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If the prior probability distributions of all possible hypothetical true means and all possible observed means of a continuous variable are conditional on the universal set of all numbers (i.e., before the nature of a study is known and a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-05 Huw Llewelyn

In this present work, we discuss the Bayesian inference for the bivariate pseudo-exponential distribution. Initially, we assume independent gamma priors and then pseudo-gamma priors for the pseudo-exponential parameters. We are primarily…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-27 Banoth Veeranna

Objective probabilistic forecasts of future climate that include parameter uncertainty can be made by using the Bayesian prediction integral with the prior set to Jeffreys' Prior. The calculations involved in determining the prior can then…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2010-05-24 Stephen Jewson , Dan Rowlands , Myles Allen

This paper develops a bias correction scheme for a multivariate normal model under a general parameterization. In the model, the mean vector and the covariance matrix share the same parameters. It includes many important regression models…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2009-05-06 Alexandre G. Patriota , Artur J. Lemonte

So far, various techniques have been implemented for generating discrete distributions based on continuous distributions. The characteristics and properties of this kind of probability distributions have been studied. Furthermore, the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-02-05 Halaleh Kamari , Hossein Bevrani , Kaniav Kamary

In this paper we introduce two Bayesian estimators for learning the parameters of the Gamma distribution. The first algorithm uses a well known unnormalized conjugate prior for the Gamma shape and the second one uses a non-linear…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-07-13 A. Llera , C. F. Beckmann

The original formulation of BEAMS - Bayesian Estimation Applied to Multiple Species - showed how to use a dataset contaminated by points of multiple underlying types to perform unbiased parameter estimation. An example is cosmological…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2016-03-02 James Newling , Bruce. A. Bassett , Renée Hlozek , Martin Kunz , Mathew Smith , Melvin Varughese

This paper provides a framework for estimating the mean and variance of a high-dimensional normal density. The main setting considered is a fixed number of vector following a high-dimensional normal distribution with unknown mean and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-05-07 Shyamalendu Sinha , Jeffrey D. Hart

We propose information criteria that measure the prediction risk of a predictive density based on the Bayesian marginal likelihood from a frequentist point of view. We derive criteria for selecting variables in linear regression models,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-10-20 Yuki Kawakubo , Tatsuya Kubokawa , Muni S. Srivastava

The posterior probability distribution for a set of model parameters encodes all that the data have to tell us in the context of a given model; it is the fundamental quantity for Bayesian parameter estimation. In order to infer the…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2015-06-16 Rupert Allison , Joanna Dunkley

The multivariate normal linear model is one of the most widely employed models for statistical inference in applied research. Special cases include (multivariate) t testing, (M)AN(C)OVA, (multivariate) multiple regression, and repeated…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-15 J. Mulder , H. Hoijtink , X. Gu

Prior specification for nonparametric Bayesian inference involves the difficult task of quantifying prior knowledge about a parameter of high, often infinite, dimension. Realistically, a statistician is unlikely to have informed opinions…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-05-01 David C. Kessler , Peter D. Hoff , David B. Dunson

In this article the issues are discussed with the Bayesian approach, least-square fits, and most-likely fits. Trying to counter these issues, a method, based on weighted confidence, is proposed for estimating probabilities and other…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-01-26 Fetze Pijlman

We propose a methodology for modeling and comparing probability distributions within a Bayesian nonparametric framework. Building on dependent normalized random measures, we consider a prior distribution for a collection of discrete random…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-01 Mario Beraha , Jim E. Griffin

We consider a prior for nonparametric Bayesian estimation which uses finite random series with a random number of terms. The prior is constructed through distributions on the number of basis functions and the associated coefficients. We…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-02-10 Weining Shen , Subhashis Ghosal

Due to their conjugate posteriors, Gaussian process priors are attractive for estimating the drift of stochastic differential equations with continuous time observations. However, their performance strongly depends on the choice of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-02-04 Jan van Waaij

We consider the scenario where the parameters of a probabilistic model are expected to vary over time. We construct a novel prior distribution that promotes sparsity and adapts the strength of correlation between parameters at successive…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-11-10 Dani Yogatama , Bryan R. Routledge , Noah A. Smith

We investigate the frequentist coverage of Bayesian credible sets in a nonparametric setting. We consider a scale of priors of varying regularity and choose the regularity by an empirical Bayes method. Next we consider a central set of…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-08-11 Botond Szabó , A. W. van der Vaart , J. H. van Zanten

There is a rich literature proposing methods and establishing asymptotic properties of Bayesian variable selection methods for parametric models, with a particular focus on the normal linear regression model and an increasing emphasis on…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-08-16 Suprateek Kundu , David B. Dunson

We study frequentist asymptotic properties of Bayesian procedures for high-dimensional Gaussian sparse regression when unknown nuisance parameters are involved. Nuisance parameters can be finite-, high-, or infinite-dimensional. A mixture…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-02-18 Seonghyun Jeong , Subhashis Ghosal