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This paper introduces a framework for speeding up Bayesian inference conducted in presence of large datasets. We design a Markov chain whose transition kernel uses an (unknown) fraction of (fixed size) of the available data that is randomly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-06-01 Florian Maire , Nial Friel , Pierre Alquier

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms have become powerful tools for Bayesian inference. However, they do not scale well to large-data problems. Divide-and-conquer strategies, which split the data into batches and, for each batch, run…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-07-18 Christopher Nemeth , Chris Sherlock

Quantifying spatial and/or temporal associations in multivariate geolocated data of different types is achievable via spatial random effects in a Bayesian hierarchical model, but severe computational bottlenecks arise when spatial…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-02 Michele Peruzzi , David B. Dunson

We develop a stochastic modeling approach based on spatial point processes of log-Gaussian Cox type for a collection of around 5000 landslide events provoked by a precipitation trigger in Sicily, Italy. Through the embedding into a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-08-11 Luigi Lombardo , Thomas Opitz , Raphael Huser

Recently-proposed particle MCMC methods provide a flexible way of performing Bayesian inference for parameters governing stochastic kinetic models defined as Markov (jump) processes (MJPs). Each iteration of the scheme requires an estimate…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-05-19 Andrew Golightly , Daniel A. Henderson , Chris Sherlock

We consider latent Gaussian fields for modelling spatial dependence in the context of both spatial point patterns and areal data, providing two different applications. The inhomogeneous Log-Gaussian Cox Process model is specified to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-04-01 Nicoletta D'Angelo , Antonino Abbruzzo , Giada Adelfio

Gaussian latent variable models are a key class of Bayesian hierarchical models with applications in many fields. Performing Bayesian inference on such models can be challenging as Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms struggle with the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-11-09 Charles C. Margossian , Aki Vehtari , Daniel Simpson , Raj Agrawal

Latent Gaussian process (GP) models are flexible probabilistic non-parametric function models. Vecchia approximations are accurate approximations for GPs to overcome computational bottlenecks for large data, and the Laplace approximation is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-09 Pascal Kündig , Fabio Sigrist

To account for measurement error (ME) in explanatory variables, Bayesian approaches provide a flexible framework, as expert knowledge about unobserved covariates can be incorporated in the prior distributions. However, given the analytic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-08-19 Stefanie Muff , Andrea Riebler , Havard Rue , Philippe Saner , Leonhard Held

The Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA) is expected to simultaneously detect many thousands of low frequency gravitational wave signals. This presents a data analysis challenge that is very different to the one encountered in ground…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Neil J. Cornish , Jeff Crowder

Stochastic gradient Markov chain Monte Carlo (SGMCMC) has become a popular method for scalable Bayesian inference. These methods are based on sampling a discrete-time approximation to a continuous time process, such as the Langevin…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-10-29 Jack Baker , Paul Fearnhead , Emily B Fox , Christopher Nemeth

Multivariate Gaussian processes (GPs) offer a powerful probabilistic framework to represent complex interdependent phenomena. They pose, however, significant computational challenges in high-dimensional settings, which frequently arise in…

The recent introduction of gradient-based MCMC for discrete spaces holds great promise, and comes with the tantalising possibility of new discrete counterparts to celebrated continuous methods such as MALA and HMC. Towards this goal, we…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-08-02 Benjamin Rhodes , Michael Gutmann

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) samplers are numerical methods for drawing samples from a given target probability distribution. We discuss one particular MCMC sampler, the MALA-within-Gibbs sampler, from the theoretical and practical…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-03-19 X. T. Tong , M. Morzfeld , Y. M. Marzouk

Recently, it has been shown that approximations to marginal posterior distributions obtained using a low discrepancy sequence (LDS) can outperform standard grid-based methods with respect to both accuracy and computational efficiency. This…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-12-05 Paul T. Brown , Chaitanya Joshi , Stephen Joe , Haavard Rue

Automated sensing instruments on satellites and aircraft have enabled the collection of massive amounts of high-resolution observations of spatial fields over large spatial regions. If these datasets can be efficiently exploited, they can…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-12-08 Matthias Katzfuss

The modeling of spatial point processes has advanced considerably, yet extending these models to non-Euclidean domains, such as road networks, remains a challenging problem. We propose a novel framework for log-Gaussian Cox processes on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-31 David Bolin , Damilya Saduakhas , Alexandre B. Simas

This paper presents a new Metropolis-adjusted Langevin algorithm (MALA) that uses convex analysis to simulate efficiently from high-dimensional densities that are log-concave, a class of probability distributions that is widely used in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-04-06 Marcelo Pereyra

In this paper, we develop a computationally efficient discrete approximation to log-Gaussian Cox process (LGCP) models for the analysis of spatially aggregated disease count data. Our approach overcomes an inherent limitation of spatial…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-08-29 Olatunji Johnson , Peter Diggle , Emanuele Giorgi

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods form one of the algorithmic foundations of Bayesian inverse problems. The recent development of likelihood-informed subspace (LIS) methods offers a viable route to designing efficient MCMC methods for…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-03-07 Tiangang Cui , Xin Tong , Olivier Zahm