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Model comparison for the purposes of selection, averaging and validation is a problem found throughout statistics. Within the Bayesian paradigm, these problems all require the calculation of the posterior probabilities of models within a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-06-08 Yan Zhou , Adam M Johansen , John A D Aston

The Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method is used to evaluate the imaginary-time path integral of a quantum oscillator with a potential that includes both a quadratic term and a quartic term whose coupling is varied by several orders of…

计算物理 · 物理学 2020-08-27 Shikhar Mittal , Marise J. E. Westbroek , Peter R. King , Dimitri D. Vvedensky

Computing risk measures of a financial portfolio comprising thousands of derivatives is a challenging problem because (a) it involves a nested expectation requiring multiple evaluations of the loss of the financial portfolio for different…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2023-01-10 Michael B. Giles , Abdul-Lateef Haji-Ali

Many random processes can be simulated as the output of a deterministic model accepting random inputs. Such a model usually describes a complex mathematical or physical stochastic system and the randomness is introduced in the input…

机器学习 · 统计学 2012-11-21 A. Gokcen Mahmutoglu , Alper T. Erdogan , Alper Demir

Multifidelity Monte Carlo methods often rely on a preprocessing phase consisting of standard Monte Carlo sampling to estimate correlation coefficients between models of different fidelity to determine the weights and number of samples for…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2021-06-29 Todd A. Oliver , Christopher S. Simmons , Robert D. Moser

We present here a regress later based Monte Carlo approach that uses neural networks for pricing high-dimensional contingent claims. The choice of specific architecture of the neural networks used in the proposed algorithm provides for…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2019-11-27 Vikranth Lokeshwar , Vikram Bhardawaj , Shashi Jain

One of the open challenges in quantum computing is to find meaningful and practical methods to leverage quantum computation to accelerate classical machine learning workflows. A ubiquitous problem in machine learning workflows is sampling…

量子物理 · 物理学 2024-08-08 Owen Lockwood , Peter Weiss , Filip Aronshtein , Guillaume Verdon

We present Generative Monte Carlo (GMC), a novel paradigm for particle transport simulation that integrates generative artificial intelligence directly into the stochastic solution of the linear Boltzmann equation. By reformulating the…

计算物理 · 物理学 2025-12-17 Joseph A. Farmer , Aidan Murray , Johannes Krotz , Ryan G. McClarren

This paper addresses optimization problems constrained by partial differential equations with uncertain coefficients. In particular, the robust control problem and the average control problem are considered for a tracking type cost…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-11-08 Andreas Van Barel , Stefan Vandewalle

We apply multilevel Monte Carlo for option pricing problems using exponential L\'{e}vy models with a uniform timestep discretisation to monitor the running maximum required for lookback and barrier options. The numerical results demonstrate…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2017-05-31 Mike Giles , Yuan Xia

Many problems require to approximate an expected value by some kind of Monte Carlo (MC) sampling, e.g. molecular dynamics (MD) or simulation of stochastic reaction models (also termed kinetic Monte Carlo (kMC)). Often, we are furthermore…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-02-18 Sandra Döpking , Sebastian Matera

This article addresses the problem of approximating the price of options on discrete and continuous arithmetic average of the underlying, i.e. discretely and continuously monitored Asian options, in local volatility models. A…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2018-08-13 Louis-Pierre Arguin , Nien-Lin Liu , Tai-Ho Wang

Financial derivatives are contracts that can have a complex payoff dependent upon underlying benchmark assets. In this work, we present a quantum algorithm for the Monte Carlo pricing of financial derivatives. We show how the relevant…

量子物理 · 物理学 2018-08-23 Patrick Rebentrost , Brajesh Gupt , Thomas R. Bromley

In this work we present an alternative methodology to the standard Quantum Accelerated Monte Carlo (QAMC) applied to derivatives pricing. Our pipeline benefits from the combination of a new encoding protocol, referred to as the direct…

量子物理 · 物理学 2024-07-18 Alberto Manzano , Gonzalo Ferro , Álvaro Leitao , Carlos Vázquez , Andrés Gómez

American and Bermudan-type financial instruments are often priced with specific Monte Carlo techniques whose efficiency critically depends on the effective dimensionality of the problem and the available computational power. In our work we…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2021-05-04 Riccardo Aiolfi , Nicola Moreni , Marco Bianchetti , Marco Scaringi , Filippo Fogliani

We explore the possibilities of importance sampling in the Monte Carlo pricing of a structured credit derivative referred to as Collateralized Debt Obligation (CDO). Modeling a CDO contract is challenging, since it depends on a pool of…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2013-12-09 Marcell Stippinger , Bálint Vető , Éva Rácz , Zsolt Bihary

We propose a hybrid Monte Carlo (HMC) technique applicable to high-dimensional multivariate normal distributions that effectively samples along chaotic trajectories. The method is predicated on the freedom of choice of the HMC momentum…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2016-04-26 Nirag Kadakia

In a context of illiquidity, the reservation price is a well-accepted alternative to the usual martingale approach which does not apply. However, this price is not available in closed form and requires numerical methods such as Monte Carlo…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2024-02-21 Laurence Carassus , Massinissa Ferhoune

We present a novel method for the numerical pricing of American options based on Monte Carlo simulation and the optimization of exercise strategies. Previous solutions to this problem either explicitly or implicitly determine so-called…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2019-08-13 Christian Bayer , Raúl Tempone , Sören Wolfers

This paper presents a multinomial method for option pricing when the underlying asset follows an exponential Variance Gamma process. The continuous time Variance Gamma process is approximated by a discrete time Markov chain with the same…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2021-06-18 Nicola Cantarutti , João Guerra