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Current solar flare predictions often lack precise quantification of their reliability, resulting in frequent false alarms, particularly when dealing with datasets skewed towards extreme events. To improve the trustworthiness of space…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2026-03-10 Jinsu Hong , Chetraj Pandey , Berkay Aydin

Weather forecasting is a vitally important tool for tasks ranging from planning day to day activities to disaster response planning. However, modeling weather has proven to be challenging task due to its chaotic and unpredictable nature.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-20 Lawrence Zhang , Adam Yang , Rodz Andrie Amor , Bryan Zhang , Dhruv Rao

Short-term (0-24 hours) precipitation forecasting is highly valuable to socioeconomic activities and public safety. However, the highly complex evolution patterns of precipitation events, the extreme imbalance between precipitation and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-30 Shuangliang Li , Siwei Li , Li Li , Weijie Zou , Jie Yang , Maolin Zhang

We introduce a model for the large-scale, global 3D structure of molecular clouds. Motivated by the morphological appearance of clouds in surface density maps, we model clouds as cylinders, with the aim of backing out information about the…

星系天体物理 · 物理学 2023-09-12 Nia Imara , John C. Forbes

This paper presents a system-level engineering approach for the preliminary coverage performance analysis and the design of a generic Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) constellation. This analysis accounts for both the coverage…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2020-09-22 Marco Nugnes , Camilla Colombo , Massimo Tipaldi

We present an operations-ready multi-model ensemble weather forecasting system which uses hybrid data-driven weather prediction models coupled with the European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) ocean model to predict global…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-03-26 Jonathan A. Weyn , Divya Kumar , Jeremy Berman , Najeeb Kazmi , Sylwester Klocek , Pete Luferenko , Kit Thambiratnam

Weather forecasting remains a crucial yet challenging domain, where recently developed models based on deep learning (DL) have approached the performance of traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. However, these DL models,…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-02-13 Zhanxiang Hua , Yutong He , Chengqian Ma , Alexandra Anderson-Frey

Operational meteorological forecasting has long relied on physics-based numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. Recently, this landscape has faced disruption by the advent of data-driven artificial intelligence (AI)-based weather models,…

A large fraction of known terrestrial-size exoplanets located in the Habitable Zone of M-dwarfs are expected to be tidally-locked. Numerous efforts have been conducted to study the climate of such planets, using in particular 3-D Global…

地球与行星天体物理 · 物理学 2021-06-09 Maxence Lefèvre , Martin Turbet , Raymond Pierrehumbert

A model is proposed for determining the distances to falling interstellar clouds in the galactic halo by measuring the cloud velocity and column density and assuming a model for the vertical density distribution of the Galactic interstellar…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2009-10-28 Robert A. Benjamin , Laura Danly

We present preliminary results of an optical-UV survey of the North Celestial Cap (NCCS) based on ~5% areal coverage. The NCCS will provide good photometric and astrometric data for the North Celestial Cap region (80 < DEC < 90). This…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2015-05-27 Evgeny Gorbikov , Noah Brosch

We introduce a universal diffusion-based downscaling framework that lifts deterministic low-resolution weather forecasts into probabilistic high-resolution predictions without any model-specific fine-tuning. A single conditional diffusion…

Modern climate projections often suffer from inadequate spatial and temporal resolution due to computational limitations, resulting in inaccurate representations of sub-grid processes. A promising technique to address this is the Multiscale…

On average molecular clouds convert only a small fraction epsilon_ff of their mass into stars per free-fall time, but differing star formation theories make contrasting claims for how this low mean efficiency is achieved. To test these…

星系天体物理 · 物理学 2022-02-09 Zipeng Hu , Mark R. Krumholz , Riwaj Pokhrel , Robert A. Gutermuth

Meteorologists use shapes and movements of clouds in satellite images as indicators of several major types of severe storms. Satellite imaginary data are in increasingly higher resolution, both spatially and temporally, making it impossible…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-06-26 Xinye Zheng , Jianbo Ye , Yukun Chen , Stephen Wistar , Jia Li , Jose A. Piedra-Fernández , Michael A. Steinberg , James Z. Wang

One significant difference between the atmospheres of stars and exoplanets is the presence of condensed particles (clouds or hazes) in the atmosphere of the latter. The main goal of this paper is to develop a self-consistent microphysical…

地球与行星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-06-11 A. Zsom , L. Kaltenegger , C. Goldblatt

The purpose of this study is to perform verification of the structural characteristics of high-resolution spatial forecasts without relying on an object identification algorithm. To this end, a wavelet approach developed for image texture…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-08-24 Florian Kapp , Petra Friederichs , Sebastian Brune , Michael Weniger

We compare the properties of clouds in simulated M33 galaxies to those observed in the real M33. We apply a friends of friends algorithm and CPROPS to identify clouds, as well as a pixel by pixel analysis. We obtain very good agreement…

星系天体物理 · 物理学 2019-03-20 C. L. Dobbs , E. Rosolowsky , A. R. Pettitt , J. Braine , E. Corbelli , J. Sun

Advancements in numerical weather prediction models have accelerated, fostering a more comprehensive understanding of physical phenomena pertaining to the dynamics of weather and related computing resources. Despite these advancements,…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2021-11-04 Alqamah Sayeed , Yunsoo Choi , Jia Jung , Yannic Lops , Ebrahim Eslami , Ahmed Khan Salman

Power spectra of global surface temperature (GST) records reveal major periodicities at about 9.1, 10-11, 19-22 and 59-62 years. The Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 (CMIP5) general circulation models (GCMs), to be used in the IPCC…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2013-10-29 Nicola Scafetta