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We develop a probabilistic consumer choice framework based on information asymmetry between consumers and firms. This framework makes it possible to study market competition of several firms by both quality and price of their products. We…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2014-03-26 Hao Liao , Rui Xiao , Duanbing Chen , Matus Medo , Yi-Cheng Zhang

Consumers in many markets are uncertain about firms' qualities and costs, so buy based on both the price and the quality inferred from it. Optimal pricing depends on consumer heterogeneity only when firms with higher quality have higher…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2019-04-12 Sander Heinsalu

Market share and quality, or customer satisfaction, go together. Yet inferring one from the other appears difficult. Indeed, such an inference would need detailed information about customer behavior, and might be clouded by modes of…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2014-07-15 Amir Ban , Nati Linial

There are clear benefits associated with a particular consumer choice for many current markets. For example, as we consider here, some products might carry environmental or `green' benefits. Some consumers might value these benefits while…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2008-12-02 Gérard Weisbuch , Vincent Buskens , Luat Vuong

We consider a model of oligopolistic competition in a market with search frictions, in which competing firms with products of unknown quality advertise how much information a consumer's visit will glean. In the unique symmetric equilibrium…

概率论 · 数学 2022-05-27 Pak Hung Au , Mark Whitmeyer

We develop a location analysis spatial model of firms' competition in multi-characteristics space, where consumers' opinions about the firms' products are distributed on multilayered networks. Firms do not compete on price but only on…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2017-08-03 Antonios Garas , Athanasios Lapatinas

We model competition on a credence goods market governed by an imperfect label, signaling high quality, as a rank-order tournament between firms. In this market interaction, asymmetric firms jointly and competitively control the aggregate…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2025-08-28 Daniel Rehsmann , Béatrice Roussillon , Paul Schweinzer

In market modeling, one often treats buyers as a homogeneous group. In this paper we consider buyers with heterogeneous preferences and products available in many variants. Such a framework allows us to successfully model various market…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2009-01-06 Matus Medo , Yi-Cheng Zhang

Prediction polling is an increasingly popular form of crowdsourcing in which multiple participants estimate the probability or magnitude of some future event. These estimates are then aggregated into a single forecast. Historically,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-04-25 Ville A. Satopää , Shane T. Jensen , Robin Pemantle , Lyle H. Ungar

Choice consistency with utility maximization, as a key assumption in economics, has been extensively used to evaluate decision quality of individuals and to predict real-world outcomes across different contexts. Here we investigate the…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-22 Mingshi Chen , Tracy Xiao Liu , You Shan , Shu Wang , Songfa Zhong , Yanju Zhou

In many markets buyers are poorly informed about which firms sell the product (product availability) and prices, and therefore have to spend time to obtain this information. In contrast, sellers typically have a better idea about which…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2021-10-01 Atabek Atayev

This paper studies ranking policies in a stylized trial-offer marketplace model, in which a single firm offers products and has consumers with heterogeneous preferences. Consumer trials are influenced by past purchases and the ranking of…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-02-11 Franco Berbeglia , Gerardo Berbeglia , Pascal Van Hentenryck

This paper proposes a method for estimating consumer preferences among discrete choices, where the consumer chooses at most one product in a category, but selects from multiple categories in parallel. The consumer's utility is additive in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-08 Rob Donnelly , Francisco R. Ruiz , David Blei , Susan Athey

The state of economic theory and accumulated facts from the different branches of the economic science require to analyze the concept of the description of economy systems. The economic reality generates the problems the solution of that is…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2025-04-01 N. S. Gonchar

This article develops a quality notion that is complementary to the system notion. As a major consequence, it becomes clear why quality can be measured only to a certain extend based on the issues of validity and incompleteness. First,…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2016-09-21 Johannes Reich

The combination of argumentation and probability paves the way to new accounts of qualitative and quantitative uncertainty, thereby offering new theoretical and applicative opportunities. Due to a variety of interests, probabilistic…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2018-03-12 Regis Riveret , Pietro Baroni , Yang Gao , Guido Governatori , Antonino Rotolo , Giovanni Sartor

Data regulations increasingly enable consumers to switch among market segments, making segmentation an endogenous outcome of strategic interaction. We study a model in which consumers choose segments before a monopolist sets…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-14 Zhonghong Kuang , Sanxi Li , Yi Liu , Yang Yu

We study how market segmentation affects consumers when a monopolist can adjust both prices and product qualities across segments, engaging in second- and third-degree price discrimination simultaneously. We characterize the…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2026-03-04 Dirk Bergemann , Tibor Heumann , Michael C. Wang

We develop SHOPPER, a sequential probabilistic model of shopping data. SHOPPER uses interpretable components to model the forces that drive how a customer chooses products; in particular, we designed SHOPPER to capture how items interact…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-06-11 Francisco J. R. Ruiz , Susan Athey , David M. Blei

We investigate the relationship between product offerings, information dissemination, and consumer decision-making in a monopolistic screening environment in which consumers lack information about their valuation of quality-differentiated…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-13 Panagiotis Kyriazis , Edmund Lou
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