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The detection and quantification of narrow emission lines in X-ray spectra is a challenging statistical task. The Poisson nature of the photon counts leads to local random fluctuations in the observed spectrum that often results in excess…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2009-11-13 Taeyoung Park , David A. van Dyk , Aneta Siemiginowska

"Approximate Bayesian Computation" (ABC) represents a powerful methodology for the analysis of complex stochastic systems for which the likelihood of the observed data under an arbitrary set of input parameters may be entirely…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2015-06-04 E. Cameron , A. N. Pettitt

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) techniques are now widely used for cosmological parameter estimation. Chains are generated to sample the posterior probability distribution obtained following the Bayesian approach. An important issue is how…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Joanna Dunkley , Martin Bucher , Pedro G. Ferreira , Kavilan Moodley , Constantinos Skordis

We present the Solar Bayesian Analysis Toolkit (SoBAT) which is a new easy to use tool for Bayesian analysis of observational data, including parameter inference and model comparison. SoBAT is aimed (but not limited) to be used for the…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2021-01-20 Sergey A. Anfinogentov , Valery M. Nakariakov , David J. Pascoe , Christopher R. Goddard

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are commonly used for their versatility in sampling from complicated probability distributions. However, as the dimension of the distribution gets larger, the computational costs for a satisfactory…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2020-12-01 Hector J. Hortua , Riccardo Volpi , Dimitri Marinelli , Luigi Malago

Bayesian filtering aims at tracking sequentially a hidden process from an observed one. In particular, sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) techniques propagate in time weighted trajectories which represent the posterior probability density…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-10-22 Yohan Petetin , François Desbouvries

Bayesian hierarchical modeling is a popular approach to capturing unobserved heterogeneity across individual units. However, standard estimation methods such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) can be impracticable for modeling outcomes from…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-11-04 Michael Braun , Paul Damien

Over the past two decades, helioseismology has revolutionized our understanding of the interior structure and dynamics of the Sun. Asteroseismology will soon place this knowledge into a broader context by providing structural data for…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2009-10-02 T. S. Metcalfe , O. L. Creevey , J. Christensen-Dalsgaard

We propose an efficient Bayesian MCMC algorithm for estimating cosmological parameters from CMB data without use of likelihood approximations. It builds on a previously developed Gibbs sampling framework that allows for exploration of the…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2016-03-29 Benjamin Racine , Jeffrey B. Jewell , Hans Kristian K. Eriksen , Ingunn K. Wehus

The study presents a novel approach for stochastic nonlinear model updating in structural dynamics, employing a Bayesian framework integrated with Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling for parameter estimation by using an approximated…

A method was developed for Bayesian inference of species phylogeny using the multi-species coalescent model. To improve the mixing properties of the Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm that traverses the space of species trees, we…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2015-12-15 Bruce Rannala , Ziheng Yang

We present a Bayesian approach to the problem of determining parameters for coalescing binary systems observed with laser interferometric detectors. By applying a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm, specifically the Gibbs sampler, we…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Nelson Christensen , Renate Meyer

We propose a Bayesian tensor-on-tensor regression approach to predict a multidimensional array (tensor) of arbitrary dimensions from another tensor of arbitrary dimensions, building upon the Tucker decomposition of the regression…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-21 Kunbo Wang , Yanxun Xu

Employing Bayesian inference to calibrate constitutive model parameters has grown substantially in recent years. Among the available techniques, Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling remains one of the most widely used approaches for…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2026-04-02 Aricia Rinkens , Rodrigo L. S. Silva , Erik Quaeghebeur , Nick Jaensson , Clemens Verhoosel

Asteroseismology with the Kepler space telescope is providing not only an improved characterization of exoplanets and their host stars, but also a new window on stellar structure and evolution for the large sample of solar-type stars in the…

Closed-form, interpretable mathematical models have been instrumental for advancing our understanding of the world; with the data revolution, we may now be in a position to uncover new such models for many systems from physics to the social…

Nuclear Magnetic Resonance (NMR) spectra are widely used in metabolomics to obtain profiles of metabolites dissolved in biofluids such as cell supernatants. Methods for estimating metabolite concentrations from these spectra are presently…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-05-16 William Astle , Maria De Iorio , Sylvia Richardson , David Stephens , Timothy Ebbels

Accurately measuring stellar ages and internal structures is challenging, but the inclusion of asteroseismic observables can substantially improve precision. However, the curse of dimensionality means this comes at a high computational cost…

The space-borne missions CoRoT and Kepler have opened a new era in stellar physics, especially for evolved stars, with precise asteroseismic measurements that help determine precise stellar parameters and perform ensemble astero seismology.…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-06-17 Benoit Mosser , Kevin Belkacem , Mathieu Vrard

In many problems, complex non-Gaussian and/or nonlinear models are required to accurately describe a physical system of interest. In such cases, Monte Carlo algorithms are remarkably flexible and extremely powerful approaches to solve such…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-04-23 Thi Le Thu Nguyen , Francois Septier , Gareth W. Peters , Yves Delignon