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Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) provide a natural framework for modelling intrinsic stochasticity inherent in many continuous-time physical processes. When such processes are observed in multiple individuals or experimental units,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-05-19 Gavin A. Whitaker , Andrew Golightly , Richard J. Boys , Chris Sherlock

Inferring chemical reaction networks (CRN) from concentration time series is a challenge encouragedby the growing availability of quantitative temporal data at the cellular level. This motivates thedesign of algorithms to infer the…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2023-02-09 Julien Martinelli , Jeremy Grignard , Sylvain Soliman , Annabelle Ballesta , François Fages

Neural Stochastic Differential Equations (NSDEs) model the drift and diffusion functions of a stochastic process as neural networks. While NSDEs are known to make accurate predictions, their uncertainty quantification properties have been…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-13 Andreas Look , Melih Kandemir , Barbara Rakitsch , Jan Peters

It is critical yet challenging for deep learning models to properly characterize uncertainty that is pervasive in real-world environments. Although a lot of efforts have been made, such as heteroscedastic neural networks (HNNs), little work…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-30 Peng Cui , Zhijie Deng , Wenbo Hu , Jun Zhu

In this paper, we construct approximated solutions of Differential Equations (DEs) using the Deep Neural Network (DNN). Furthermore, we present an architecture that includes the process of finding model parameters through experimental data,…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-07-31 Hyeontae Jo , Hwijae Son , Hyung Ju Hwang , Eunheui Kim

Information spreads across social and technological networks, but often the network structures are hidden from us and we only observe the traces left by the diffusion processes, called cascades. Can we recover the hidden network structures…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2014-05-14 Hadi Daneshmand , Manuel Gomez-Rodriguez , Le Song , Bernhard Schoelkopf

Simulation-based inference techniques are indispensable for parameter estimation of mechanistic and simulable models with intractable likelihoods. While traditional statistical approaches like approximate Bayesian computation and Bayesian…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-08 Ryan P. Kelly , David J. Nott , David T. Frazier , David J. Warne , Chris Drovandi

This work reviews deterministic and diffusion approximations of the stochastic chemical reaction networks and explains their applications. We discuss the added value the diffusion approximation provides for systems with different phenomena,…

To infer a diffusion network based on observations from historical diffusion processes, existing approaches assume that observation data contain exact occurrence time of each node infection, or at least the eventual infection statuses of…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2023-12-14 Hao Huang , Qian Yan , Keqi Han , Ting Gan , Jiawei Jiang , Quanqing Xu , Chuanhui Yan

This work aims at making a comprehensive contribution in the general area of parametric inference for discretely observed diffusion processes. Established approaches for likelihood-based estimation invoke a time-discretisation scheme for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-01-30 Yuga Iguchi , Alexandros Beskos , Matthew M. Graham

The aim of sparse approximation is to estimate a sparse signal according to the measurement matrix and an observation vector. It is widely used in data analytics, image processing, and communication, etc. Up to now, a lot of research has…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2018-05-31 Hao Wang , Ruibin Feng , Chi-Sing Leung

We propose a method for adapting neural networks to distribution shifts at test-time. In contrast to training-time robustness mechanisms that attempt to anticipate and counter the shift, we create a closed-loop system and make use of a…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-09-28 Teresa Yeo , Oğuzhan Fatih Kar , Zahra Sodagar , Amir Zamir

Many mainstream robust control/estimation algorithms for power networks are designed using the Lyapunov theory as it provides performance guarantees for linear/nonlinear models of uncertain power networks but comes at the expense of…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-12-01 MirSaleh Bahavarnia , Muhammad Nadeem , Ahmad F. Taha

This study addresses the challenges in parameter estimation of stochastic differential equations driven by non-Gaussian noises, which are critical in understanding dynamic phenomena such as price fluctuations and the spread of infectious…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-03-08 Shuaiyu Li , Yang Ruan , Changzhou Long , Yuzhong Cheng

In this paper, an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) technique is developed to find solution of celebrated Fractional order Differential Equations (FDE). Compared to integer order differential equation, FDE has the advantage that it can better…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2018-10-15 Susmita Mall , S. Chakraverty

We present a new inference method based on approximate Bayesian computation for estimating parameters governing an entire network based on link-traced samples of that network. To do this, we first take summary statistics from an observed…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-01-17 Jack Davis , Steven K. Thompson

We perform approximate inference in state-space models with nonlinear state transitions. Without parameterizing a generative model, we apply Bayesian update formulas using a local linearity approximation parameterized by neural networks.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-26 David Ruhe , Patrick Forré

In Onur et al. ["Cooperative density estimation in random wireless ad hoc networks," IEEE Commun. Lett., vol. 16, no. 3, 269 pp. 331-333, Mar. 2012], two novel density estimation (DE) approaches in wireless random networks were introduced…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2018-07-09 Yongchang Hu

In this article, we consider diffusion approximations for a general class of stochastic recursions. Such recursions arise as models for population growth, genetics, financial securities, multiplicative time series, numerical schemes and…

概率论 · 数学 2016-01-13 David Kelly

This paper proposes an impulse response modeling in presence of input and noisy output of a linear time-invariant (LTI) system. The approach utilizes Relative Entropy (RE) to choose the optimum impulse response estimate, optimum time delay…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2023-10-05 Mahdi Shamsi , Soosan Beheshti