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Existing approaches to causal discovery often rely on restrictive modeling assumptions that limit their applicability in real-world settings, particularly when data are heavy-tailed or contain a mixture of discrete and continuous variables.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-25 Juraj Bodik , Valérie Chavez-Demoulin

The direct effect of one eventon another can be defined and measured byholding constant all intermediate variables between the two.Indirect effects present conceptual andpractical difficulties (in nonlinear models), because they cannot be…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-01-14 Judea Pearl

We consider the problem of learning causal models from observational data generated by linear non-Gaussian acyclic causal models with latent variables. Without considering the effect of latent variables, one usually infers wrong causal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-08-13 Saber Salehkaleybar , AmirEmad Ghassami , Negar Kiyavash , Kun Zhang

Empirical researchers routinely invoke the no-interference or \textit{individualistic treatment response} (ITR) assumption to identify causal effects in observational studies, despite concerns that interference across units may arise in…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-27 Julius Owusu , Monika Avila Márquez

We propose a counterfactual approach to train ``causality-aware" predictive models that are able to leverage causal information in static anticausal machine learning tasks (i.e., prediction tasks where the outcome influences the features).…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-12-01 Elias Chaibub Neto

We discuss issues of structural and practical identifiability of partially observed differential equations which are often applied in systems biology. The development of mathematical methods to investigate structural non-identifiability has…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-20 Franz-Georg Wieland , Adrian L. Hauber , Marcus Rosenblatt , Christian Tönsing , Jens Timmer

We propose a new definition of actual cause, using structural equations to model counterfactuals. We show that the definition yields a plausible and elegant account of causation that handles well examples which have caused problems for…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2007-05-23 Joseph Y. Halpern , Judea Pearl

Making causal inferences from observational studies can be challenging when confounders are missing not at random. In such cases, identifying causal effects is often not guaranteed. Motivated by a real example, we consider a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-31 Jian Sun , Bo Fu

A foundational question in the theory of linear compartmental models is how to assess whether a model is structurally identifiable -- that is, whether parameter values can be inferred from noiseless data -- directly from the combinatorics…

动力系统 · 数学 2024-02-19 Cashous Bortner , Elizabeth Gross , Nicolette Meshkat , Anne Shiu , Seth Sullivant

Causal discovery is challenging in general dynamical systems because, without strong structural assumptions, the underlying causal graph may not be identifiable even from interventional data. However, many real-world systems exhibit…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-07 Panayiotis Panayiotou , Özgür Şimşek

Structural causal models provide a formalism to express causal relations between variables of interest. Models and variables can represent a system at different levels of abstraction, whereby relations may be coarsened and refined according…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-05-09 Fabio Massimo Zennaro , Paolo Turrini , Theodoros Damoulas

The past decade has seen an increasing body of literature devoted to the estimation of causal effects in network-dependent data. However, the validity of many classical statistical methods in such data is often questioned. There is an…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-05-31 Oleg Sofrygin , Romain Neugebauer , Mark J. van der Laan

Causal models bring many benefits to decision-making systems (or agents) by making them interpretable, sample-efficient, and robust to changes in the input distribution. However, spurious correlations can lead to wrong causal models and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-09 Sergei Volodin , Nevan Wichers , Jeremy Nixon

This paper characterizes the values of partial regression coefficients, defined as projection coefficients onto the space spanned by explanatory variables, for random variables generated by linear structural equation models using graphical…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-10 Masato Shimokawa

We propose a new definition of actual causes, using structural equations to model counterfactuals.We show that the definitions yield a plausible and elegant account ofcausation that handles well examples which have caused problems forother…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-01-14 Joseph Y. Halpern , Judea Pearl

Causal discovery with latent variables is a crucial but challenging task. Despite the emergence of numerous methods aimed at addressing this challenge, they are not fully identified to the structure that two observed variables are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-20 Wei Chen , Zhiyi Huang , Ruichu Cai , Zhifeng Hao , Kun Zhang

Learning kinetic systems from data is one of the core challenges in many fields. Identifying stable models is essential for the generalization capabilities of data-driven inference. We introduce a computationally efficient framework, called…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-12-02 Niklas Pfister , Stefan Bauer , Jonas Peters

Causal identification is at the core of the causal inference literature, where complete algorithms have been proposed to identify causal queries of interest. The validity of these algorithms hinges on the restrictive assumption of having…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-30 Sina Akbari , Fateme Jamshidi , Ehsan Mokhtarian , Matthew J. Vowels , Jalal Etesami , Negar Kiyavash

Identifiability of parameters is a fundamental prerequisite for model identification. It concerns uniqueness of the model parameters determined from experimental or simulated observations. This dissertation specifically deals with…

经济学 · 定量金融 2016-02-04 Di Molfetta Giuseppe

This paper concerns the assessment of the effects of actions from a combination of nonexperimental data and causal assumptions encoded in the form of a directed acyclic graph in which some variables are presumed to be unobserved. We provide…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-07-19 Jin Tian