiang , Yukitoshi Matsushita , Taisuke Otsu

Sequential data collection has emerged as a widely adopted technique for enhancing the efficiency of data gathering processes. Despite its advantages, such data collection mechanism often introduces complexities to the statistical inference…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-11-09 Mufang Ying , Koulik Khamaru , Cun-Hui Zhang

In paired randomized experiments individuals in a given matched pair may differ on prognostically important covariates despite the best efforts of practitioners. We examine the use of regression adjustment as a way to correct for persistent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-11-27 Colin B. Fogarty

Regression adjustment is broadly applied in randomized trials under the premise that it usually improves the precision of a treatment effect estimator. However, previous work has shown that this is not always true. To further understand…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-11 Katarzyna Reluga , Ting Ye , Qingyuan Zhao

A growing statistical literature focuses on causal inference in the context of experiments where the target of inference is the average treatment effect in a finite population and random assignment determines which subjects are allocated to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-04 Jonas M. Mikhaeil , Donald P. Green

Randomized experiments have become important tools in empirical research. In a completely randomized treatment-control experiment, the simple difference in means of the outcome is unbiased for the average treatment effect, and covariate…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-01-01 Lihua Lei , Peng Ding

The least trimmed squares (LTS) estimator is a renowned robust alternative to the classic least squares estimator and is popular in location, regression, machine learning, and AI literature. Many studies exist on LTS, including its…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-01-10 Yijun Zuo

This paper studies the properties of linear regression on centrality measures when network data is sparse and observed with error. We make three contributions in this setting. First, we show that OLS estimators can become inconsistent under…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-03-18 Yong Cai

Heavy-tailed errors impair the accuracy of the least squares estimate, which can be spoiled by a single grossly outlying observation. As argued in the seminal work of Peter Huber in 1973 [{\it Ann. Statist.} {\bf 1} (1973) 799--821], robust…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-11-16 Wen-Xin Zhou , Koushiki Bose , Jianqing Fan , Han Liu
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