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In performing a Bayesian analysis, two difficult problems often emerge. First, in estimating the parameters of some model for the data, the resulting posterior distribution may be multi-modal or exhibit pronounced (curving) degeneracies.…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2013-12-20 F. Feroz , J. Skilling

Gaussian Processes (GPs) can be used as flexible, non-parametric function priors. Inspired by the growing body of work on Normalizing Flows, we enlarge this class of priors through a parametric invertible transformation that can be made…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-26 Juan Maroñas , Oliver Hamelijnck , Jeremias Knoblauch , Theodoros Damoulas

Learning-based approaches are increasingly leveraged to manage and coordinate the operation of grid-edge resources in active power distribution networks. Among these, model-based techniques stand out for their superior data efficiency and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-05-01 Daniel Glover , Parikshit Pareek , Deepjyoti Deka , Anamika Dubey

Simultaneous analysis of gene expression data and genetic variants is highly of interest, especially when the number of gene expressions and genetic variants are both greater than the sample size. Association of both causal genes and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-07 Morteza Amini

Nonlinear model predictive control (NMPC) is an efficient approach for the control of nonlinear multivariable dynamic systems with constraints, which however requires an accurate plant model. Plant models can often be determined from first…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-08-17 E. Bradford , L. Imsland , M. Reble , E. A. del Rio-Chanona

Conditional density estimation is complicated by multimodality, heteroscedasticity, and strong non-Gaussianity. Gaussian processes (GPs) provide a principled nonparametric framework with calibrated uncertainty, but standard GP regression is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-12 Vardaan Tekriwal , Mark D. Risser , Hengrui Luo , Marcus M. Noack

Modern scientific problems are often multi-disciplinary and require integration of computer models from different disciplines, each with distinct functional complexities, programming environments, and computation times. Linked Gaussian…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-06-05 Deyu Ming , Daniel Williamson

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a Bayesian machine learning approach widely used to construct surrogate models for the uncertainty quantification of computer simulation codes in industrial applications. It provides both a mean predictor and an…

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are known to provide accurate predictions and uncertainty estimates even with small amounts of labeled data by capturing similarity between data points through their kernel function. However traditional GP kernels…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-16 Ankur Mallick , Chaitanya Dwivedi , Bhavya Kailkhura , Gauri Joshi , T. Yong-Jin Han

A generalized Gaussian process model (GGPM) is a unifying framework that encompasses many existing Gaussian process (GP) models, such as GP regression, classification, and counting. In the GGPM framework, the observation likelihood of the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2013-11-28 Lifeng Shang , Antoni B. Chan

Scalable Gaussian process (GP) inference is essential for sequential decision-making tasks, yet improving GP scalability remains a challenging problem with many open avenues of research. This paper focuses on iterative GPs, where iterative…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-21 Alan Yufei Dong , Jihao Andreas Lin , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

In many real-world problems, there is a limited set of training data, but an abundance of unlabeled data. We propose a new method, Generative Posterior Networks (GPNs), that uses unlabeled data to estimate epistemic uncertainty in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-01 Melrose Roderick , Felix Berkenkamp , Fatemeh Sheikholeslami , Zico Kolter

We formulate approximate Bayesian inference in non-conjugate temporal and spatio-temporal Gaussian process models as a simple parameter update rule applied during Kalman smoothing. This viewpoint encompasses most inference schemes,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-07-14 William J. Wilkinson , Paul E. Chang , Michael Riis Andersen , Arno Solin

The Gaussian process (GP) is a nonparametric prior distribution over functions indexed by time, space, or other high-dimensional index set. The GP is a flexible model yet its limitation is given by its very nature: it can only model…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-07-15 Gonzalo Rios , Felipe Tobar

The proliferation of capable and efficient machine learning (ML) models marks one of the strongest methodological shifts in signal processing (SP) in its nearly 100-year history. ML models support the development of SP systems that…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-05-01 Daniel Waxman , Fernando Llorente , Petar M. Djurić

Deep neural networks (NNs) are considered a powerful tool for balancing the performance and complexity of multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) receivers due to their accurate feature extraction, high parallelism, and excellent inference…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2024-10-28 Xingyu Zhou , Jing Zhang , Chao-Kai Wen , Shi Jin , Shuangfeng Han

We apply Gaussian process (GP) regression, which provides a powerful non-parametric probabilistic method of relating inputs to outputs, to survival data consisting of time-to-event and covariate measurements. In this context, the covariates…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-09-08 James E. Barrett , Anthony C. C. Coolen

The approximative calculation of iterated nested expectations is a recurring challenging problem in applications. Nested expectations appear, for example, in the numerical approximation of solutions of backward stochastic differential…

概率论 · 数学 2020-09-30 Christian Beck , Arnulf Jentzen , Thomas Kruse

Gaussian processes are a key component of many flexible statistical and machine learning models. However, they exhibit cubic computational complexity and high memory constraints due to the need of inverting and storing a full covariance…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-10-07 Teemu Härkönen , Sara Wade , Kody Law , Lassi Roininen

We investigate the problem of approximate Bayesian inference for a general class of observation models by means of the expectation propagation (EP) framework for large systems under some statistical assumptions. Our approach tries to…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2016-08-24 Burak Çakmak , Manfred Opper , Bernard H. Fleury , Ole Winther