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In this paper, we investigate time-varying nonlinear time series regression for a broad class of locally stationary time series. First, we propose sieve nonparametric estimators for the time-varying regression functions that achieve uniform…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-01 Xiucai Ding , Zhou Zhou

We present a method for the joint analysis of a panel of possibly nonstationary time series. The approach is Bayesian and uses a covariate-dependent infinite mixture model to incorporate multiple time series, with mixture components…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-05 Michael Bertolacci , Ori Rosen , Edward Cripps , Sally Cripps

We prove concentration inequalities for several models of non-linear random matrices. As corollaries we obtain estimates for linear spectral statistics of the conjugate kernel of neural networks and non-commutative polynomials in (possibly…

概率论 · 数学 2025-07-15 Radosław Adamczak

We develop methodology allowing to simulate a stationary functional time series defined by means of its spectral density operators. Our framework is general, in that it encompasses any such stationary functional time series, whether linear…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-17 Tomáš Rubín , Victor M. Panaretos

We consider nonlinear, or "event-dependent", sampling, i.e. such that the sampling instances {tk} depend on the function being sampled. The use of such sampling in the construction of Lebesgue's integral sums is noted and discussed as…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2016-11-17 Emanuel Gluskin

A model-free measure of coupling between dynamical variables is built from time series embedding principle. The approach described does not require a mathematical form for the dynamics to be assumed. The approach also does not require…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2014-02-18 Chetan Nichkawde

This article proposes a novel test for the martingale difference hypothesis based on the martingale difference divergence function, a recently developed dependence measure suitable for measuring the degree of conditional mean dependence of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-11-10 Luca Mattia Rolla

Spectroscopically measuring low levels of non-equilibrium phenomena (e.g. emission in the presence of a large thermal background) can be problematic due to an unfavorable signal-to-noise ratio. An approach is presented to use time-series…

地球物理 · 物理学 2015-04-08 John Scoville

In this paper, the maximal nonlinear conditional correlation of two random vectors $X$ and $Y$ given another random vector $Z$, denoted by $\rho_1(X,Y|Z)$, is defined as a measure of conditional association, which satisfies certain…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-10-20 Tzee-Ming Huang

The spectral density function describes the second-order properties of a stationary stochastic process on $\mathbb{R}^d$. This paper considers the nonparametric estimation of the spectral density of a continuous-time stochastic process…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-02-07 Rafail Kartsioukas , Stilian Stoev , Tailen Hsing

Spectral density matrix estimation of multivariate time series is a classical problem in time series and signal processing. In modern neuroscience, spectral density based metrics are commonly used for analyzing functional connectivity among…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-12-04 Yiming Sun , Yige Li , Amy Kuceyeski , Sumanta Basu

Binomial time series in which the logit of the probability of success is modelled as a linear function of observed regressors and a stationary latent Gaussian process are considered. Score tests are developed to first test for the existence…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-06-06 W. T. M. Dunsmuir , J. Y. He

This article develops a method to construct the optimal sequential test for monitoring the changes in the distribution of finite observation sequences with a general dependence structure. This method allows us to prove that different…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-08-01 Dong Han , Fugee Tsung , Jinguo Xian

While there is an increasing amount of literature about Bayesian time series analysis, only a few Bayesian nonparametric approaches to multivariate time series exist. Most methods rely on Whittle's Likelihood, involving the second order…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-11-27 Alexander Meier , Claudia Kirch , Renate Meyer

We point out necessary and sufficient conditions of uniform consistency of nonparametric sets of alternatives for widespread nonparametric tests. Nonparametric sets of alternatives can be defined both in terms of distribution function and…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-01 Mikhail Ermakov

Information in the time distribution of points in a state space reconstructed from observed data yields a test for ``nonstationarity''. Framed in terms of a statistical hypothesis test, this numerical algorithm can discern whether some…

chao-dyn · 物理学 2008-02-03 Matthew B. Kennel

Learning models of dynamical systems characterized by specific stability properties is of crucial importance in applications. Existing results mainly focus on linear systems or some limited classes of nonlinear systems and stability…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-03-18 Matteo Scandella , Michelangelo Bin , Thomas Parisini

It is often necessary to compare the power spectra of two or more time series. One may, for instance, wish to estimate what the power spectrum of the combined data sets might have been. One might also wish to estimate the significance of a…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 P. A. Sturrock

It is well known that the effect of quantum nonlocality, as witnessed by violation of a Bell inequality, can be observed even when relaxing the assumption of measurement independence, i.e. allowing for the source to be partially correlated…

量子物理 · 物理学 2023-11-17 Ivan Šupić , Jean-Daniel Bancal , Nicolas Brunner

Interpretable classification of time series presents significant challenges in high dimensions. Traditional feature selection methods in the frequency domain often assume sparsity in spectral density matrices (SDMs) or their inverses, which…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-08-19 Sarbojit Roy , Malik Shahid Sultan , Hernando Ombao