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Although the log-likelihood is widely used in model selection, the log-likelihood ratio has had few applications in this area. We develop a log-likelihood ratio based method for selecting regression models by focusing on the set of models…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-28 Min Tsao

Inequalities may appear in many models. They can be as simple as assuming a parameter is nonnegative, possibly a regression coefficient or a treatment effect. This paper focuses on the case that there is only one inequality and proposes a…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-09-17 Gregory Fletcher Cox

This work is devoted to the finite sample prediction risk analysis of a class of linear predictors of a response $Y\in \mathbb{R}$ from a high-dimensional random vector $X\in \mathbb{R}^p$ when $(X,Y)$ follows a latent factor regression…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-04-26 Xin Bing , Florentina Bunea , Seth Strimas-Mackey , Marten Wegkamp

We present a novel and easy-to-use method for calibrating error-rate based confidence intervals to evidence-based support intervals. Support intervals are obtained from inverting Bayes factors based on a parameter estimate and its standard…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-28 Samuel Pawel , Alexander Ly , Eric-Jan Wagenmakers

The statistical regression technique is an extraordinarily essential data fitting tool to explore the potential possible generation mechanism of the random phenomenon. Therefore, the model selection or the variable selection is becoming…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-03-25 Yue Su , Patrick Kandege Mwanakatwe

We discuss a new method for setting limits on small signals in the presence of background noise. The method is based on a combination of a two dimensional confidence region and the large sample approximation to the likelihood ratio test…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2009-10-31 Wolfgang A. Rolke , Angel M. Lopez

Hypothesis testing in the linear regression model is a fundamental statistical problem. We consider linear regression in the high-dimensional regime where the number of parameters exceeds the number of samples ($p> n$). In order to make…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-09-24 Adel Javanmard , Jason D. Lee

We consider a new criterion-based approach to model selection in linear regression. Properties of selection criteria based on p-values of a likelihood ratio statistic are studied for families of linear regression models. We prove that such…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-05-21 Piotr Pokarowski , Jan Mielniczuk , Paweł Teisseyre

We propose a method for constructing confidence intervals that account for many forms of spatial correlation. The interval has the familiar `estimator plus and minus a standard error times a critical value' form, but we propose new methods…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-02-19 Ulrich K. Müller , Mark W. Watson

Recently, Kabaila and Wijethunga assessed the performance of a confidence interval centred on a bootstrap smoothed estimator, with width proportional to an estimator of Efron's delta method approximation to the standard deviation of this…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-06-29 Paul Kabaila , Christeen Wijethunga

In the current insurance literature, prediction of insurance claims in the regression problem is often performed with a statistical model. This model-based approach may potentially suffer from several drawbacks: (i) model misspecification,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-09-30 Liang Hong

We consider regression models with data of the type $y_i=m(x_i)+\varepsilon_i$, where the $m(x)$ curve is taken locally constant, with unknown levels and jump points. We investigate the large-sample properties of the minimum least squares…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-26 Steffen Grønneberg , Gudmund Hermansen , Nils Lid Hjort

Given a family of pretrained models and a hold-out set, how can we construct a valid conformal prediction set while selecting a model that minimizes the width of the set? If we use the same hold-out data set both to select a model (the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-20 Ruiting Liang , Wanrong Zhu , Rina Foygel Barber

We consider the problem of constructing confidence intervals (CIs) for a linear functional of a regression function, such as its value at a point, the regression discontinuity parameter, or a regression coefficient in a linear or partly…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-04-03 Timothy B. Armstrong , Michal Kolesár

Conformal prediction is a theoretically grounded framework for constructing predictive intervals. We study conformal prediction with missing values in the covariates -- a setting that brings new challenges to uncertainty quantification. We…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-06-06 Margaux Zaffran , Aymeric Dieuleveut , Julie Josse , Yaniv Romano

In this paper, we explore bounds on the expected risk when using deep neural networks for supervised classification from an information theoretic perspective. Firstly, we introduce model risk and fitting error, which are derived from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-08 Binchuan Qi

The current standard for confidence interval construction in the context of a possibly misspecified model is to use an interval based on the sandwich estimate of variance. These intervals provide asymptotically correct coverage, but…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-12-31 James W. Harmon , Peter D. Hoff

We propose an adaptive confidence interval procedure (CIP) for the coefficients in the normal linear regression model. This procedure has a frequentist coverage rate that is constant as a function of the model parameters, yet provides…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-07-10 Peter D. Hoff , Chaoyu Yu

We study confidence intervals based on hard-thresholding, soft-thresholding, and adaptive soft-thresholding in a linear regression model where the number of regressors $k$ may depend on and diverge with sample size $n$. In addition to the…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-10-08 Ulrike Schneider

Although a majority of the theoretical literature in high-dimensional statistics has focused on settings which involve fully-observed data, settings with missing values and corruptions are common in practice. We consider the problems of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-11-06 Yining Wang , Jialei Wang , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Aarti Singh