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In this paper we take up Bayesian inference in general multivariate stable distributions. We exploit the representation of Matsui and Takemura (2009) for univariate projections, and the representation of the distributions in terms of their…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-07-28 Mike G. Tsionas

This paper develops the theory and methods for modeling a stationary count time series via Gaussian transformations. The techniques use a latent Gaussian process and a distributional transformation to construct stationary series with very…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-20 Yisu Jia , Stefanos Kechagias , James Livsey , Robert Lund , Vladas Pipiras

We present an unbiased method for Bayesian posterior means based on kinetic Langevin dynamics that combines advanced splitting methods with enhanced gradient approximations. Our approach avoids Metropolis correction by coupling Markov…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-12-04 Neil K. Chada , Benedict Leimkuhler , Daniel Paulin , Peter A. Whalley

This paper addresses the challenging computational problem of estimating intractable expectations over discrete domains. Existing approaches, including Monte Carlo and Russian Roulette estimators, are consistent but often require a large…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-19 Sophia Seulkee Kang , François-Xavier Briol , Toni Karvonen , Zonghao Chen

This paper studies the problem of learning Bayesian networks from continuous observational data, generated according to a linear Gaussian structural equation model. We consider an $\ell_0$-penalized maximum likelihood estimator for this…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-10-14 Tong Xu , Simge Küçükyavuz , Ali Shojaie , Armeen Taeb

We consider a prior for nonparametric Bayesian estimation which uses finite random series with a random number of terms. The prior is constructed through distributions on the number of basis functions and the associated coefficients. We…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-02-10 Weining Shen , Subhashis Ghosal

Models for which the likelihood function can be evaluated only up to a parameter-dependent unknown normalising constant, such as Markov random field models, are used widely in computer science, statistical physics, spatial statistics, and…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-02-12 Richard G. Everitt , Adam M. Johansen , Ellen Rowing , Melina Evdemon-Hogan

In the following article we provide an exposition of exact computational methods to perform parameter inference from partially observed network models. In particular, we consider the duplication attachment (DA) model which has a likelihood…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-06-20 Junshan Wang , Ajay Jasra , Maria De Iorio

This paper proposes a flexible Bayesian approach to multiple imputation using conditional Gaussian mixtures. We introduce novel shrinkage priors for covariate-dependent mixing proportions in the mixture models to automatically select the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-17 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Jae Kwang Kim , Kosuke Morikawa

We establish a general inequality on the Poisson space, yielding an upper bound for the distance in total variation between the law of a regular random variable with values in the integers and a Poisson distribution. Several applications…

概率论 · 数学 2012-04-18 Giovanni Peccati

Calibrating stochastic radio channel models to new measurement data is challenging when the likelihood function is intractable. The standard approach to this problem involves sophisticated algorithms for extraction and clustering of…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-05-07 Ayush Bharti , Francois-Xavier Briol , Troels Pedersen

Simulating samples from arbitrary probability distributions is a major research program of statistical computing. Recent work has shown promise in an old idea, that sampling from a discrete distribution can be accomplished by perturbing and…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-04-13 Chris J. Maddison

The is no other model or hypothesis verification tool in Bayesian statistics that is as widely used as the Bayes factor. We focus on generative models that are likelihood-free and, therefore, render the computation of Bayes factors…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-30 Jungeum Kim , Veronika Rockova

There is a lack of simple and scalable algorithms for uncertainty quantification. Bayesian methods quantify uncertainty through posterior and predictive distributions, but it is difficult to rapidly estimate summaries of these…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-12-28 Cheng Li , Sanvesh Srivastava , David B. Dunson

The recent article "A Bayesian conjugate gradient method" by Cockayne, Oates, Ipsen, and Girolami proposes an approximately Bayesian iterative procedure for the solution of a system of linear equations, based on the conjugate gradient…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-06-26 T. J. Sullivan

This paper investigates a channel estimator based on Gaussian mixture models (GMMs). We fit a GMM to given channel samples to obtain an analytic probability density function (PDF) which approximates the true channel PDF. Then, a conditional…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2021-11-23 Michael Koller , Benedikt Fesl , Nurettin Turan , Wolfgang Utschick

Several strategies have been developed recently to ensure valid inference after model selection; some of these are easy to compute, while others fare better in terms of inferential power. In this paper, we consider a selective inference…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-13 Snigdha Panigrahi , Jonathan Taylor

We present a Bayesian procedure for estimation of pairwise intervention effects in a high-dimensional system of categorical variables. We assume that we have observational data generated from an unknown causal Bayesian network for which…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-02 Vera Kvisgaard , Johan Pensar

We present a new Markov chain Monte Carlo method for estimating posterior probabilities of structural features in Bayesian networks. The method draws samples from the posterior distribution of partial orders on the nodes; for each sampled…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-02-20 Teppo Niinimaki , Pekka Parviainen , Mikko Koivisto

We reconsider a nonparametric density model based on Gaussian processes. By augmenting the model with latent P\'olya--Gamma random variables and a latent marked Poisson process we obtain a new likelihood which is conjugate to the model's…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-05-30 Christian Donner , Manfred Opper