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We present recent results on the existence of a continuous time limit for Ensemble Kalman Filter algorithms. In the setting of continuous signal and observation processes, we apply the original Ensemble Kalman Filter algorithm proposed by…

概率论 · 数学 2020-12-08 Theresa Lange , Wilhelm Stannat

Standard maximum likelihood or Bayesian approaches to parameter estimation for stochastic differential equations are not robust to perturbations in the continuous-in-time data. In this paper, we give a rather elementary explanation of this…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-12-20 Sebastian Reich

Nonlinear/non-Gaussian filtering has broad applications in many areas of life sciences where either the dynamic is nonlinear and/or the probability density function of uncertain state is non-Gaussian. In such problems, the accuracy of the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-08-02 Hatef Monajemi , Peter K. Kitanidis

Nonlinear model predictive control has become a popular approach to deal with highly nonlinear and unsteady state systems, the performance of which can however deteriorate due to unaccounted uncertainties. Model predictive control is…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-03-02 Eric Bradford , Lars Imsland

We propose a Neural-Enhanced Distributed Kalman Filter (NDKF) for multi-sensor state estimation in nonlinear systems. Unlike traditional Kalman filters that rely on explicit analytical models and assume centralized fusion, NDKF leverages…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-03-17 Siavash Farzan , Bennett Parisi

Filtering and smoothing with a generalised representation of uncertainty is considered. Here, uncertainty is represented using a class of outer measures. It is shown how this representation of uncertainty can be propagated using…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-08-02 Jeremie Houssineau , Adrian N. Bishop

In many physical applications, the system's state varies with spatial variables as well as time. The state of such systems is modelled by partial differential equations and evolves on an infinite-dimensional space. Systems modelled by…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-02-17 Sepideh Afshar , Fabian Germ , Kirsten A. Morris

Estimating the statistics of the state of a dynamical system, from partial and noisy observations, is both mathematically challenging and finds wide application. Furthermore, the applications are of great societal importance, including…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-06-03 J. A. Carrillo , F. Hoffmann , A. M. Stuart , U. Vaes

This paper studies multiplicative inflation: the complementary scaling of the state covariance in the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF). Firstly, error sources in the EnKF are catalogued and discussed in relation to inflation; nonlinearity is…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2019-03-27 Patrick N. Raanes , Marc Bocquet , Alberto Carrassi

The Kalman filter is a fundamental filtering algorithm that fuses noisy sensory data, a previous state estimate, and a dynamics model to produce a principled estimate of the current state. It assumes, and is optimal for, linear models and…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2021-04-30 Beren Millidge , Alexander Tschantz , Anil Seth , Christopher Buckley

It is well recognized that discontinuous analysis increments of sequential data assimilation systems, such as ensemble Kalman filters, might lead to spurious high frequency adjustment processes in the model dynamics. Various methods have…

数值分析 · 数学 2015-05-18 Kay Bergemann , Sebastian Reich

We combine high-dimensional factor models with fractional integration methods and derive models where nonstationary, potentially cointegrated data of different persistence is modelled as a function of common fractionally integrated factors.…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-05-12 Tobias Hartl

Nonlinear observer design for systems whose state space evolves on Lie groups is considered. The proposed method is similar to previously developed nonlinear observers in that it involves propagating the state estimate using a process model…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2018-04-10 David Evan Zlotnik , James Richard Forbes

An Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF, the predictor) is used make a large change in the state, followed by a Particle Filer (PF, the corrector) which assigns importance weights to describe non-Gaussian distribution. The weights are obtained by…

统计计算 · 统计学 2009-07-20 Jan Mandel , Jonathan D. Beezley

This paper uses a probabilistic approach to analyze the converge of an ensemble Kalman filter solution to an exact Kalman filter solution in the simplest possible setting, the scalar case, as it allows us to build upon a rich literature of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-03-31 Andrey A Popov , Adrian Sandu

The Kalman filter combines forecasts and new observations to obtain an estimation which is optimal in the sense of a minimum average quadratic error. The Kalman filter has two main restrictions: (i) the dynamical system is assumed linear…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-10-31 D. Sornette , K. Ide

A sequential estimator based on the Ensemble Kalman Filter for Data Assimilation of fluid flows is presented in this research work. The main feature of this estimator is that the Kalman filter update, which relies on the determination of…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2021-07-28 Gabriel Moldovan , Guillame Lehnasch , Laurent Cordier , Marcello Meldi

In this paper, we first review the theory of symmetry-preserving observers and we mention some recent results. Then, we apply the theory to Extended Kalman Filter-based Simultaneous Localization and Mapping (EKF SLAM). It allows to derive a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2011-05-12 Silvere Bonnabel

Bayesian filtering approximates the true underlying behavior of a time-varying system by inverting an explicit generative model to convert noisy measurements into state estimates. This process typically requires either storage, inversion,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-20 Gianluca M. Bencomo , Jake C. Snell , Thomas L. Griffiths

Closed-loop control algorithms for real-time calibration of quantum processors require efficient filters that can estimate physical error parameters based on streams of measured quantum circuit outcomes. Development of such filters is…

量子物理 · 物理学 2024-03-29 J. P. Marceaux , Kevin Young