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Ensemble forecast post-processing is a necessary step in producing accurate probabilistic forecasts. Conventional post-processing methods operate by estimating the parameters of a parametric distribution, frequently on a per-location or…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-01 Peter Mlakar , Janko Merše , Jana Faganeli Pucer

We develop two algorithms, based on maximum likelihood (ML) inference, for estimating the parameters of polarized radio sources which emit at a single rotation measure (RM), e.g., pulsars. These algorithms incorporate the flux density…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2017-10-25 D. H. F. M. Schnitzeler , K. J. Lee

Current benchmarks for mid-circuit measurements (MCMs) are limited in scalability or the types of error they can quantify, necessitating new techniques for quantifying their performance. Here, we introduce a theory for learning Pauli noise…

量子物理 · 物理学 2025-04-18 Jordan Hines , Timothy Proctor

We describe an assembly of numerical tools to model the output data of the Planck satellite. These start with the generation of a CMB sky in a chosen cosmology, add in various foreground sources, convolve the sky signal with arbitrary, even…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Martin Reinecke , Klaus Dolag , Reinhard Hell , Matthias Bartelmann , Torsten Ensslin

In applications with significant class imbalance or asymmetric costs, metrics such as the $F_\beta$-measure, AM measure, Jaccard similarity coefficient, and weighted accuracy offer more suitable evaluation criteria than standard binary…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-30 Anqi Mao , Mehryar Mohri , Yutao Zhong

Measurements are a vital part of any quantum computation, whether as a final step to retrieve results, as an intermediate step to inform subsequent operations, or as part of the computation itself (as in measurement-based quantum…

量子物理 · 物理学 2023-04-14 Stefanie J. Beale , Joel J. Wallman

Motivated by recommendation systems, we consider the problem of estimating block constant binary matrices (of size $m \times n$) from sparse and noisy observations. The observations are obtained from the underlying block constant matrix…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2009-01-14 S. T. Aditya , Onkar Dabeer , Bikash Kumar Dey

Recently, a framework for application-oriented optimal experiment design has been introduced. In this context, the distance of the estimated system from the true one is measured in terms of a particular end-performance metric. This…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2015-07-28 Dimitrios Katselis , Cristian R. Rojas , Carolyn L. Beck

"The Price of Robustness" by Bertsimas and Sim represented a breakthrough in the development of a tractable robust counterpart of Linear Programming Problems. However, the central modeling assumption that the deviation band of each…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2014-10-24 Christina Büsing , Fabio D'Andreagiovanni

Ensemble Kalman methods were initially developed to solve nonlinear data assimilation problems in oceanography, but are now popular in applications far beyond their original use cases. Of particular interest is climate model calibration. As…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2025-11-21 Rebecca Gjini , Matthias Morzfeld , Oliver R. A. Dunbar , Tapio Schneider

Despite significant progress in quantum computing in recent years, executing quantum circuits for practical problems remains challenging due to error-prone quantum hardware. Hence, quantum error correction becomes essential but induces…

量子物理 · 物理学 2025-09-04 Tobias Forster , Nils Quetschlich , Mathias Soeken , Robert Wille

In this paper, we propose a new semiparametric regression estimator by using a hybrid technique of a parametric approach and a nonparametric penalized spline method. The overall shape of the true regression function is captured by the…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-02-17 Takuma Yoshida , Kanta Naito

Recently, the polarimetricmethod for thermally-induced polarization changes driven power losses (TIPCL) mitigation in complex laser systems has been developed. However, the final optimization relied on the four-parameter numerical process.…

The minimum weight perfect matching (MWPM) decoder is the standard decoding strategy for quantum surface codes. However, it suffers a harsh decrease in performance when subjected to biased or non-identical quantum noise. In this work, we…

This paper introduces a new approach to quantify the impact of forward propagated demand and weather uncertainty on power system planning and operation models. Recent studies indicate that such sampling uncertainty, originating from demand…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-11-17 Adriaan P Hilbers , David J Brayshaw , Axel Gandy

The recently proposed statistical finite element (statFEM) approach synthesises measurement data with finite element models and allows for making predictions about the unknown true system response. We provide a probabilistic error analysis…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-06-17 Toni Karvonen , Fehmi Cirak , Mark Girolami

The best possible precision is one of the key figures in metrology, but this is established by the exact response of the detection apparatus, which is often unknown. There exist techniques for detector characterisation, that have been…

量子物理 · 物理学 2016-03-23 Matteo Altorio , Marco G. Genoni , Fabrizia Somma , Marco Barbieri

The Event Horizon Telescope (EHT) is a millimeter very long baseline interferometry (VLBI) array that has imaged the apparent shadows of the supermassive black holes M87* and Sagittarius A*. Polarimetric data from these observations contain…

Double-pass polarimetry measures the polarization properties of a sample over a range of polar angles and all azimuths. Here, we present a tolerance analysis of all the optical elements in both the calibration and measurement procedures to…

光学 · 物理学 2020-08-18 Yimin Yu , Nabila Baba-Ali , Gregg M Gallatin

In 2008 Arikan proposed polar coding [arXiv:0807.3917] which we summarize as follows: (a) From the root channel $W$ synthesize recursively a series of channels $W_N^{(1)},\dotsc,W_N^{(N)}$. (b) Select sophisticatedly a subset $A$ of…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2018-06-08 Hsin-Po Wang , Iwan Duursma