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A general challenge in statistics is prediction in the presence of multiple candidate models or learning algorithms. Model aggregation tries to combine all predictive distributions from individual models, which is more stable and flexible…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-28 Yuling Yao

In this paper, we distinguish between two kinds of compositional data sets: elementary and aggregate. This fact will help us to decide the choice of the weights to use in log interaction analysis of aggregate compositional vectors. We show…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-01-27 Vartan Choulakian , Jules De Tibeiro , Pasquale Sarnacchiaro

This paper studies a central planner's decision making on behalf of a group of members with diverse discount rates. In the context of optimal stopping, we work with an aggregation preference to incorporate all discount rates via an attitude…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2025-10-15 Shuoqing Deng , Xiang Yu , Jiacheng Zhang

A subjective expected utility policy making centre, managing complex, dynamic systems, needs to draw on the expertise of a variety of disparate panels of experts and integrate this information coherently. To achieve this, diverse supporting…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-12-21 Jim Q. Smith , Martine J. Barons , Manuele Leonelli

Our contribution concerns interactive decision support systems for group decision support. Through this study, we apply to implement a decisional process aiming to represent the multiplicity of actors, their diversity, their behaviors and…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2021-01-19 Safia Sadji

Many decision problems cannot be solved exactly and use several estimation algorithms that assign scores to the different available options. The estimation errors can have various correlations, from low (e.g. between two very different…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-06 Theo Delemazure , François Durand , Fabien Mathieu

Unbiased assessment of the predictivity of models learnt by supervised machine-learning methods requires knowledge of the learned function over a reserved test set (not used by the learning algorithm). The quality of the assessment depends,…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-07-11 Elias Fekhari , Bertrand Iooss , Joseph Muré , Luc Pronzato , Maria-João Rendas

Understanding the behavior of a black-box model with probabilistic inputs can be based on the decomposition of a parameter of interest (e.g., its variance) into contributions attributed to each coalition of inputs (i.e., subsets of inputs).…

As inference scales to multi-node deployments, disaggregation - splitting inference into distinct phases - offers a promising path to improving the throughput-interactivity Pareto frontier. Despite growing enthusiasm and a surge of…

This paper explores the challenges of constructing suitable inferential models in scenarios where the parameter of interest is determined in light of the data, such as regression after variable selection. Two compelling arguments for…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-07-22 Daniel Garcia Rasines , G. Alastair Young

Interactions between pieces of information (entities) play a substantial role in the way an individual acts on them: adoption of a product, the spread of news, strategy choice, etc. However, the underlying interaction mechanisms are often…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-02 Gaël Poux-Médard , Julien Velcin , Sabine Loudcher

In the framework of model-based clustering, a model allowing several latent class variables is proposed. This model assumes that the distribution of the observed data can be factorized into several independent blocks of variables. Each…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-01-23 Matthieu Marbac , Vincent Vandewalle

We propose numerical integration methods for Choquet integrals where the capacities are given by distortion functions of an underlying probability measure. It relies on the explicit representation of the integrals for step functions and can…

数值分析 · 数学 2015-02-17 Yumiharu Nakano

In many real-world settings, a decision-maker must combine information provided by different experts in order to decide on an effective policy. Alrajeh, Chockler, and Halpern [2018] showed how to combine causal models that are compatible in…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2020-05-21 Meir Friedenberg , Joseph Y. Halpern

We consider the challenge of AI value alignment with multiple individuals that have different reward functions and optimal policies in an underlying Markov decision process. We formalize this problem as one of policy aggregation, where the…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-11-07 Parand A. Alamdari , Soroush Ebadian , Ariel D. Procaccia

A central problem in analyzing networks is partitioning them into modules or communities. One of the best tools for this is the stochastic block model, which clusters vertices into blocks with statistically homogeneous pattern of links.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-05-24 Xiaoran Yan

Since the Fourth Industrial Revolution, AI technology has been widely used in many fields, but there are several limitations that need to be overcome, including overfitting/underfitting, class imbalance, and the limitations of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-18 DongSeong-Yoon

Given a finite collection of estimators or classifiers, we study the problem of model selection type aggregation, that is, we construct a new estimator or classifier, called aggregate, which is nearly as good as the best among them with…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-11-10 A. Juditsky , P. Rigollet , A. B. Tsybakov

AI alignment, the challenge of ensuring AI systems act in accordance with human values, has emerged as a critical problem in the development of systems such as foundation models and recommender systems. Still, the current dominant approach,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-03-14 Benjamin Heymann

Random utility theory models an agent's preferences on alternatives by drawing a real-valued score on each alternative (typically independently) from a parameterized distribution, and then ranking the alternatives according to scores. A…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2012-11-13 Hossein Azari Soufiani , David C. Parkes , Lirong Xia