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A Bayesian method for forecasting solar cycles is presented. The approach combines a Fokker--Planck description of short--timescale (daily) fluctuations in sunspot number (\citeauthor{NobleEtAl2011}, 2011, \apj{} \textbf{732}, 5) with…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-06-03 Patrick L. Noble , Michael S. Wheatland

We use the technique of wavelet analysis to quantitatively investigate the role of solar variability in forcing terrestrial climate change on solar cycle timescales (roughly 11 years). We examine the connection between mean annual solar…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Matthew J. Lewis , Katherine Freese

Observations over the past two solar cycles show a highly irregular pattern of occurrence for major solar flares, gamma-ray events, and solar energetic particle (SEP) fluences. Such phenomena do not appear to follow the direct indices of…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2008-11-26 Hugh S. Hudson

The empirical relation between the X-ray luminosity (in the 2-10 keV band) and the rate of spin-down energy loss of a sample of 37 pulsars is re-examined considering recent data from ASCA, RXTE, BeppoSAX, Chandra, and XMM-Newton. The data…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Andrea Possenti , Rossella Cerutti , Monica Colpi , Sandro Mereghetti

Long-running measurements of the solar radio flux density at 810 MHz were processed. Based on the least-squares method and using modified periodograms and an iterative technique of fitting and subtracting sinusoids in the time domain,…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2009-11-13 S. Zieba , J. Maslowski , A. Michalec , G. Michalek , A. Kulak

We consider the possibility of solar neutrino decay as a sub-leading effect on their propagation between production and detection. Using current oscillation data, we set a new lower bound to the $\nu_2$ neutrino lifetime at $\tau_2\, /\,…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2016-08-10 R. Picoreti , M. M. Guzzo , P. C. de Holanda , O. L. G. Peres

We use 5 test data series to quantify putative discontinuities around 1946 in 5 annual-mean sunspot number or group number sequences. The series tested are: the original and new versions of the Wolf/Zurich/International sunspot number…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2016-10-05 Mike Lockwood , Mathew J. Owens , Luke A. Barnard

We present a combined analysis of XMM-Newton, Chandra and Rosat observations of the isolated neutron star RX J0720.4-3125, spanning a total period of \sim 7 years. We develop a maximum likelihood periodogramme based on \Delta C statistic…

Herein we adopt a multi-scale dynamical spectral analysis technique to compare and study the dynamical evolution of the harmonic components of the overlapping ACRIMSAT/ACRIM3, SOHO/VIRGO and SORCE/TIM total solar irradiance (TSI) records…

综合物理 · 物理学 2013-11-28 Nicola Scafetta , Richard C. Willson

The Sun experienced a period of unprecedented activity during the 20th century, now called the Modern Maximum (MM). The decay of the MM after cycle 19 has changed the Sun, the heliosphere, and the planetary environments in many ways.…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2024-03-14 K. Mursula , A. A. Pevtsov , T. Asikainen , I. Tähtinen , A. R. Yeates

In the present work we show robust indications of the existence of g modes in the Sun using 10 years of GOLF data. The present analysis is based on the exploitation of the collective properties of the predicted low-frequency (25 to 140…

In certain pulsar timing experiments, where observations are scheduled approximately periodically (e.g. daily), timing models with significantly different frequencies (including but not limited to glitch models with different frequency…

高能天体物理现象 · 物理学 2021-04-28 Liam Dunn , Marcus E. Lower , Andrew Melatos

We build and train the artificial neural network model (ANN) based on the experimental $\alpha$-decay energy ($Q_{\alpha}$) data. Besides decays between the ground states of parent and daughter nuclei, decays from the ground state of parent…

核理论 · 物理学 2022-04-12 Hong-Qiang You , Zheng-Zhe Qu , Ren-Hang Wu , Hao-Ze Su , Xiao-Tao He

A statistical analysis of a large data set of H-alpha flares comprising almost 100000 single events that occurred during the period January 1975 to December 1999 is presented. We analyzed the flares evolution steps, i.e. duration, rise…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 M. Temmer , A. Veronig , A. Hanslmeier , W. Otruba , M. Messerotti

Forecasting the strength of the sunspot cycle is highly important for many space weather applications. Our previous studies have shown the importance of sunspot number variability in the declining phase of the current 11-year sunspot cycle…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2017-12-18 Tatiana Podladchikova , Ronald Van der Linden , Astrid M. Veronig

The Sun's activity cycle governs the radiation, particle and magnetic flux in the heliosphere creating hazardous space weather. Decadal-scale variations define space climate and force the Earth's atmosphere. However, predicting the solar…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2019-09-11 Prantika Bhowmik , Dibyendu Nandy

We use microwave imaging observations from the Nobeyama Radioheliograph at 17 GHz for long-term studies of solar activity. In particular, we use the polar and low-latitude brightness temperatures as proxies to the polar magnetic field and…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2018-08-15 N. Gopalswamy , P. Makela , S. Yashiro , S. Akiyama

We present a combined analysis of XMM-Newton, Chandra and Rosat observations of the isolated neutron star RXJ0720.4-3125, spanning a total period of \sim 7 years. We develop a maximum likelihood periodogramme for our analysis based on the…

The Earth slowly decelerates in its rotation due to the energy dissipation caused by the interaction to the Moon. This leads to the continuous increasing of the length of the mean solar day (aka, length-of-day, or, LOD) relatively to 86400…

地球与行星天体物理 · 物理学 2026-04-14 Oleg Titov

We analyzed the combined 142 years sunspot-group data from Greenwich Photoheliograpic Results (GPR) and Debrecen Photoheliographic Data (DPD) and determined the yearly mean residual rotation rate and the meridional velocity of sunspot…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2021-09-22 J. Javaraiah