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A line of recent work has analyzed the behavior of the Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm in the well-specified setting, in which the population likelihood is locally strongly concave around its maximizing argument. Examples include…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-04-30 Raaz Dwivedi , Nhat Ho , Koulik Khamaru , Michael I. Jordan , Martin J. Wainwright , Bin Yu

Expectation Propagation is a very popular algorithm for variational inference, but comes with few theoretical guarantees. In this article, we prove that the approximation errors made by EP can be bounded. Our bounds have an asymptotic…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-01-12 Guillaume P Dehaene , Simon Barthelmé

We study a parametric estimation problem related to moment condition models. As an alternative to the generalized empirical likelihood (GEL) and the generalized method of moments (GMM), a Bayesian approach to the problem can be adopted,…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-03-02 Paul Rochet

We establish some new non-asymptotical lower bounds for deviation of regular unbiased estimation of unknown parameter from its true value in different norms, alike the classical Rao-Kramer's inequality. We show that if the new norm is…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-07-17 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

Consider a setting with $N$ independent individuals, each with an unknown parameter, $p_i \in [0, 1]$ drawn from some unknown distribution $P^\star$. After observing the outcomes of $t$ independent Bernoulli trials, i.e., $X_i \sim…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-02-13 Ramya Korlakai Vinayak , Weihao Kong , Gregory Valiant , Sham M. Kakade

Longitudinal imaging studies are essential to understanding the neural development of neuropsychiatric disorders, substance use disorders, and the normal brain. The main objective of this paper is to develop a two-stage adjusted…

应用统计 · 统计学 2011-08-12 Xiaoyan Shi , Joseph G. Ibrahim , Jeffrey Lieberman , Martin Styner , Yimei Li , Hongtu Zhu

We investigate the convergence properties of the EM algorithm when applied to overspecified Gaussian mixture models -- that is, when the number of components in the fitted model exceeds that of the true underlying distribution. Focusing on…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-16 Zhenisbek Assylbekov , Alan Legg , Artur Pak

This paper addresses maximum likelihood (ML) estimation based model fitting in the context of extrasolar planet detection. This problem is featured by the following properties: 1) the candidate models under consideration are highly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-07-24 Bin Liu , Ke-Jia Chen

The bias of an estimator is defined as the difference of its expected value from the parameter to be estimated, where the expectation is with respect to the model. Loosely speaking, small bias reflects the desire that if an experiment is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-02-16 Ioannis Kosmidis

The Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm is an iterative method to maximize the log-likelihood function for parameter estimation. Previous works on the convergence analysis of the EM algorithm have established results on the asymptotic…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-05-31 Chong Wu , Can Yang , Hongyu Zhao , Ji Zhu

In the usual statistical inference problem, we estimate an unknown parameter of a statistical model using the information in the random sample. A priori information about the parameter is also known in several real-life situations. One such…

The Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm is of key importance for inference in latent variable models including mixture of regressors and experts, missing observations. This paper introduces a novel EM algorithm, called…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-04 Gersende Fort , Eric Moulines , Hoi-To Wai

Estimation and inference for the Average Treatment Effect (ATE) is a cornerstone of causal inference and often serves as the foundation for developing procedures for more complicated settings. Although traditionally analyzed in a batch…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-02-10 Ojash Neopane , Aaditya Ramdas , Aarti Singh

Although persistent excitation is often acknowledged as a sufficient condition to exponentially converge in the field of adaptive parameter estimation, it must be noted that in practical applications this may be unguaranteed. Recently, more…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-03-19 Siyu Chen , Jing Na , Yingbo Huang

Causal inference problems often involve continuous treatments, such as dose, duration, or frequency. However, identifying and estimating standard dose-response estimands requires that everyone has some chance of receiving any level of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-28 Kyle Schindl , Shuying Shen , Edward H. Kennedy

We revisit the recently introduced Local Glivenko-Cantelli setting, which studies distribution-dependent uniform convergence rates of the Empirical Mean Estimator (EME). In this work, we investigate generalizations of this setting where…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-05-30 Doron Cohen , Aryeh Kontorovich , Roi Weiss

For the estimation of cumulative link models for ordinal data, the bias-reducing adjusted score equations in \citet{firth:93} are obtained, whose solution ensures an estimator with smaller asymptotic bias than the maximum likelihood…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-02-16 Ioannis Kosmidis

This paper studies the identification, estimation, and hypothesis testing problem in complete and incomplete economic models with testable assumptions. Testable assumptions ($A$) give strong and interpretable empirical content to the models…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-03-11 Moyu Liao

Much of the theory of estimation for exponential family models, which include exponential-family random graph models (ERGMs) as a special case, is well-established and maximum likelihood estimates in particular enjoy many desirable…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-09-07 Christian S. Schmid , David R. Hunter

In many applications, parameters of interest are estimated by solving some non-smooth estimating equations with $U$-statistic structure. Jackknife empirical likelihood (JEL) approach can solve this problem efficiently by reducing the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-06-18 Yongli Sang , Xin Dang , Yichuan Zhao