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Decision theories offer principled methods for making choices under various types of uncertainty. Algorithms that implement these theories have been successfully applied to a wide range of real-world problems, including materials and drug…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-26 Agustinus Kristiadi

The general theory of the branching processes is used for establishing the relation between the parameters $k$ and $\bar n$ of the negative binomial distribution. This relation gives the possibility to describe the overall data on…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2009-10-22 S. G. Matinyan , E. B. Prokhorenko

The likelihood function is central to both frequentist and Bayesian formulations of parametric statistical inference, and large-sample approximations to the sampling distributions of estimators and test statistics, and to posterior…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-05 Anthony C. Davison , Nancy Reid

Published exactly seventy years ago, Jeffreys's Theory of Probability (1939) has had a unique impact on the Bayesian community and is now considered to be one of the main classics in Bayesian Statistics as well as the initiator of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-10-11 Christian P. Robert , Nicolas Chopin , Judith Rousseau

In this paper we consider a model based on branching process theory for the proliferation and the dissemination network of T cells in the adaptive immune response. A multi-type Galton Watson branching process is assumed as the basic…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2015-06-09 Alessandro Boianelli , Antonio Vicino

The mathematical achievements of Harry Kesten since the mid-1950s have revolutionized probability theory as a subject in its own right and in its associations with aspects of algebra, analysis, geometry, and statistical physics. Through his…

历史与综述 · 数学 2020-03-23 Geoffrey R. Grimmett , Gregory F. Lawler

Inductive inference is a recursion-theoretic theory of learning, first developed by E. M. Gold (1967). This paper surveys developments in probabilistic inductive inference. We mainly focus on finite inference of recursive functions, since…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2007-05-23 Andris Ambainis

Not only did Turing help found one of the most exciting areas of modern science (computer science), but it may be that his contribution to our understanding of our physical reality is greater than we had hitherto supposed. Here I explore…

计算复杂性 · 计算机科学 2014-08-01 Hector Zenil

The book A Treatise on Probability was published by John Maynard Keynes in 1921. It contains a critical assessment of the foundations of probability and of the current statistical methodology. As a modern reader, we review here the aspects…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-10-19 Christian P. Robert

In the footsteps of the book \textit{Measure Theory and Integration By and For the Learner} of our series in Probability Theory and Statistics, we intended to devote a special volume of the very probabilistic aspects of the first cited…

概率论 · 数学 2018-08-07 Gane Samb Lo

Multivariate Hawkes Processes (MHPs) are an important class of temporal point processes that have enabled key advances in understanding and predicting social information systems. However, due to their complex modeling of temporal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-03-02 Maximilian Nickel , Matthew Le

Branching processes are a class of continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) with ubiquitous applications. A general difficulty in statistical inference under partially observed CTMC models arises in computing transition probabilities when the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-03-10 Jason Xu , Vladimir N. Minin

This is a 1971 dissertation. Only its extended abstract was published at the time. While some results appeared in other publications, a number of details remained unpublished and may still have relevance.

信息论 · 计算机科学 2018-12-03 Leonid A. Levin

We give an account of matter and (basically) a solution of a new class of problems synthesizing percolation theory and branching diffusion processes. They led us to realizing a novel type of stochastic processes, namely branching processes…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2011-12-08 A. Mezhlumian , S. A. Molchanov

This text presents an unified approach of probability and statistics in the pursuit of understanding and computation of randomness in engineering or physical or social system with prediction with generalizability. Starting from elementary…

历史与综述 · 数学 2024-01-19 Lakshman Mahto

This paper is a collection of recent results on discrete-time and continuous-time branching random walks. Some results are new and others are known. Many aspects of this theory are considered: local, global and strong local survival, the…

概率论 · 数学 2018-05-07 Daniela Bertacchi , Fabio Zucca

The aim of this paper is to introduce a multitype branching process with random migration following the research initiated with the Galton-Watson process with migration introduced in [Yanev & Mitov (1980) C. R. Acad. Bulg. Sci.…

概率论 · 数学 2024-09-10 Miguel González , Pedro Martín-Chávez , Inés del Puerto

We introduce a model-independent approximation for the branching ratio of Hawkes self-exciting point processes. Our estimator requires knowing only the mean and variance of the event count in a sufficiently large time window, statistics…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2014-12-17 Stephen J. Hardiman , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

We investigate a two-type critical Bellman--Harris branching process with the following properties: the tail of the life-length distribution of the first type particles is of order $o(t^{-2})$; the tail of the life-length distribution of…

概率论 · 数学 2013-11-06 Vladimir Vatutin , Alexander Iksanov , Valentin Topchii

This article examines a recent body of work on stochastic processes indexed by a tree. Emphasis is on the application of this new framework to existing probability models. Proofs are largely omitted, with references provided.

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Robin Pemantle