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Likelihood-free methods, such as approximate Bayesian computation, are powerful tools for practical inference problems with intractable likelihood functions. Markov chain Monte Carlo and sequential Monte Carlo variants of approximate…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-02-26 David J. Warne , Ruth E. Baker , Matthew J. Simpson

In this article we consider Bayesian parameter inference associated to partially-observed stochastic processes that start from a set B0 and are stopped or killed at the first hitting time of a known set A. Such processes occur naturally…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-01-19 Ajay Jasra , Nikolas Kantas

This paper offers a personal review of some things we've learned about rates of convergence of Markov chains to their stationary distributions. The main topic is ways of speeding up diffusive behavior. It also points to open problems and…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-10-01 Persi Diaconis

Particle Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods are used to carry out inference in non-linear and non-Gaussian state space models, where the posterior density of the states is approximated using particles. Current approaches usually perform…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-09-30 Eduardo F. Mendes , Christopher K. Carter , David Gunawan , Robert Kohn

We introduce interacting particle Markov chain Monte Carlo (iPMCMC), a PMCMC method based on an interacting pool of standard and conditional sequential Monte Carlo samplers. Like related methods, iPMCMC is a Markov chain Monte Carlo sampler…

We study the rate of weak convergence of Markov chains to diffusion processes under suitable but quite general assumptions. We give an example in the financial framework, applying the convergence analysis to a multiple jumps tree…

概率论 · 数学 2020-05-06 Maya Briani , Lucia Caramellino , Giulia Terenzi

We consider quantile estimation using Markov chain Monte Carlo and establish conditions under which the sampling distribution of the Monte Carlo error is approximately Normal. Further, we investigate techniques to estimate the associated…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-04-20 Charles Doss , James M. Flegal , Galin L. Jones , Ronald C. Neath

We propose a Monte Carlo sampler from the reverse diffusion process. Unlike the practice of diffusion models, where the intermediary updates -- the score functions -- are learned with a neural network, we transform the score matching…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-03-14 Xunpeng Huang , Hanze Dong , Yifan Hao , Yi-An Ma , Tong Zhang

This review paper provides an introduction of Markov chains and their convergence rates which is an important and interesting mathematical topic which also has important applications for very widely used Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

This paper presents a novel theoretical Monte Carlo Markov chain procedure in the framework of graphs. It specifically deals with the construction of a Markov chain whose empirical distribution converges to a given reference one. The Markov…

概率论 · 数学 2019-07-02 Roy Cerqueti , Emilio De Santis

The computer revolution has been driven by a sustained increase of computational speed of approximately one order of magnitude (a factor of ten) every five years since about 1950. In natural sciences this has led to a continuous increase of…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-09-06 Bernd A. Berg

Simulation has become a standard tool in statistics because it may be the only tool available for analysing some classes of probabilistic models. We review in this paper simulation tools that have been specifically derived to address…

统计计算 · 统计学 2011-05-25 Christian P. Robert

We consider conditional tests for non-negative discrete exponential families. We develop two Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms which allow us to sample from the conditional space and to perform approximated tests. The first…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-07-27 Roberto Fontana , Francesca Romana Crucinio

In this paper a method based on a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm is proposed to compute the probability of a rare event. The conditional distribution of the underlying process given that the rare event occurs has the probability…

概率论 · 数学 2012-11-12 Thorbjörn Gudmundsson , Henrik Hult

Markov chain Monte Carlo is an inherently serial algorithm. Although likelihood calculations for individual steps can sometimes be parallelized, the serial evolution of the process is widely viewed as incompatible with parallelization,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-12-31 Douglas N. VanDerwerken , Scott C. Schmidler

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods asymptotically sample from complex probability distributions. The pseudo-marginal MCMC framework only requires an unbiased estimator of the unnormalized probability distribution function to construct…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-05-25 Iain Murray , Matthew M. Graham

The rapid development of computing power and efficient Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation algorithms have revolutionized Bayesian statistics, making it a highly practical inference method in applied work. However, MCMC algorithms…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-09-21 Matias Quiroz , Mattias Villani , Robert Kohn , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Khue-Dung Dang

Langevin algorithms are popular Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for large-scale sampling problems that often arise in data science. We propose Monte Carlo algorithms based on the discretizations of $P$-th order Langevin dynamics for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-08-26 Thanh Dang , Mert Gurbuzbalaban , Mohammad Rafiqul Islam , Nian Yao , Lingjiong Zhu

In this paper, we introduce efficient ensemble Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling methods for Bayesian computations in the univariate stochastic volatility model. We compare the performance of our ensemble MCMC methods with an…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-12-10 Alexander Y. Shestopaloff , Radford M. Neal

Approximate Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) offers the promise of more rapid sampling at the cost of more biased inference. Since standard MCMC diagnostics fail to detect these biases, researchers have developed computable Stein discrepancy…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-16 Jackson Gorham , Lester Mackey