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The optimal selection of experimental conditions is essential to maximizing the value of data for inference and prediction, particularly in situations where experiments are time-consuming and expensive to conduct. We propose a general…

机器学习 · 统计学 2012-12-04 Xun Huan , Youssef M. Marzouk

We present the first general purpose framework for marginal maximum a posteriori estimation of probabilistic program variables. By using a series of code transformations, the evidence of any probabilistic program, and therefore of any…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-07-17 Tom Rainforth , Tuan Anh Le , Jan-Willem van de Meent , Michael A. Osborne , Frank Wood

Hyperparameter tuning is a challenging problem especially when the system itself involves uncertainty. Due to noisy function evaluations, optimization under uncertainty can be computationally expensive. In this paper, we present a novel…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-09 Akash Yadav , Ruda Zhang

We consider partially-specified optimization problems where the goal is to actively, but efficiently, acquire missing information about the problem in order to solve it. An algorithm designer wishes to solve a linear program (LP), $\max…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2021-09-07 Shuran Zheng , Bo Waggoner , Yang Liu , Yiling Chen

Bayesian optimization (BO) developed as an approach for the efficient optimization of expensive black-box functions without gradient information. A typical BO paper introduces a new approach and compares it to some alternatives on simulated…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-10-17 Jiajie Kong , Tony Pourmohamad , Herbert K. H. Lee

The ultimate goal of optimization is to find the minimizer of a target function.However, typical criteria for active optimization often ignore the uncertainty about the minimizer. We propose a novel criterion for global optimization and an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-02-13 Il Memming Park , Marcel Nassar , Mijung Park

Research in reinforcement learning has produced algorithms for optimal decision making under uncertainty that fall within two main types. The first employs a Bayesian framework, where optimality improves with increased computational time.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2011-09-22 Christos Dimitrakakis

This paper proposes a new algorithm for solving constrained global optimization problems where both the objective function and constraints are one-dimensional non-differentiable multiextremal Lipschitz functions. Multiextremal constraints…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2011-07-27 Yaroslav D. Sergeyev

Bayesian optimization is a sample-efficient method for solving expensive, black-box optimization problems. Stochastic programming concerns optimization under uncertainty where, typically, average performance is the quantity of interest. In…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-02-19 Jack M. Buckingham , Ivo Couckuyt , Juergen Branke

We consider Bayesian optimization of the output of a network of functions, where each function takes as input the output of its parent nodes, and where the network takes significant time to evaluate. Such problems arise, for example, in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-03 Raul Astudillo , Peter I. Frazier

Recent work on Bayesian optimization has shown its effectiveness in global optimization of difficult black-box objective functions. Many real-world optimization problems of interest also have constraints which are unknown a priori. In this…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-03-25 Michael A. Gelbart , Jasper Snoek , Ryan P. Adams

Bayesian optimization is a sample-efficient method for finding a global optimum of an expensive-to-evaluate black-box function. A global solution is found by accumulating a pair of query point and its function value, repeating these two…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-17 Jungtaek Kim , Seungjin Choi

A Bayesian design is given by maximising an expected utility over a design space. The utility is chosen to represent the aim of the experiment and its expectation is taken with respect to all unknowns: responses, parameters and/or models.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-16 Antony M. Overstall , James M. McGree

We investigate methods for parameter learning from incomplete data that is not missing at random. Likelihood-based methods then require the optimization of a profile likelihood that takes all possible missingness mechanisms into account.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-07-02 Manfred Jaeger

In many practical decision-making problems it happens that functions involved in optimization process are black-box with unknown analytical representations and hard to evaluate. In this paper, a global optimization problem is considered…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2015-09-16 Yaroslav D. Sergeyev , Dmitri E. Kvasov

We present a framework for the efficient computation of optimal Bayesian decisions under intractable likelihoods, by learning a surrogate model for the expected utility (or its distribution) as a function of the action and data spaces. We…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-11-13 Justin Alsing , Thomas D. P. Edwards , Benjamin Wandelt

We consider the problem of chance constrained optimization where it is sought to optimize a function and satisfy constraints, both of which are affected by uncertainties. The real world declinations of this problem are particularly…

Bayesian optimal experimental design has immense potential to inform the collection of data so as to subsequently enhance our understanding of a variety of processes. However, a major impediment is the difficulty in evaluating optimal…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-03-14 David J. Price , Nigel G. Bean , Joshua V. Ross , Jonathan Tuke

An algorithm is proposed, analyzed, and tested for minimizing locally Lipschitz objective functions that may be nonconvex and/or nonsmooth. The algorithm, which is built upon the gradient-sampling methodology, is designed specifically for…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-04-02 Albert S. Berahas , Frank E. Curtis , Lara Zebiane

Scientific experiments are usually expensive due to complex experimental preparation and processing. Experimental design is therefore involved with the task of finding the optimal experimental input that results in the desirable output by…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-02-27 Cheng Li , Sunil Gupta , Santu Rana , Vu Nguyen , Antonio Robles-Kelly , Svetha Venkatesh