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A spatiotemporal oscillator model for El Ni\~no/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is constructed based on the sea surface temperature (SST) and thermocline depth dynamics. The model is enclosed by introducing a proportional relationship between…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-06-08 Yaokun Li

The El Ni\~no Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the most important driver of interannual global climate variability and can trigger extreme weather events and disasters in various parts of the globe. Depending on the region of maximal warming,…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-12-29 J. Ludescher , A. Bunde , H. J. Schellnhuber

The El Nino southern oscillation (ENSO) behavior can be effectively modeled as a response to a 2nd-order Mathieu/Hill differential equation with periodic coefficients describing sloshing of a volume of water. The forcing of the equation…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-09-01 Paul R. Pukite

Complex network theory provides a powerful toolbox for studying the structure of statistical interrelationships between multiple time series in various scientific disciplines. In this work, we apply the recently proposed climate network…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2013-11-26 Alexander Radebach , Reik V. Donner , Jakob Runge , Jonathan F. Donges , Jürgen Kurths

The shape and tails of partial distribution functions (PDF) for a climatological signal, i.e. the El Nino SOI and the turbulent nature of the ocean-atmosphere variability are linked through a model encompassing Tsallis nonextensive…

统计力学 · 物理学 2012-09-25 M. Ausloos , F. Petroni

Studying the response of a climate system to perturbations has practical significance. Standard methods in computing the trajectory-wise deviation caused by perturbations may suffer from the chaotic nature that makes the model error…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-10-07 Marios Andreou , Nan Chen

The El Ni\~no Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the Earth's strongest climate fluctuation on inter-annual time-scales and has global impacts although originating in the tropical Pacific. Many point indices have been developed to describe ENSO…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2012-06-27 A. Mazzarella , A. Giuliacci , N. Scafetta

Arnold's standard circle maps are widely used to study the quasi-periodic route to chaos and other phenomena associated with nonlinear dynamics in the presence of two rationally unrelated periodicities. In particular, the El Nino-Southern…

动力系统 · 数学 2020-01-27 L. Marangio , J. Sedro , S. Galatolo , A. Di Garbo , M. Ghil

The spatiotemporal variation in tropical air-sea interaction is investigated by applying a simple model that considers the fundamental dynamics in tropical oceans. The model decomposes sea surface temperature anomaly (SSTA) variation into a…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-05-31 Yaokun Li

This article deals with the investigation of the influence of topography and coastlines on the dynamics of the depth averaged Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC), driven by wind and atmospheric pressure. This is achieved with the help of a…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Vladimir N. Stepanov

We begin by providing observational evidence that the probability of encountering very high and very low annual tropical rainfall has increased significantly in the recent decade (1998-present) as compared to the preceding warming era…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2016-04-15 Jai Sukhatme , V. Venugopal

We study the dynamics of the sea surface temperature (SST) anomaly using a model of the temporal patterns of two sub-regions, mimicking behaviour similar to El Ni\~no Southern Oscillations (ENSO). Specifically, we present the existence,…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2017-08-01 Chandrakala Meena , Elena Surovyatkina , Sudeshna Sinha

The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), a crucial ocean current system, could transition to a weak state. Despite severe associated climate impacts, assessing the AMOC's response under global warming and its proximity to…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2026-03-09 Reyk Börner , Oliver Mehling , Jost von Hardenberg , Valerio Lucarini

The Global Overturning Circulation (GOC) is a key component of the climate system, transporting heat, carbon, and salt throughout the global ocean. Previous reduced-dimensional models have sought to represent this three-dimensional…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-10-23 Elian Vanderborght , Henk A. Dijkstra

A theoretical framework is developed for understanding the transient growth and propagation characteristics of thermodynamically coupled, meridional mode-like structures in the tropics. The model consists of a Gill-Matsuno type steady…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2017-06-06 Cristian Martinez-Villalobos , Daniel J. Vimont

The steady and transient response of "dynamically" dry and moist atmospheres to uniform sea-surface temperature (SST) is studied. Specifically, the latent heat (Lv) of water vapor is varied, so that for small Lv, water substance is…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-02-16 D. L. Suhas , Jai Sukhatme , Nili Harnik

Accurate long-range forecasting of the El \Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is vital for global climate prediction and disaster risk management. Yet, limited understanding of ENSO's physical mechanisms constrains both numerical and deep…

Turbulence, namely, irregular fluctuations in space and time characterize fluid flows in general and atmospheric flows in particular.The irregular,i.e., nonlinear space-time fluctuations on all scales contribute to the unpredictable nature…

综合物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 J. S. Pethkar , A. M. Selvam

The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is a much studied component of the climate system, because its suspected multistability is associated with tipping behaviour yielding potentially large regional and global climatic…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-12-24 Johannes Lohmann , Valerio Lucarini

The El Ni\~no Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the most important driver of interannual global climate variability and can trigger extreme weather events and disasters in various parts of the globe. Recently, we have developed two approaches…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-03-31 Josef Ludescher , Jun Meng , Jingfang Fan