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We study cash-flow forecasting for derivatives used in liquidity management and clarify its relation to risk-neutral valuation and replication. While it is well known that expectations under different measures (e.g., $\mathbb{P}$ vs.…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2026-05-05 Christian P. Fries

The derivation of upper bounds on data flows' worst-case traversal times is an important task in many application areas. For accurate bounds, model simplifications should be avoided even in large networks. Network Calculus (NC) provides a…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2024-01-17 Fabien Geyer , Alexander Scheffler , Steffen Bondorf

Market-based mechanisms such as auctions are being studied as an appropriate means for resource allocation in distributed and mulitagent decision problems. When agents value resources in combination rather than in isolation, they must often…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-01-30 Craig Boutilier , Moises Goldszmidt , Bikash Sabata

Information management is one of the most significant issues in nowadays data centers. Selection of appropriate software, security mechanisms and effective energy consumption management together with caring for the environment enforces a…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2017-03-29 Katarzyna Mazur , Bogdan Ksiezopolski

Dempster-Shafer theory of imprecise probabilities has proved useful to incorporate both nonspecificity and conflict uncertainties in an inference mechanism. The traditional Bayesian approach cannot differentiate between the two, and is…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2015-03-20 Sari Haj Hussein

Stochastic fluid-fluid models (SFFMs) offer powerful modeling ability for a wide range of real-life systems of significance. The existing theoretical framework for this class of models is in terms of operator-analytic methods. For the first…

概率论 · 数学 2022-03-01 Nigel G. Bean , Małgorzata M. O'Reilly , Zbigniew Palmowski

The detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) is one of the most widely used tools for the detection of long-range correlations in time series. Although DFA has found many interesting applications and has been shown as one of the best performing…

统计力学 · 物理学 2020-03-18 G. Sikora , M. Hoell , A. Wylomanska , J. Gajda , A. V. Chechkin , H. Kantz

Data flow diagrams (DFDs) are popular for sketching systems for subsequent threat modelling. Their limited semantics make reasoning about them difficult, but enriching them endangers their simplicity and subsequent ease of take up. We…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2020-06-09 Shamal Faily , Riccardo Scandariato , Adam Shostack , Laurens Sion , Duncan Ki-Aries

Assigning resources in business processes execution is a repetitive task that can be effectively automated. However, different automation methods may give varying results that may not be optimal. Proper resource allocation is crucial as it…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-02 Kamil Żbikowski , Michał Ostapowicz , Piotr Gawrysiak

This paper introduces a novel approach Counterfactual Shapley Values (CSV), which enhances explainability in reinforcement learning (RL) by integrating counterfactual analysis with Shapley Values. The approach aims to quantify and compare…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-08-07 Yiwei Shi , Qi Zhang , Kevin McAreavey , Weiru Liu

Banks and financial institutions all over the world manage portfolios containing tens of thousands of customers. Not all customers are high credit-worthy, and many possess varying degrees of risk to the Bank or financial institutions that…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-09-17 Dominic Joseph

A simple statement and accessible proof of a version of the Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing in discrete time is provided. Careful distinction is made between prices and cash flows in order to provide uniform treatment of all…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2019-12-04 Keith A. Lewis

First, we analyze the variance of the Cross Validation (CV)-based estimators used for estimating the performance of classification rules. Second, we propose a novel estimator to estimate this variance using the Influence Function (IF)…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-11-10 Waleed A. Yousef

The fragility of financial systems was starkly demonstrated in early 2023 through a cascade of major bank failures in the United States, including the second, third, and fourth largest collapses in the US history. The highly interdependent…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2024-11-19 Kamil Fortuna , Janusz Szwabiński

We consider a structural model where the survival/default state is observed together with a noisy version of the firm value process. This assumption makes the model more realistic than most of the existing alternatives, but triggers…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2019-09-05 Cheikh Mbaye , Abass Sagna , Frédéric Vrins

Differential machine learning (DML) is a recently proposed technique that uses samplewise state derivatives to regularize least square fits to learn conditional expectations of functionals of stochastic processes as functions of state…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2023-02-21 Arun Kumar Polala , Bernhard Hientzsch

Deep Learning methods have seen a wide range of successful applications across different industries. Up until now, applications to physical simulations such as CFD (Computational Fluid Dynamics), have been limited to simple test-cases of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-20 Giuseppe Bruni , Sepehr Maleki , Senthil K. Krishnababu

Business process deviance refers to the phenomenon whereby a subset of the executions of a business process deviate, in a negative or positive way, with respect to its expected or desirable outcomes. Deviant executions of a business process…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2016-08-31 Hoang Nguyen , Marlon Dumas , Marcello La Rosa , Fabrizio Maria Maggi , Suriadi Suriadi

Following the rise in popularity of data-centric machine learning (ML), various data valuation methods have been proposed to quantify the contribution of each datapoint to desired ML model performance metrics (e.g., accuracy). Beyond the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-31 Keziah Naggita , Julienne LaChance

Monetization of the non-use and nonmarket values of ecosystem services is important especially in the areas of environmental cost-benefit analysis, management and environmental impact assessment. However, the reliability of valuation…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2018-11-21 Shuyao Wu , Shuangcheng Li