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Networks of contacts capable of spreading infectious diseases are often observed to be highly heterogeneous, with the majority of individuals having fewer contacts than the mean, and a significant minority having relatively very many…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-12-21 César Parra-Rojas , Thomas House , Alan J. McKane

Infectious disease superspreading caused by heterogeneity in contact behavior has been observed to be an important determinant of epidemic dynamics and size in both empirical and theoretical settings. However, it has also been observed that…

We study extensions of the classical SIR model of epidemic spread. First, we consider a single population modified SIR epidemics model in which the contact rate is allowed to be an arbitrary function of the fraction of susceptible and…

动力系统 · 数学 2021-12-17 Martina Alutto , Giacomo Como , Fabio Fagnani

Contact patterns in populations fundamentally influence the spread of infectious diseases. Current mathematical methods for epidemiological forecasting on networks largely assume that contacts between individuals are fixed, at least for the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2007-05-23 Erik Volz , Lauren Ancel Meyers

To simplify mathematical models of disease spread, we often assume equal contact rates among hosts, but real-world scenarios differ. Network-based frameworks help capture these complexities and structural variations in actual systems. We…

动力系统 · 数学 2024-07-03 Saswata Das , Mohammad Hossein Samaei , Caterina Scoglio

Infectious diseases are practically represented by models with multiple states and complex transition rules corresponding to, for example, birth, death, infection, recovery, disease progression, and quarantine. In addition, networks…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Naoki Masuda , Norio Konno

A network epidemic model is studied. The underlying social network has two different types of group structures, households and workplaces, such that each individual belongs to exactly one household and one workplace. The random network is…

概率论 · 数学 2024-10-10 Frank Ball , Tom Britton , Peter Neal

The importance of modeling the spread of epidemics through a population has led to the development of mathematical models for infectious disease propagation. A number of empirical studies have collected and analyzed data on contacts between…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2017-07-28 Rehan Ahmad , Kevin S. Xu

The spread of an infectious disease depends on intrinsic properties of the disease as well as the connectivity and actions of the population. This study investigates the dynamics of an SIR type model which accounts for human tendency to…

动力系统 · 数学 2021-07-26 Hannah Scanlon , John Gemmer

The structure of social contact networks strongly influences the dynamics of epidemic diseases. In particular the scale-free structure of real-world social networks allows unlikely diseases with low infection rates to spread and become…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2012-09-13 Güven Demirel , Thilo Gross

Epidemic spread in single-host systems strongly depends on the population's contact network. However, little is known regarding the spread of epidemics across networks representing populations of multiple hosts. We explored cross-species…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2017-12-06 Shai Pilosof , Gili Greenbaum , Boris R. Krasnov , Yuval R. Zelnik

Human behavior plays a critical role in shaping epidemic trajectories. During health crises, people respond in diverse ways in terms of self-protection and adherence to recommended measures, largely reflecting differences in how individuals…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-01-30 Fabio Mazza , Gabriele Ricci , Francesca Colaiori , Stefano Guarino , Sandro Meloni , Fabio Saracco

The adoption of prophylaxis attitudes, such as social isolation and use of face masks, to mitigate epidemic outbreaks strongly depends on the support of the population. In this work, we investigate a susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR)…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-10-05 Diogo H. Silva , Celia Anteneodo , Silvio C. Ferreira

The spread of an infectious disease can, in some cases, promote the propagation of other pathogens favouring violent outbreaks, which cause a discontinuous transition to an endemic state. The topology of the contact network plays a crucial…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-03-21 Peng-Bi Cui , Francesca Colaiori , Claudio Castellano

Contagious processes, such as spread of infectious diseases, social behaviors, or computer viruses, affect biological, social, and technological systems. Epidemic models for large populations and finite populations on networks have been…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-04-14 Renato Pagliara , Naomi E. Leonard

For many infectious diseases, a small-world network on an underlying regular lattice is a suitable simplified model for the contact structure of the host population. It is well known that the contact network, described in this setting by a…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2009-11-11 M. M. Telo da Gama , A. Nunes

In real social networks, person-to-person interactions are known to be heterogeneous, which can affect the way a disease spreads through a population, reaches a tipping point in the fraction of infected individuals, and becomes an epidemic.…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-05-12 Ignacio A. Perez , Paul A. Trunfio , Cristian E. La Rocca , Lidia A. Braunstein

We study a well mixed SIR epidemic model with heterogeneous susceptibility and infectivity, allowing for an arbitrary joint distribution of these traits. Using an exact final size formulation and a branching process approximation for early…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2026-01-06 Mohamed El Khalifi

The study of social networks, and in particular the spread of disease on networks, has attracted considerable recent attention in the physics community. In this paper, we show that a large class of standard epidemiological models, the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 M. E. J. Newman

We investigate the effects of modular and temporal connectivity patterns on epidemic spreading. To this end, we introduce and analytically characterise a model of time-varying networks with tunable modularity. Within this framework, we…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2017-10-05 Matthieu Nadini , Kaiyuan Sun , Enrico Ubaldi , Michele Starnini , Alessandro Rizzo , Nicola Perra
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