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We propose two robust methods for testing hypotheses on unknown parameters of predictive regression models under heterogeneous and persistent volatility as well as endogenous, persistent and/or fat-tailed regressors and errors. The proposed…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-12-25 Rustam Ibragimov , Jihyun Kim , Anton Skrobotov

This paper provides a formal econometric framework behind the newly developed difference-in-discontinuities design (DiDC). Despite its increasing use in applied research, there are currently limited studies of its properties. We formalize…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-28 Pedro Picchetti , Cristine C. X. Pinto , Stephanie T. Shinoki

This paper introduces a new class of robust estimates for ARMA models. They are M-estimates, but the residuals are computed so the effect of one outlier is limited to the period where it occurs. These estimates are closely related to those…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-04-02 Nora Muler , Daniel Peña , Víctor J. Yohai

We establish a general framework for statistical inferences with non-probability survey samples when relevant auxiliary information is available from a probability survey sample. We develop a rigorous procedure for estimating the propensity…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-05-17 Yilin Chen , Pengfei Li , Changbao Wu

Robustness and counterfactual bias are usually evaluated on a test dataset. However, are these evaluations robust? If the test dataset is perturbed slightly, will the evaluation results keep the same? In this paper, we propose a "double…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2021-04-13 Chong Zhang , Jieyu Zhao , Huan Zhang , Kai-Wei Chang , Cho-Jui Hsieh

In this paper, we develop robust estimators and tests for one-shot device testing under proportional hazards assumption based on divergence measures. Through a detailed Monte Carlo simulation study and a numerical example, the developed…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-04-29 N. Balakrishnan , E. Castilla , N. Martin , L. Pardo

The class of doubly-robust (DR) functionals studied by Rotnitzky et al. (2021) is of central importance in economics and biostatistics. It strictly includes both (i) the class of mean-square continuous functionals that can be written as an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-29 Lin Liu , Rajarshi Mukherjee , James M. Robins

In any parametric inference problem, the robustness of the procedure is a real concern. A procedure which retains a high degree of efficiency under the model and simultaneously provides stable inference under data contamination is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-01 Ayanendranath Basu , Abhijit Mandal , Nirian Martin , Leandro Pardo

Estimating the effect of treatments from natural experiments, where treatments are pre-assigned, is an important and well-studied problem. We introduce a novel natural experiment dataset obtained from an early childhood literacy nonprofit.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-09-10 R. Teal Witter , Christopher Musco

Recommender systems often suffer from selection bias as users tend to rate their preferred items. The datasets collected under such conditions exhibit entries missing not at random and thus are not randomized-controlled trials representing…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2024-03-05 Wonbin Kweon , Hwanjo Yu

When studying treatment effects in multilevel studies, investigators commonly use (semi-)parametric estimators, which make strong parametric assumptions about the outcome, the treatment, and/or the correlation structure between study units…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-05-12 Chan Park , Hyunseung Kang

Accurate simulation of complex physical systems enables the development, testing, and certification of control strategies before they are deployed into the real systems. As simulators become more advanced, the analytical tractability of the…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2020-05-27 Lucas Barcelos , Rafael Oliveira , Rafael Possas , Lionel Ott , Fabio Ramos

A two-stage normal hierarchical model called the Fay--Herriot model and the empirical Bayes estimator are widely used to provide indirect and model-based estimates of means in small areas. However, the performance of the empirical Bayes…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-08-26 Shonosuke Sugasawa

Linear regressions with endogeneity are widely used to estimate causal effects. This paper studies a framework that involves two common practical issues: endogeneity of the regressors and heteroskedasticity that depends on endogenous…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-10 Javier Alejo , Antonio F. Galvao , Julian Martinez-Iriarte , Gabriel Montes-Rojas

This paper presents new families of Rao-type test statistics based on the minimum density power divergence estimators which provide robust generalizations for testing simple and composite null hypotheses. The asymptotic null distributions…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-08-27 Ayanendranath Basu , Abhik Ghosh , Nirian Martin , Leandro Pardo

This work is concerned with the detection of a mixture distribution from a $\mathbb{R}$-valued sample. Given a sample $X_1,\dots,X_n$ and an even density $\phi$, our aim is to detect whether the sample distribution is $\phi(\cdot-\mu)$ for…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-01-22 Béatrice Laurent , Clément Marteau , Cathy Maugis-Rabusseau

We introduce a generalized formulation of mutual information (MI) based on the extended Bregman divergence, a framework that subsumes the generalized S-Bregman (GSB) divergence family. The GSB divergence unifies two important classes of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-05 Arijit Pyne

Robustness analysis is an emerging field in the domain of uncertainty quantification. It consists of analysing the response of a computer model with uncertain inputs to the perturbation of one or several of its input distributions. Thus, a…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-12-16 Clement Gauchy , Jerome Stenger , Roman Sueur , Bertrand Iooss

Experiments often yield non-identically distributed data for statistical analysis. Tests of hypothesis under such set-ups are generally performed using the likelihood ratio test, which is non-robust with respect to outliers and model…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-07-25 Abhik Ghosh , Ayanendranath Basu

Nonresponse after probability sampling is a universal challenge in survey sampling, often necessitating adjustments to mitigate sampling and selection bias simultaneously. This study explored the removal of bias and effective utilization of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-13 Kosuke Morikawa , Kenji Beppu , Wataru Aida