中文
相关论文

相关论文: Splitting for Rare Event Simulation: A Large Devia…

200 篇论文

In this article we propose an optimal method referred to as SPlit for splitting a dataset into training and testing sets. SPlit is based on the method of Support Points (SP), which was initially developed for finding the optimal…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-05-10 V. Roshan Joseph , Akhil Vakayil

Deep neural networks, when optimized with sufficient data, provide accurate representations of high-dimensional functions; in contrast, function approximation techniques that have predominated in scientific computing do not scale well with…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2021-03-15 Grant M. Rotskoff , Andrew R. Mitchell , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

Driven by applications in telecommunication networks, we explore the simulation task of estimating rare event probabilities for tandem queues in their steady state. Existing literature has recognized that importance sampling methods can be…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-22 Ruoning Zhao , Xinyun Chen

In this paper we develop a statistical theory and an implementation of deep learning models. We show that an elegant variable splitting scheme for the alternating direction method of multipliers optimises a deep learning objective. We allow…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-09-22 Nicholas G. Polson , Brandon T. Willard , Massoud Heidari

We consider Lie and Strang splitting for the time integration of constrained partial differential equations with a nonlinear reaction term. Since such systems are known to be sensitive with respect to perturbations, the splitting procedure…

数值分析 · 数学 2016-07-27 Robert Altmann , Alexander Ostermann

Evolutions of the trading landscape lead to the capability to exchange the same financial instrument on different venues. Because of liquidity issues, the trading firms split large orders across several trading destinations to optimize…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2010-07-28 Sophie Laruelle , Charles-Albert Lehalle , Gilles Pagès

As predictive algorithms grow in popularity, using the same dataset to both train and test a new model has become routine across research, policy, and industry. Sample-splitting attains valid inference on model properties by using separate…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-27 Bruno Fava

Splitting methods are widely used for solving initial value problems (IVPs) due to their ability to simplify complicated evolutions into more manageable subproblems which can be solved efficiently and accurately. Traditionally, these…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-11-15 L. M. Kreusser , H. E. Lockyer , E. H. Müller , P. Singh

We consider systems of stochastic differential equations with multiple scales and small noise and assume that the coefficients of the equations are ergodic and stationary random fields. Our goal is to construct provably-efficient importance…

概率论 · 数学 2015-09-29 Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

The bifurcation method is a way to do rare event sampling -- to estimate the probability of events that are too rare to be found by direct simulation. We describe the bifurcation method and use it to estimate the transition rate of a double…

计算物理 · 物理学 2016-06-06 Hongliang Liu , Jonathan Goodman

Variational inference approximates the posterior distribution of a probabilistic model with a parameterized density by maximizing a lower bound for the model evidence. Modern solutions fit a flexible approximation with stochastic gradient…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-07-13 Joseph Sakaya , Arto Klami

In this work, we propose an algorithm to simulate rare events for electronic circuit design. Our approach heavily relies on a smart use of importance sampling, which enables us to tackle probabilities of the magnitude 10 --10. Not only can…

概率论 · 数学 2021-09-20 Xavier Jonsson , Jérôme Lelong

In this paper, we develop a computational approach for computing most likely trajectories describing rare events that correspond to the emergence of non-dominant genotypes. This work is based on the large deviations approach for discrete…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2023-08-29 Yingxue Su , Brett Geiger , Ilya Timofeyev , Andreas Mang , Robert Azencott

We consider chance-constrained problems with discrete random distribution. We aim for problems with a large number of scenarios. We propose a novel method based on the stochastic gradient descent method which performs updates of the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-05-28 Lukáš Adam , Martin Branda

In this paper, we combine the operator splitting methodology for abstract evolution equations with that of stochastic methods for large-scale optimization problems. The combination results in a randomized splitting scheme, which in a given…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-10-12 Monika Eisenmann , Tony Stillfjord

Convex nonsmooth optimization problems, whose solutions live in very high dimensional spaces, have become ubiquitous. To solve them, the class of first-order algorithms known as proximal splitting algorithms is particularly adequate: they…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-02-27 Laurent Condat , Daichi Kitahara , Andrés Contreras , Akira Hirabayashi

We construct importance sampling schemes for stochastic differential equations with small noise and fast oscillating coefficients. Standard Monte Carlo methods perform poorly for these problems in the small noise limit. With multiscale…

概率论 · 数学 2012-02-03 Paul Dupuis , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos , Hui Wang

Probabilistic graphical models have emerged as a powerful modeling tool for several real-world scenarios where one needs to reason under uncertainty. A graphical model's partition function is a central quantity of interest, and its…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-05-25 Durgesh Agrawal , Yash Pote , Kuldeep S Meel

We propose a method for the accurate estimation of rare event or failure probabilities for expensive-to-evaluate numerical models in high dimensions. The proposed approach combines ideas from large deviation theory and adaptive importance…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-03-28 Shanyin Tong , Georg Stadler

The slow processes of metastable stochastic dynamical systems are difficult to access by direct numerical simulation due the sampling problem. Here, we suggest an approach for modeling the slow parts of Markov processes by approximating the…

数学物理 · 物理学 2012-12-03 Frank Noé , Feliks Nüske