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We are concerned with testing replicability hypotheses for many endpoints simultaneously. This constitutes a multiple test problem with composite null hypotheses. Traditional $p$-values, which are computed under least favourable parameter…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-02-26 Anh-Tuan Hoang , Thorsten Dickhaus

To date, testing interactions in high dimensions has been a challenging task. Existing methods often have issues with sensitivity to modeling assumptions and heavily asymptotic nominal p-values. To help alleviate these issues, we propose a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2012-06-29 Noah Simon , Robert Tibshirani

Exchangeability -- in which the distribution of an infinite sequence is invariant to reorderings of its elements -- implies the existence of a simple conditional independence structure that may be leveraged in the design of statistical…

Neural networks are powerful predictive models, but they provide little insight into the nature of relationships between predictors and outcomes. Although numerous methods have been proposed to quantify the relative contributions of input…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-30 Francesca Mandel , Ian Barnett

Statistical hypothesis testing and effect size measurement are routine parts of quantitative research. Advancements in computer processing power have greatly improved the capability of statistical inference through the availability of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-01-18 Michael J. Crosse , John J. Foxe , Sophie Molholm

We consider a permutation method for testing whether observations given in their natural pairing exhibit an unusual level of similarity in situations where any two observations may be similar at some unknown baseline level. Under a null…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Larry Goldstein , Yosef Rinott

Classical and more recent tests for detecting distributional changes in multivariate time series often lack power against alternatives that involve changes in the cross-sectional dependence structure. To be able to detect such changes…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-09-16 Axel Bücher , Ivan Kojadinovic , Tom Rohmer , Johan Segers

We introduce equivalence testing procedures for linear regression analyses. Such tests can be very useful for confirming the lack of a meaningful association between a continuous outcome and a continuous or binary predictor. Specifically,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-17 Harlan Campbell

We extend conformal prediction methodology beyond the case of exchangeable data. In particular, we show that a weighted version of conformal prediction can be used to compute distribution-free prediction intervals for problems in which the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-08 Ryan J. Tibshirani , Rina Foygel Barber , Emmanuel J. Candes , Aaditya Ramdas

P-values are a mainstay in statistics but are often misinterpreted. We propose a new interpretation of p-value as a meaningful plausibility, where this is to be interpreted formally within the inferential model framework. We show that, for…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-10-28 Ryan Martin , Chuanhai Liu

Adaptive experiments use preliminary analyses of the data to inform further course of action and are commonly used in many disciplines including medical and social sciences. Because the null hypothesis and experimental design are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-26 Tobias Freidling , Qingyuan Zhao , Zijun Gao

A standard practice in statistical hypothesis testing is to mention the p-value alongside the accept/reject decision. We show the advantages of mentioning an e-value instead. With p-values, it is not clear how to use an extreme observation…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-04 Peter Grünwald

There is a useful counterpart of conformal prediction for e-values, called conformal e-prediction. Conformal prediction can serve as basis for testing the assumption of exchangeability, leading to conformal testing. Similarly, conformal…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-11-05 Vladimir Vovk , Ilia Nouretdinov , Alex Gammerman

A number of biomedical problems require performing many hypothesis tests, with an attendant need to apply stringent thresholds. Often the data take the form of a series of predictor vectors, each of which must be compared with a single…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-05-13 Yi-Hui Zhou , Fred Wright

In randomized experiments with noncompliance, tests may focus on compliers rather than on the overall sample. Rubin (1998) put forth such a method, and argued that testing for the complier average causal effect and averaging permutation…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-02-23 Laura Forastiere , Fabrizia Mealli , Luke Miratrix

Increased availability of data and accessibility of computational tools in recent years have created unprecedented opportunities for scientific research driven by statistical analysis. Inherent limitations of statistics impose constrains on…

基因组学 · 定量生物学 2016-09-13 Olga A. Vsevolozhskaya , Gabriel Ruiz , Dmitri V. Zaykin

Model checking plays an important role in linear regression as model misspecification seriously affects the validity and efficiency of regression analysis. In practice, model checking is often performed by subjectively evaluating the plot…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-11-19 Rok Blagus , Jakob Peterlin , Janez Stare

In observational causal inference, in order to emulate a randomized experiment, weights are used to render treatments independent of observed covariates. This property is known as balance; in its absence, estimated causal effects may be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-16 David Arbour , Drew Dimmery , Arjun Sondhi

Many testing problems are readily amenable to randomised tests such as those employing data splitting. However despite their usefulness in principle, randomised tests have obvious drawbacks. Firstly, two analyses of the same dataset may…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-05 F. Richard Guo , Rajen D. Shah

One of the most popular class of tests for independence between two random variables is the general class of rank statistics which are invariant under permutations. This class contains Spearman's coefficient of rank correlation statistic,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2009-02-04 Ehab F. Abd-Elfattah