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Composite likelihood has shown promise in settings where the number of parameters $p$ is large due to its ability to break down complex models into simpler components, thus enabling inference even when the full likelihood is not tractable.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-21 Claudia Di Caterina , Davide Ferrari

A stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) approach is presented for discrete-time linear systems with arbitrary time-invariant probabilistic uncertainties and additive Gaussian process noise. Closed-loop stability of the SMPC approach is…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2015-03-17 Joel A. Paulson , Stefan Streif , Ali Mesbah

This article revisits the fundamental problem of parameter selection for Gaussian process interpolation. By choosing the mean and the covariance functions of a Gaussian process within parametric families, the user obtains a family of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-09 Sébastien Petit , Julien Bect , Paul Feliot , Emmanuel Vazquez

In comparative studies, such as in causal inference and clinical trials, balancing important covariates is often one of the most important concerns for both efficient and credible comparison. However, chance imbalance still exists in many…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-07-30 Yichen Qin , Yang Li , Wei Ma , Feifang Hu

Conformal prediction offers a distribution-free framework for constructing prediction sets with coverage guarantees. In practice, multiple valid conformal prediction sets may be available, arising from different models or methodologies.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-26 Mahmoud Hegazy , Liviu Aolaritei , Michael I. Jordan , Aymeric Dieuleveut

This work develops a stochastic model predictive controller~(SMPC) for uncertain linear systems with additive Gaussian noise subject to state and control constraints. The proposed approach is based on the recently developed finite-horizon…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-11-26 Kazuhide Okamoto , Panagiotis Tsiotras

Recent work has shown that models trained to the same objective, and which achieve similar measures of accuracy on consistent test data, may nonetheless behave very differently on individual predictions. This inconsistency is undesirable in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-17 Emily Black , Klas Leino , Matt Fredrikson

Ensuring safety through set invariance has proven to be a valuable method in various robotics and control applications. This paper introduces a comprehensive framework for the safe probabilistic invariance verification of both discrete- and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-08-06 Taoran Wu , Yiqing Yu , Bican Xia , Ji Wang , Bai Xue

Weighted Majority Voting (WMV) is a well-known optimal decision rule for collective decision making, given the probability of sources to provide accurate information (trustworthiness). However, in reality, the trustworthiness is not a known…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-07-02 Shaojie Bai , Dongxia Wang , Tim Muller , Peng Cheng , Jiming Chen

Consider the normal linear regression setup when the number of covariates p is much larger than the sample size n, and the covariates form correlated groups. The response variable y is not related to an entire group of covariates in all or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-06 Pranay Agarwal , Subhajit Dutta , Minerva Mukhopadhyay

This paper presents a novel algorithm for solving distribution steering problems featuring nonlinear dynamics and chance constraints. Covariance steering (CS) is an emerging methodology in stochastic optimal control that poses constraints…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-09-24 Akash Ratheesh , Vincent Pacelli , Augustinos D. Saravanos , Evangelos A. Theodorou

In machine learning, it is commonly assumed that training and test data share the same population distribution. However, this assumption is often violated in practice because the sample selection bias may induce the distribution shift from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-09 Kun Kuang , Hengtao Zhang , Fei Wu , Yueting Zhuang , Aijun Zhang

We propose a method for variable selection in the intensity function of spatial point processes that combines sparsity-promoting estimation with noise-robust model selection. As high-resolution spatial data becomes increasingly available…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-30 Dominik Sturm , Ivo F. Sbalzarini

Self-similarity of systems is very popular and intensively developing field during last decades. To this field belong so-called stable distributions and their generalization. In Klebanov and Sl\'amov\'a (2014) there was given an approach to…

概率论 · 数学 2014-08-19 Lev B. Klebanov , Lenka Slámová , Ashot Kakosyan , Gregory Temnov

To model combinatorial decision problems involving uncertainty and probability, we introduce stochastic constraint programming. Stochastic constraint programs contain both decision variables (which we can set) and stochastic variables…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2009-03-09 Toby Walsh

An improved mixture of probabilistic principal component analysis (PPCA) has been introduced for nonlinear data-driven process monitoring in this paper. To realize this purpose, the technique of a mixture of probabilistic principal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-15 Jingxin Zhang , Hao Chen , Songhang Chen , Xia Hong

While techniques have been developed for chance constrained stochastic optimal control using sample disturbance data that provide a probabilistic confidence bound for chance constraint satisfaction, far less is known about how to use sample…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-03-31 Shawn Priore , Meeko Oishi

This paper studies the problem of selecting a minimum-size set of input nodes to guarantee stability of a networked system in the presence of uncertainties and time delays. Current approaches to input selection in networked dynamical…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-12-13 Zhipeng Liu , Yao Long , Andrew Clark , Phillip Lee , Linda Bushnell , Daniel Kirschen , Radha Poovendran

We propose novel controller synthesis techniques for probabilistic systems modelled using stochastic two-player games: one player acts as a controller, the second represents its environment, and probability is used to capture uncertainty…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2017-01-11 Klaus Drager , Vojtech Forejt , Marta Kwiatkowska , David Parker , Mateusz Ujma

Control systems operating in the real world face countless sources of unpredictable uncertainties. These random disturbances can render deterministic guarantees inapplicable and cause catastrophic safety failures. To overcome this, this…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-02-10 Pol Mestres , Blake Werner , Ryan K. Cosner , Aaron D. Ames