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Stochastic averaging allows for the reduction of the dimension and complexity of stochastic dynamical systems with multiple time scales, replacing fast variables with statistically equivalent stochastic processes in order to analyze…

概率论 · 数学 2015-02-25 William F. Thompson , Rachel A. Kuske , Adam H. Monahan

We connect self-interacting processes, that is, stochastic processes where transitions depend on the time spent by a trajectory in each configuration, to Doob conditioning. In this way we demonstrate that Markov processes with constrained…

统计力学 · 物理学 2025-11-19 Francesco Coghi , Juan P. Garrahan

We propose a novel approach to the statistical analysis of stochastic simulation models and, especially, agent-based models (ABMs). Our main goal is to provide fully automated, model-independent and tool-supported techniques and algorithms…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2023-11-09 Andrea Vandin , Daniele Giachini , Francesco Lamperti , Francesca Chiaromonte

In this paper we show how questions about operator algebras constructed from stochastic matrices motivate new results in the study of harmonic functions on Markov chains. More precisely, we characterize coincidence of conditional…

算子代数 · 数学 2019-11-26 Xinxin Chen , Adam Dor-On , Langwen Hui , Christopher Linden , Yifan Zhang

Continuous-time stochastic processes underlie many natural and engineered systems. In healthcare, autonomous driving, and industrial control, direct interaction with the environment is often unsafe or impractical, motivating offline…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-14 Nicolas Hoischen , Petar Bevanda , Max Beier , Stefan Sosnowski , Boris Houska , Sandra Hirche

In this paper we prove that all the existing conditional event algebras embed into a three-valued extension of temporal logic of discrete past time, which the authors of this paper have proposed in anothe paper as a general model of…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2007-05-23 Jerzy Tyszkiewicz , Achim Hoffmann , Arthur Ramer

This work introduces novel unconditionally stable operator splitting methods for solving the time dependent nonlinear Poisson-Boltzmann (NPB) equation for the electrostatic analysis of solvated biomolecules. In a pseudo-transient…

数值分析 · 数学 2014-10-13 Leighton Wilson , Shan Zhao

This paper explores stochastic modeling approaches to elucidate the intricate dynamics of stock prices and volatility in financial markets. Beginning with an overview of Brownian motion and its historical significance in finance, we delve…

历史与综述 · 数学 2024-05-03 Aashrit Cunchala

This paper deals with unconstrained discounted continuous-time Markov decision processes in Borel state and action spaces. Under some conditions imposed on the primitives, allowing unbounded transition rates and unbounded (from both above…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2011-03-02 Alexey Piunovskiy , Yi Zhang

This paper develops a mathematical framework for the analysis of continuous-time trading strategies which, in contrast to the classical setting of continuous-time mathematical finance, does not rely on stochastic integrals or other…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2016-02-17 Candia Riga

The paper introduces a general framework for statistical analysis of functional time series from a Bayesian perspective. The proposed approach, based on an extension of the popular dynamic linear model to Banach-space valued observations…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-12-02 Giovanni Petris

We consider a stochastic factor financial model where the asset price process and the process for the stochastic factor depend on an observable Markov chain and exhibit an affine structure. We are faced with a finite time investment horizon…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2014-03-21 Marcos Escobar , Daniela Neykova , Rudi Zagst

We describe an abstract control-theoretic framework in which the validity of the dynamic programming principle can be established in continuous time by a verification of a small number of structural properties. As an application we treat…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2014-03-18 Gordan Zitkovic

This paper is about operator-theoretic methods for solving nonlinear stochastic optimal control problems to global optimality. These methods leverage on the convex duality between optimally controlled diffusion processes and…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-05-30 Boris Houska

This paper presents a new prediction model for time series data by integrating a time-varying Geometric Brownian Motion model with a pricing mechanism used in financial engineering. Typical time series models such as Auto-Regressive…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-01-01 Abdullah AlShelahi , Jingxing Wang , Mingdi You , Eunshin Byon , Romesh Saigal

Koopman analysis provides a general framework from which to analyze a nonlinear dynamical system in terms of a linear operator acting on an infinite-dimensional observable space. This theoretical framework provides a rigorous underpinning…

动力系统 · 数学 2022-10-11 Dan Wilson

Markov models are widely used to describe processes of stochastic dynamics. Here, we show that Markov models are a natural consequence of the dynamical principle of Maximum Caliber. First, we show that when there are different possible…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-05-28 Hao Ge , Steve Presse , Kingshuk Ghosh , Ken Dill

We study the dynamic programming approach to revenue management in the context of attended home delivery. We draw on results from dynamic programming theory for Markov decision problems to show that the underlying Bellman operator has a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-10-28 Denis Lebedev , Paul Goulart , Kostas Margellos

Markov branching systems form a fundamental class of stochastic models that are extensively applied in biology, physics, finance, and other domains. These systems are distinguished by their continuous-time evolution and inherent branching…

In this work we provide a computationally tractable procedure for designing affine control policies, applied to constrained, discrete-time, partially observable, linear systems subject to set bounded disturbances, stochastic noise and…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-11-27 Georgios Kotsalis , Guanghui Lan