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In this paper, we study the Exponential Random Graph Models (ERGMs) conditioning on the number of edges. In subcritical region of model parameters, we prove a conditional Central Limit Theorem (CLT) with explicit mean and variance for the…

概率论 · 数学 2025-06-19 Xiao Fang , Song-Hao Liu , Zhonggen Su , Xiaolin Wang

Suppose $B_i:= B(p,r_i)$ are nested balls of radius $r_i$ about a point $p$ in a dynamical system $(T,X,\mu)$. The question of whether $T^i x\in B_i$ infinitely often (i. o.) for $\mu$ a.e.\ $x$ is often called the shrinking target problem.…

动力系统 · 数学 2015-06-16 Nicolai Haydn , Matthew Nicol , Sandro Vaienti , Licheng Zhang

We study sample covariance matrices arising from multi-level components of variance. Thus, let $ B_n=\frac{1}{N}\sum_{j=1}^NT_{j}^{1/2}x_jx_j^TT_{j}^{1/2}$, where $x_j\in R^n$ are i.i.d. standard Gaussian, and…

概率论 · 数学 2024-06-07 Ran Xie , Iain Johnstone

Let $\{X_k\}_{k \in \mathbb{Z}}$ be a stationary Gaussian process with values in a separable Hilbert space $\mathcal{H}_1$, and let $G:\mathcal{H}_1 \to \mathcal{H}_2$ be an operator acting on $X_k$. Under suitable conditions on the…

概率论 · 数学 2024-05-21 Marie-Christine Düker , Pavlos Zoubouloglou

We prove quenched versions of (i) a large deviations principle (LDP), (ii) a central limit theorem (CLT), and (iii) a local central limit theorem (LCLT) for non-autonomous dynamical systems. A key advance is the extension of the spectral…

动力系统 · 数学 2018-02-14 Davor Dragicevic , Gary Froyland , Cecilia Gonzalez-Tokman , Sandro Vaienti

In this paper, we introduce the $\sigma$-antithetic multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) estimator for a multi-dimensional diffusion which is an extended version of the original antithetic MLMC one introduced by Giles and Szpruch \cite{a}. Our aim…

概率论 · 数学 2024-01-26 Mohamed Ben Alaya , Ahmed Kebaier , Thi Bao Tram Ngo

We give a closer look at the Central Limit Theorem (CLT) behavior in quasi-stationary states of the Hamiltonian Mean Field model, a paradigmatic one for long-range-interacting classical many-body systems. We present new calculations which…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-03-17 A. Pluchino , A. Rapisarda , C. Tsallis

Randomized block factorial experiments are widely used in industrial engineering, clinical trials, and social science. Researchers often use a linear model and analysis of covariance to analyze experimental results; however, limited studies…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-04 Hanzhong Liu , Jiyang Ren , Yuehan Yang

This work considers the asymptotic behavior of the distance between two sample covariance matrices (SCM). A general result is provided for a class of functionals that can be expressed as sums of traces of functions that are separately…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-12-25 Roberto Pereira , Xavier Mestre , David Gregoratti

We prove a variant of the central limit theorem (CLT) for a sequence of i.i.d. random variables $\xi_j$, perturbed by a stochastic sequence of linear transformations $A_j$, representing the model uncertainty. The limit, corresponding to a…

概率论 · 数学 2015-07-20 Dmitry B. Rokhlin

In this paper we introduce a general method for estimating the quadratic covariation of one or more spot parameters processes associated with continuous time semimartingales. This estimator is applicable to a wide range of spot parameter…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-11-26 Emil A. Stoltenberg , Per A. Mykland , Lan Zhang

We study dynamical systems arising as time-dependent compositions of Pomeau-Manneville-type intermittent maps. We establish central limit theorems for appropriately scaled and centered Birkhoff-like partial sums, with estimates on the rate…

动力系统 · 数学 2020-01-14 Olli Hella , Juho Leppänen

Tests for structural breaks in time series should ideally be sensitive to breaks in the parameter of interest, while being robust to nuisance changes. Statistical analysis thus needs to allow for some form of nonstationarity under the null…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-02 Fabian Mies

In this article we prove a new central limit theorem (CLT) for coupled particle filters (CPFs). CPFs are used for the sequential estimation of the difference of expectations w.r.t. filters which are in some sense close. Examples include the…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-14 Ajay Jasra , Fangyuan Yu

There has been remarkable progress over the past decade in establishing finite-sample, non-asymptotic bounds on recovering unknown system parameters from observed system behavior. Surprisingly, however, we show that the current…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-24 Yichen Zhou , Stephen Tu

We study the Central Limit Theorem (CLT) in the so-called mixed (anisotropic) Lebesgue-Riesz spaces and tail behavior of normed sums of centered random independent variables (vectors) with values in these spaces.

概率论 · 数学 2013-08-27 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) produces a correlated sample for estimating expectations with respect to a target distribution. A fundamental question is when should sampling stop so that we have good estimates of the desired quantities?…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-10-02 Dootika Vats , James M. Flegal , Galin L. Jones

We consider two classical ensembles of the random matrix theory: the Wigner matrices and sample covariance matrices, and prove Central Limit Theorem for linear eigenvalue statistics under rather weak (comparing with results known before)…

数学物理 · 物理学 2011-01-18 Mariya Shcherbina

We consider "randomized" statistics constructed by using a finite number of observations a random field at randomly chosen points. We generalize the invariance principle (the functional CLT), the Glivenko--Cantelli theorem, the theorem…

概率论 · 数学 2022-07-19 Youri Davydov , Arkady Tempelman

We prove a central limit theorem for the linear statistics of one-dimensional log-gases, or $\beta$-ensembles. We use a method based on a change of variables which allows to treat fairly general situations, including multi-cut and, for the…

数学物理 · 物理学 2018-02-08 Florent Bekerman , Thomas Leblé , Sylvia Serfaty