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We consider the analysis of sets of categorical sequences consisting of piecewise homogeneous Markov segments. The sequences are assumed to be governed by a common underlying process with segments occurring in the same order for each…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-04-08 Petter Arnesen , Tracy Holsclaw , Padhraic Smyth

Importance sampling is a technique that is commonly used to speed up Monte Carlo simulation of rare events. However, little is known regarding the design of efficient importance sampling algorithms in the context of queueing networks. The…

概率论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Paul Dupuis , Ali Devin Sezer , Hui Wang

Sampling from log-concave distributions is a well researched problem that has many applications in statistics and machine learning. We study the distributions of the form $p^{*}\propto\exp(-f(x))$, where…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-09-13 Ruoqi Shen , Yin Tat Lee

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods require a large number of samples to approximate a posterior distribution, which can be costly when the likelihood or prior is expensive to evaluate. The number of samples can be reduced if we can…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-08-06 V. Roshan Joseph , Dianpeng Wang , Li Gu , Shiji Lv , Rui Tuo

We study control variate methods for Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) in the setting of deterministic sweep sampling using $K\geq 2$ transition kernels. New variance reduction results are provided for MCMC averages based on sweeps over…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-12-17 Stephen Berg , Jun Zhu , Murray K. Clayton

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for sampling probability density functions (combined with abundant computational resources) have transformed the sciences, especially in performing probabilistic inferences, or fitting models to data.…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2018-05-23 David W. Hogg , Daniel Foreman-Mackey

In this article, we derive a novel non-reversible, continuous-time Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampler, called Coordinate Sampler, based on a piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP), which can be seen as a variant of the Zigzag…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-04-12 Changye Wu , Christian P. Robert

Bayesian inference with Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is challenging when the likelihood function is irregular and expensive to compute. We explore several sampling algorithms that make use of subset evaluations to reduce computational…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-05-16 Conor Rosato , Harvinder Lehal , Simon Maskell , Lee Devlin , Malcolm Strens

In this paper, a new and convenient $\chi^2$ wald test based on MCMC outputs is proposed for hypothesis testing. The new statistic can be explained as MCMC version of Wald test and has several important advantages that make it very…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2018-01-04 Yong Li , Xiaobin Liu , Jun Yu , Tao Zeng

The problem of sampling constrained continuous distributions has frequently appeared in many machine/statistical learning models. Many Monte Carlo Markov Chain (MCMC) sampling methods have been adapted to handle different types of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-02-21 Shiwei Lan , Lulu Kang

Monte Carlo methods are essential tools for Bayesian inference. Gibbs sampling is a well-known Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm, extensively used in signal processing, machine learning, and statistics, employed to draw samples from…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-12-21 Luca Martino , Victor Elvira , Gustau Camps-Valls

We present a sequential Monte Carlo sampler algorithm for the Bayesian analysis of generalised linear mixed models (GLMMs). These models support a variety of interesting regression-type analyses, but performing inference is often extremely…

统计计算 · 统计学 2008-10-08 Y. Fan , D. S. Leslie , M. P. Wand

In the thesis we take the split chain approach to analyzing Markov chains and use it to establish fixed-width results for estimators obtained via Markov chain Monte Carlo procedures (MCMC). Theoretical results include necessary and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2009-07-28 Krzysztof Latuszynski

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods provide powerful framework for sampling unknown probability measures across a wide range of scientific applications. In some settings, the target distribution is supported on a lower-dimensional…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-04-27 Xuyuan Wang , Donglin Han

With sufficient time, double edge-swap Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are able to sample uniformly at random from many different and important graph spaces. For instance, for a fixed degree sequence, MCMC methods can sample any…

组合数学 · 数学 2017-04-07 Joel Nishimura

Markov chain Monte Carlo is a method of producing a correlated sample in order to estimate features of a target distribution via ergodic averages. A fundamental question is when should sampling stop? That is, when are the ergodic averages…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Galin Jones , Murali Haran , Brian Caffo , Ronald Neath

In geostatistics, Gaussian random fields are often used to model heterogeneities of soil or subsurface parameters. To give spatial approximations of these random fields, they are discretized. Then, different techniques of geostatistical…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-03-25 Sebastian Reuschen , Fabian Jobst , Wolfgang Nowak

Many inference problems involve inferring the number $N$ of components in some region, along with their properties $\{\mathbf{x}_i\}_{i=1}^N$, from a dataset $\mathcal{D}$. A common statistical example is finite mixture modelling. In the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-01-15 Brendon J. Brewer

We propose Subsampling MCMC, a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) framework where the likelihood function for $n$ observations is estimated from a random subset of $m$ observations. We introduce a highly efficient unbiased estimator of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-12-31 Matias Quiroz , Robert Kohn , Mattias Villani , Minh-Ngoc Tran

Current and imminent quantum hardware lacks reliability and applicability due to noise and limited qubit counts. Quantum circuit cutting -- a technique dividing large quantum circuits into smaller subcircuits with sizes appropriate for the…

量子物理 · 物理学 2022-12-05 Daniel Chen , Betis Baheri , Vipin Chaudhary , Qiang Guan , Ning Xie , Shuai Xu