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We have studied interoccurrence time distributions by analyzing the synthetic and three natural catalogs of the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA), the Southern California Earthquake Data Center (SCEDC), and Taiwan Central Weather Bureau…

地球物理 · 物理学 2008-08-21 Tomohiro Hasumi , Chien-chih Chen , Takuma Akimoto , Yoji Aizawa

In analyzing synthetic earthquake catalogs created by a two-dimensional Burridge-Knopoff model, we have found that a probability distribution of the interoccurrence times, the time intervals between successive events, can be described…

地球物理 · 物理学 2008-12-12 Tomohiro Hasumi , Takuma Akimoto , Yoji Aizawa

We show analytically that the answer to the question, "The longer it has been since the last earthquake, the longer the expected time till the next ?" depends crucially on the statistics of the fluctuations in the interval times between…

统计力学 · 物理学 2021-10-04 D. Sornette , L. Knopoff

The distribution of inter-occurrence time between seismic events is a quantity of great interest in seismic risk assessment. We evaluate this distribution for different models of earthquakes occurrence and follow two distinct approaches:…

地球物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 C. Godano , L. de Arcangelis

The probability distribution of inter-event time (IET) between two consecutive earthquakes is a measure for the uncertainty in the occurrence time of earthquakes in a region of interest. It is well known that the IET distribution for…

地球物理 · 物理学 2025-06-12 Sumanta Kundu , Anca Opris , Yosuke Aoki , Takahiro Hatano

A statistical model for describing the scaling of the distribution of inter-event times is described. By considering the diverse region seismicity (natural and induced) at different scale levels the self-similarity of the distribution has…

其他凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-11-11 V. German

Scaling analysis reveals striking regularities in earthquake occurrence. The time between any one earthquake and that following it is random, but it is described by the same universal-probability distribution for any spatial region and…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Alvaro Corral

We study the statistical properties of time distribution of seimicity in California by means of a new method of analysis, the Diffusion Entropy. We find that the distribution of time intervals between a large earthquake (the main shock of a…

We propose a simple theory for the ``universal'' scaling law previously reported for the distributions of waiting times between earthquakes. It is based on a largely used benchmark model of seismicity, which just assumes no difference in…

地球物理 · 物理学 2009-11-11 A. Saichev , D. Sornette

The statistical properties of time intervals between significant earthquakes are found to be described by the Zipf-Mandelbrot-Tsallis-type distribution.

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Sumiyoshi Abe , Norikazu Suzuki

We study the statistics of the recurrence times between earthquakes above a certain magnitude M$ in California. We find that the distribution of the recurrence times strongly depends on the previous recurrence time $\tau_0$. As a…

地球物理 · 物理学 2009-11-10 V. Livina , S. Tuzov , S. Havlin , A. Bunde

A comparative study is performed on volcanic seismicities at Icelandic volcano, Eyjafjallaj\"okull, and Mt. Etna in Sicily from the viewpoint of complex systems science, and the discovery of remarkable similarities between them is reported.…

地球物理 · 物理学 2017-07-11 Sumiyoshi Abe , Norikazu Suzuki

We quantify the correlation between earthquakes and use the same to distinguish between relevant causally connected earthquakes. Our correlation metric is a variation on the one introduced by Baiesi and Paczuski (2004). A network of…

地球物理 · 物理学 2010-03-25 T. R. Krishna Mohan P. G. , Revathi

Large earthquakes occurring worldwide have long been recognised to be non Poisson distributed, so involving some large scale correlation mechanism, which could be internal or external to the Earth. Till now, no statistically significant…

地球物理 · 物理学 2020-04-07 Vito Marchitelli , Paolo Harabaglia , Claudia Troise , Giuseppe De Natale

In this work the distribution of inter-occurrence times between earthquakes in aftershock sequences is analyzed and a model based on a non-homogeneous Poisson (NHP) process is proposed to quantify the observed scaling. In this model the…

地球物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Robert Shcherbakov , Gleb Yakovlev , Donald L. Turcotte , John B. Rundle

Physical systems characterized by stick-slip dynamics often display avalanches. Regardless of the diversity of their microscopic structure, these systems are governed by a power-law distribution of avalanche size and duration. Here we focus…

We investigate the sequence of great earthquakes over the past century. To examine whether the earthquake record includes temporal clustering, we identify aftershocks and remove those from the record. We focus on the recurrence time,…

地球物理 · 物理学 2013-07-22 E. Ben-Naim , E. G. Daub , P. A. Johnson

Spatiotemporal properties of seismicity are investigated for a worldwide (WW) catalog and for Southern California in the stationary case (SC), showing a nearly universal scaling behavior. Distributions of distances between consecutive…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Alvaro Corral

We study earthquake interval time statistics, paying special attention to inter-occurrence times in the two-dimensional (2D) stick-slip (block-slider) model. Inter-occurrence times are the time interval between successive earthquakes on all…

统计力学 · 物理学 2017-08-23 Tomohiro Hasumi , Yoji Aizawa

The concept of proper time, which is different from universal time, has been introduced into the physics of earthquakes. The global activity of strong earthquakes was chosen as the object of study. We consider the sequence of earthquakes as…

地球物理 · 物理学 2022-07-25 A. V. Guglielmi , O. D. Zotov
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