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Using a time series model to mimic an observed time series has a long history. However, with regard to this objective, conventional estimation methods for discrete-time dynamical models are frequently found to be wanting. In fact, they are…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-03-19 Yingcun Xia , Howell Tong

Prediction and interpolation for long-range video data involves the complex task of modeling motion trajectories for each visible object, occlusions and dis-occlusions, as well as appearance changes due to viewpoint and lighting. Optical…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-09-09 Kevin J. Shih , Aysegul Dundar , Animesh Garg , Robert Pottorf , Andrew Tao , Bryan Catanzaro

We analyze how an observer synchronizes to the internal state of a finite-state information source, using the epsilon-machine causal representation. Here, we treat the case of exact synchronization, when it is possible for the observer to…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2015-05-19 Nicholas F. Travers , James P. Crutchfield

Chronic disease progression models are governed by three main parameters: sensitivity, preclinical intensity, and sojourn time. The estimation of these parameters helps in optimizing screening programs and examine the improvement in…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-01-22 Ayman Hijazy , András Zempléni

The simplest way to obtain continuous interpolation between two points in high dimensional space is to draw a line between them. While previous works focused on the general connectivity between model parameters, we explored linear…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2022-11-23 Mark Rofin , Nikita Balagansky , Daniil Gavrilov

Screening before model building is a reasonable strategy to reduce the dimension of regression problems. Sure independence screening is an efficient approach to this purpose. It applies the slope estimate of a simple linear regression as a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-01-21 Sheng-Mao Chang

While most strong-gravitational-lensing systems may be roughly modelled by a single massive object between the source and the observer, in the details all the structures near the light path contribute to the observed images. These…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2022-12-01 Pierre Fleury , Julien Larena , Jean-Philippe Uzan

We consider the problem of detecting an odd process among a group of Poisson point processes, all having the same rate except the odd process. The actual rates of the odd and non-odd processes are unknown to the decision maker. We consider…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2015-09-24 Nidhin Koshy Vaidhiyan , Rajesh Sundaresan

Symmetry is one of the most central concepts in physics, and it is no surprise that it has also been widely adopted as an inductive bias for machine-learning models applied to the physical sciences. This is especially true for models…

化学物理 · 物理学 2024-12-23 Marcel F. Langer , Sergey N. Pozdnyakov , Michele Ceriotti

We develop a formal framework for the behavioral comparison of linear systems across different time domains. We accomplish this by introducing the notion of system interpolation, which determines whether the input-state trajectories of a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-02-26 Armin Pirastehzad , Bart Besselink

In this paper we study the asymptotic behaviour of empirical processes when parameters are estimated, assuming that the underlying sequence of random variables is long-range dependent. We show completely different phenomena compared to…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Rafal Kulik

The process of dynamic state estimation (filtering) based on point process observations is in general intractable. Numerical sampling techniques are often practically useful, but lead to limited conceptual insight about optimal…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-09-13 Yuval Harel , Ron Meir , Manfred Opper

Plasma lensing events can have significant observational consequences, including flux density modulations and perturbations in pulse arrival times. In this paper we develop and apply a formalism that extends geometrical optics to describe…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2018-10-30 Gianfranco Grillo , James Cordes

Particle filtering is a popular method for inferring latent states in stochastic dynamical systems, whose theoretical properties have been well studied in machine learning and statistics communities. In many control problems, e.g.,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-12 Simon S. Du , Wei Hu , Zhiyuan Li , Ruoqi Shen , Zhao Song , Jiajun Wu

Let a continuous random process $X$ defined on $[0,1]$ be $(m+\beta)$-smooth, $0\le m, 0<\beta\le 1$, in quadratic mean for all $t>0$ and have an isolated singularity point at $t=0$. In addition, let $X$ be locally like a $m$-fold…

概率论 · 数学 2010-05-20 Konrad Abramowicz , Oleg Seleznjev

It is well known that if the power spectral density of a continuous time stationary stochastic process does not have a compact support, data sampled from that process at any uniform sampling rate leads to biased and inconsistent spectrum…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-06-09 Radhendushka Srivastava , Debasis Sengupta

Let $(B(t))_{t\in \Theta}$ with $\Theta={\mathbb Z}$ or $\Theta={\mathbb R}$ be a wide sense stationary process with discrete or continuous time. The classical linear prediction problem consists of finding an element in…

概率论 · 数学 2020-02-07 Ildar Ibragimov , Zakhar Kabluchko , Mikhail Lifshits

This paper proposes a new feature screening method for the multi-response ultrahigh dimensional linear model by empirical likelihood. Through a multivariate moment condition, the empirical likelihood induced ranking statistics can exploit…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-07 Jun Lu , Qinqin Hu , Lu Lin

Discrete-time models of non-uniformly sampled nonlinear systems under zero-order hold relate the next state sample to the current state sample, (constant) input value, and sampling interval. The exact discrete-time model, that is, the…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2018-07-30 Alexis J. Vallarella , Hernan Haimovich

In implicit models, one often interpolates between sampled points in latent space. As we show in this paper, care needs to be taken to match-up the distributional assumptions on code vectors with the geometry of the interpolating paths.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-02-05 Yannic Kilcher , Aurelien Lucchi , Thomas Hofmann