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An increasing number of applications require real-time reasoning under uncertainty with streaming input. The temporal (dynamic) Bayes net formalism provides a powerful representational framework for such applications. However, existing…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-01-07 Masami Takikawa , Bruce D'Ambrosio , Ed Wright

The Schr\"odinger bridge problem (SBP) is gaining increasing attention in generative modeling and showing promising potential even in comparison with the score-based generative models (SGMs). SBP can be interpreted as an entropy-regularized…

Probabilistic graphical models are a powerful concept for modeling high-dimensional distributions. Besides modeling distributions, probabilistic graphical models also provide an elegant framework for performing statistical inference;…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-09-13 Christian Knoll

This survey provides an exposition of a suite of techniques based on the theory of polynomials, collectively referred to as polynomial methods, which have recently been applied to address several challenging problems in statistical…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-04-22 Yihong Wu , Pengkun Yang

Neuroscience has recently made much progress, expanding the complexity of both neural-activity measurements and brain-computational models. However, we lack robust methods for connecting theory and experiment by evaluating our new big…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2023-07-06 Heiko H. Schütt , Alexander D. Kipnis , Jörn Diedrichsen , Nikolaus Kriegeskorte

Despite exceptional predictive performance of Deep sequence models (DSMs), the main concern of their deployment centers around the lack of uncertainty awareness. In contrast, probabilistic models quantify the uncertainty associated with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-03 Wenlong Chen

Adaptable models could greatly benefit robotic agents operating in the real world, allowing them to deal with novel and varying conditions. While approaches such as Bayesian inference are well-studied frameworks for adapting models to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-20 Orr Krupnik , Elisei Shafer , Tom Jurgenson , Aviv Tamar

The belief propagation (BP) algorithm is widely applied to perform approximate inference on arbitrary graphical models, in part due to its excellent empirical properties and performance. However, little is known theoretically about when…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-06-26 Alexander T. Ihler

Predicting human scanpaths when exploring panoramic videos is a challenging task due to the spherical geometry and the multimodality of the input, and the inherent uncertainty and diversity of the output. Most previous methods fail to give…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-08-18 Mu Li , Kanglong Fan , Kede Ma

Flow matching has recently emerged as a powerful paradigm for generative modeling and has been extended to probabilistic time series forecasting in latent spaces. However, the impact of the specific choice of probability path model on…

Inference for probabilistic graphical models is still very much a practical challenge in large domains. The commonly used and effective belief propagation (BP) algorithm and its generalizations often do not converge when applied to hard,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-07-02 Gal Elidan , Ian McGraw , Daphne Koller

Features in machine learning problems are often time-varying and may be related to outputs in an algebraic or dynamical manner. The dynamic nature of these machine learning problems renders current higher order accelerated gradient descent…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-05-29 Joseph E. Gaudio , Travis E. Gibson , Anuradha M. Annaswamy , Michael A. Bolender

Variational inference methods for latent variable statistical models have gained popularity because they are relatively fast, can handle large data sets, and have deterministic convergence guarantees. However, in practice it is unclear…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-03-22 Hachem Saddiki , Andrew C. Trapp , Patrick Flaherty

Variational Bayesian (VB) methods produce posterior inference in a time frame considerably smaller than traditional Markov Chain Monte Carlo approaches. Although the VB posterior is an approximation, it has been shown to produce good…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-08-02 Nathaniel Tomasetti , Catherine S. Forbes , Anastasios Panagiotelis

Aiming at a comprehensive and concise tutorial survey, recap of variational inference and reinforcement learning with Probabilistic Graphical Models are given with detailed derivations. Reviews and comparisons on recent advances in deep…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-10 Xudong Sun , Bernd Bischl

Bayesian graphical models have been shown to be a powerful tool for discovering uncertainty and causal structure from real-world data in many application fields. Current inference methods primarily follow different kinds of trade-offs…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-02-20 Daniel Rugeles , Zhen Hai , Gao Cong , Manoranjan Dash

Learning time-evolving objects such as multivariate time series and dynamic networks requires the development of novel knowledge representation mechanisms and neural network architectures, which allow for capturing implicit time-dependent…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-25 Baris Coskunuzer , Ignacio Segovia-Dominguez , Yuzhou Chen , Yulia R. Gel

Gaussian processes (GPs) are instrumental in modeling spatial processes, offering precise interpolation and prediction capabilities across fields such as environmental science and biology. Recently, there has been growing interest in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-04 Jiawen Chen , Aritra Halder , Yun Li , Sudipto Banerjee , Didong Li

Probabilistic dependency graphs (PDGs) are a flexible class of probabilistic graphical models, subsuming Bayesian Networks and Factor Graphs. They can also capture inconsistent beliefs, and provide a way of measuring the degree of this…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2023-11-10 Oliver E. Richardson , Joseph Y. Halpern , Christopher De Sa

Diffusion approximation provides weak approximation for stochastic gradient descent algorithms in a finite time horizon. In this paper, we introduce new tools motivated by the backward error analysis of numerical stochastic differential…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-09-05 Yuanyuan Feng , Tingran Gao , Lei Li , Jian-Guo Liu , Yulong Lu