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Uncertainty quantification seeks to provide a quantitative means to understand complex systems that are impacted by parametric uncertainty. The polynomial chaos method is a computational approach to solve stochastic partial differential…

数值分析 · 数学 2017-09-27 Melvin Leok , Gautam Wilkins

Polynomial chaos based methods enable the efficient computation of output variability in the presence of input uncertainty in complex models. Consequently, they have been used extensively for propagating uncertainty through a wide variety…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-09-18 Tuhin Sahai

In this paper, we develop a numerical approach based on Chaos expansions to analyze the sensitivity and the propagation of epistemic uncertainty through a queueing systems with breakdowns. Here, the quantity of interest is the stationary…

概率论 · 数学 2017-05-17 Katia Bachi , Cédric Chauvière , Hacène Djellout , Karim Abbas

When ignorance due to the lack of knowledge, modeled as epistemic uncertainty using Dempster-Shafer structures on closed intervals, is present in the model parameters, a new uncertainty propagation method is necessary to propagate both…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-07-11 Gabriel Terejanu , Puneet Singla , Tarunraj Singh , Peter D. Scott

Methods based on polynomial chaos expansion allow to approximate the behavior of systems with uncertain parameters by deterministic dynamics. These methods are used in a wide range of applications, spanning from simulation of uncertain…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2017-11-28 Tillmann Mühlpfordt , Rolf Findeisen , Veit Hagenmeyer , Timm Faulwasser

Method of parameterizing and smoothing the unknown underling distributions using Bernstein polynomials is proposed, verified and investigated. Any distribution with bounded and smooth enough density can be approximated by the proposed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-06-23 Zhong Guan

A fundamental problem in numerical analysis and approximation theory is approximating smooth functions by polynomials. A much harder version under recent consideration is to enforce bounds constraints on the approximating polynomial. In…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-12-28 Larry Allen , Robert C. Kirby

In this article, a formulation of a point-collocation method in which the unknown function is approximated using global expansion in tensor product Bernstein polynomial basis is presented. Bernstein polynomials used in this study are…

数值分析 · 数学 2012-11-16 Nikola Mirkov , Bosko Rasuo

In this paper, we introduce a method for approximating the solution to inference and optimization tasks in uncertain and deterministic reasoning. Such tasks are in general intractable for exact algorithms because of the large number of…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-12-12 David Ephraim Larkin

Verification solutions for uncertainty quantification are presented for time dependent transport problems where $c$, the scattering ratio, is uncertain. The method of polynomial chaos expansions is employed for quick and accurate…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2023-12-19 William Bennett , Ryan G. McClarren

Macroscopically heterogeneous materials, characterised mostly by comparable heterogeneity lengthscale and structural sizes, can no longer be modelled by deterministic approach instead. It is convenient to introduce stochastic approach with…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2014-02-07 Jan Sýkora , Anna Kučerová

Polynomial chaos is a powerful technique for propagating uncertainty through ordinary and partial differential equations. Random variables are expanded in terms of orthogonal polynomials and differential equations are derived for the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-06-18 José Miguel Pasini , Tuhin Sahai

Compressive sensing has become a powerful addition to uncertainty quantification when only limited data is available. In this paper we provide a general framework to enhance the sparsity of the representation of uncertainty in the form of…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-11-28 Xiu Yang , Xiaoliang Wan , Lin Lin , Huan Lei

We use Lyapunov-like functions and convex optimization to propagate uncertainty in the initial condition of nonlinear systems governed by ordinary differential equations. We consider the full nonlinear dynamics without approximation,…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-08-04 Francesca Covella , Giovanni Fantuzzi

In this work we introduce a manifold learning-based surrogate modeling framework for uncertainty quantification in high-dimensional stochastic systems. Our first goal is to perform data mining on the available simulation data to identify a…

A probabilistic performance-oriented controller design approach based on polynomial chaos expansion and optimization is proposed for flight dynamic systems. Unlike robust control techniques where uncertainties are conservatively handled,…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-04-20 Dalong Shi , Xiang Fang , Florian Holzapfel

In this paper, we consider the problem of propagating an uncertain distribution by a possibly non-linear function and quantifying the resulting uncertainty. We measure the uncertainty using the Wasserstein distance, and for a given input…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-06-13 Eduardo Figueiredo , Steven Adams , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Luca Laurenti

In modern engineering, physical processes are modelled and analysed using advanced computer simulations, such as finite element models. Furthermore, concepts of reliability analysis and robust design are becoming popular, hence, making…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-03-20 Roland Schöbi , Bruno Sudret

This paper discusses a methodology for determining a functional representation of a random process from a collection of scattered pointwise samples. The present work specifically focuses onto random quantities lying in a high dimensional…

数值分析 · 数学 2014-01-03 Lionel Mathelin

Stochastic expansion-based methods of uncertainty quantification, such as polynomial chaos and separated representations, require basis functions orthogonal with respect to the density of random inputs. Many modern engineering problems…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-08-06 Brandon A. Jones , Marc Balducci
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