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We present a detailed methodological study of the application of the modified profile likelihood method for the calibration of nonlinear financial models characterised by a large number of parameters. We apply the general approach to the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2016-02-29 Vladimir Filimonov , Guilherme Demos , Didier Sornette

For a multinomial distribution, suppose that we have prior knowledge of the sum of the probabilities of some categories. This allows us to construct a submodel in a full (i.e., no-restriction) model. Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE)…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-06-07 Yo Sheena

Heterogeneity is a dominant factor in the behaviour of many biological processes. Despite this, it is common for mathematical and statistical analyses to ignore biological heterogeneity as a source of variability in experimental data.…

In this communication, we introduce a new statistical model and study its various mathematical properties. The expressions for hazard rate, reversed hazard rate, and odd functions are provided. We explore the asymptotic behaviors of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-24 Tuhin Subhra Mahatao , Subhankar Dutta , Suchandan Kayal

Every student in statistics or data science learns early on that when the sample size largely exceeds the number of variables, fitting a logistic model produces estimates that are approximately unbiased. Every student also learns that there…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-06-08 Pragya Sur , Emmanuel J. Candes

Empirical likelihood method has been applied to short-memory time series models by Monti (1997) through the Whittle's estimation method. Yau (2012) extended this idea to long-memory time series models. Asymptotic distributions of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-04-22 Ramadha D. Piyadi Gamage , Wei Ning , Arjun K. Gupta

In this paper, we introduce a new extension of the generalized linear failure rate distributions. It includes some well-known lifetime distributions such as extension of generalized exponential and generalized linear failure rate…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-03-10 Mohammad Reza Kazemi , Ali Akbar Jafari , Saeid Tahmasebi

Parametric inference for spatial max-stable processes is difficult since the related likelihoods are unavailable. A composite likelihood approach based on the bivariate distribution of block maxima has been recently proposed in the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2012-05-08 Jean-Noel Bacro , Carlo Gaetan

Introduced over a century ago, Whittaker-Henderson smoothing remains widely used by actuaries in constructing one-dimensional and two-dimensional experience tables for mortality, disability and other life insurance risks. In this paper, we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-18 Guillaume Biessy

Robust inferential methods based on divergences measures have shown an appealing trade-off between efficiency and robustness in many different statistical models. In this paper, minimum density power divergence estimators (MDPDEs) for the…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-12-06 A. Felipe , M. Jaenada , P. Miranda , L. Pardo

Large-scale datasets are increasingly being used to inform decision making. While this effort aims to ground policy in real-world evidence, challenges have arisen as selection bias and other forms of distribution shifts often plague…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-07 Santiago Cortes-Gomez , Mateo Dulce , Carlos Patino , Bryan Wilder

Data analysis in science, e.g., high-energy particle physics, is often subject to an intractable likelihood if the observables and observations span a high-dimensional input space. Typically the problem is solved by reducing the…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2021-01-14 Stefan Wunsch , Simon Jörger , Roger Wolf , Günter Quast

In this paper, a Mixed Data Sampling (MIDAS) model is studied when both low and high frequency variables are contaminated with measurement error. It is shown that the profile likelihood estimator becomes inconsistent in the presence of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-28 Sukhbir Kaur , Sukhbir Singh , Kanchan Jain , Pooja Soni

Likelihood-free Bayesian inference algorithms are popular methods for calibrating the parameters of complex, stochastic models, required when the likelihood of the observed data is intractable. These algorithms characteristically rely…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-12-23 Thomas P Prescott , David J Warne , Ruth E Baker

Variational inference is a popular method for estimating model parameters and conditional distributions in hierarchical and mixed models, which arise frequently in many settings in the health, social, and biological sciences. Variational…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-10 Ted Westling , Tyler H. McCormick

Inverse classification, the process of making meaningful perturbations to a test point such that it is more likely to have a desired classification, has previously been addressed using data from a single static point in time. Such an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-11-15 Michael T. Lash , W. Nick Street

We introduce a new kind of likelihood function based on the sequence of moments of the data distribution. Both binned and unbinned data samples are discussed, and the multivariate case is also derived. Building on this approach we lay out…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-03-09 Sylvain Fichet

We deal with a general class of extreme-value regression models introduced by Barreto- Souza and Vasconcellos (2011). Our goal is to derive an adjusted likelihood ratio statistic that is approximately distributed as \c{hi}2 with a high…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-08-14 Silvia L. P. Ferrari , Eliane C. Pinheiro

The Box--Cox transformation model has been widely applied for many years. The parametric version of this model assumes that the random error follows a parametric distribution, say the normal distribution, and estimates the model parameters…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-20 Pengfei Li , Tao Yu , Baojiang Chen , Jing Qin

In this paper, we introduce a new distribution called Burr III-Weibull(BW) distribution using the concept of competing risk. We derive moments, conditional moments, mean deviation and quantiles of the proposed distribution. Also the Renyi's…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-03-08 G S Deepthy , Nicy Sebastian , Reshma Rison