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The problem of prediction of a given time series is examined on the basis of recent nonlinear dynamics theories. Particular attention is devoted to forecast the amplitude and phase of one of the most common solar indicator activity, the…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Stefano Sello

The solar cycle and its associated magnetic activity are the main drivers behind changes in the interplanetary environment and Earth's upper atmosphere (commonly referred to as space weather and climate). In recent years there has been an…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2013-10-08 Andrés Muñoz-Jaramillo , Laura A. Balmaceda , Edward E. DeLuca

At high frequencies beyond the acoustic cut-off, a peak-like structure is visible in the solar power spectrum. Known as the pseudo-modes, their frequencies have been shown to vary in anti-phase with solar magnetic activity. In this work, we…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2024-09-06 Laura Jade Millson , Anne-Marie Broomhall , Tishtrya Mehta

While it has been relatively easy to determine solar-cycle related changes in solar dynamics, determining changes in structure in the deeper layers of the Sun has proved to be difficult. By using helioseismic data obtained over two solar…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2021-08-25 Sarbani Basu

Recent models of variations of the Sun's structure with the 11-year activity cycle by Sofia et al (2005) predict strong non-homologous changes of the radius of subsurface layers, due to subsurface magnetic fields and field-modulated…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2009-11-13 S. Lefebvre , A. G. Kosovichev , J. P. Rozelot

This study aims to provide further evidence for the potential influence of the global solar magnetic field on localised chromospheric jets, the macrospicules (MS). To find a connection between the long-term variation of properties of MS and…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2018-05-02 T. S. Kiss , R. Erdelyi

Several recent studies utilizing different helioseismic methods have confirmed the presence of large-scale vorticity waves known as solar Rossby waves within the Sun. Rossby waves are distinct from acoustic waves, typically with longer…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2023-08-15 M. Waidele , Junwei Zhao

Context. Solar activity cycles vary in amplitude and duration. The variations can be at least partly explained by fluctuations in dynamo parameters. Aims. We want to restrict uncertainty in fluctuating dynamo parameters and find out which…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2018-07-18 L. L. Kitchatinov , A. V. Mordvinov , A. A. Nepomnyashchikh

We used long duration, high quality, unresolved (Sun-as-a star) observations collected by the ground based network BiSON and by the instruments GOLF and VIRGO on board the ESA/NASA SOHO satellite to search for solar-cycle-related changes in…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2010-04-21 R. Simoniello , W. Finsterle , R. A. Garcia , D. Salabert , A. Jimenez , Y. Elsworth , H. Schunker

We present an analysis of the frequency shift and the even terms of the frequency splitting coefficients carried out using six years of LOWL data, starting in 1994. The temporal variations, and their dependences with the frequency and…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Sebastián J. Jiménez-Reyes , Thierry Corbard , Pere L. Pallé , Steve Tomczyk

We present observational signatures of solar cycle 25 onset. Those signatures are visibly following a migratory path from high to low latitudes. They had starting points that are asymmetrically offset in each hemisphere at times that are…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2017-02-16 Scott W. McIntosh , Robert J. Leamon

Detailed models of the solar cycle require information about the starting time and rise time as well as the shape and amplitude of the cycle. However, none of these models includes a discussion of the variations in the length of the cycle,…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Michael L. Rogers , Mercedes T. Richards , Donald St. P. Richards

We processed magnetograms that were obtained with the Michaelson Doppler Imager onboard the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO/MDI). The results confirm the basic properties of long-period oscillations of sunspots that have previously…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2014-12-15 V. I. Efremov , L. D. Parfinenko , A. A. Solovev , E. A. Kirichek

We used the m-averaged spectrum technique ("collapsogram") to extract the low-frequency solar p-mode parameters of low- and intermediate-angular degrees (l \leq 35) in long time series of GONG and MDI observations. Rotational splittings and…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2008-11-12 D. Salabert , A. Eff-Darwich , R. Howe , S. G. Korzennik

We have used observations made with the helioseismic instrument LOWL collected over $\sim$ 6 years to carry out an independent study of the variations of the p-mode damping and excitation rates with solar activity. We observe significant…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2008-11-26 D. Salabert , S. J. Jiménez-Reyes

The minimum - maximum method, belonging to the precursor class of the solar activity forecasting methods, is based on a linear relationship between relative sunspot number in the minimum and maximum epochs of solar cycles. In the present…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2022-03-23 R. Brajša , G. Verbanac , M. Bandić , A. Hanslmeier , I. Skokić , D. Sudar

We have analyzed the full set of SOHO/MDI f- and p-mode oscillation frequencies from 1996 to date in a search for evidence of solar radius evolution during the rising phase of the current activity cycle. Like Antia et al. (2000), we find…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2009-11-06 W. A. Dziembowski , P. R. Goode , J. Schou

Recent analyses of nuclear decay data show evidence of variations suggestive of a solar influence. Analyses of datasets acquired at the Brookhaven National Laboratory (BNL) and at the Physikalisch-Technische Bundesanstalt (PTB) both show…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2011-08-09 Peter A. Sturrock , Ephraim Fischbach , Jere H. Jenkins

The maximum amplitude (Rm) of a solar cycle, in the term of mean sunspot numbers, is well-known to be positively correlated with the preceding minimum (Rmin). So far as the long term trend is concerned, a low level of Rmin tends to be…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-05-19 Z. L. Du , H. N. Wang

We use very precise frequencies of low-degree solar-oscillation modes measured from 4752 days of data collected by the Birmingham Solar-Oscillations Network (BiSON) to derive seismic information on the solar core. We compare these…

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