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Classical two-sample permutation tests for equality of distributions have exact size in finite samples, but they fail to control size for testing equality of parameters that summarize each distribution. This paper proposes permutation tests…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-04-22 Marinho Bertanha , EunYi Chung

We study the problem of multiple hypothesis testing for multidimensional data when inter-correlations are present. The problem of multiple comparisons is common in many applications. When the data is multivariate and correlated, existing…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-06-02 Mahdis Azadbakhsh , Xin Gao , Hanna Jankowski

Cross-validation can be used to measure a model's predictive accuracy for the purpose of model comparison, averaging, or selection. Standard leave-one-out cross-validation (LOO-CV) requires that the observation model can be factorized into…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-06-21 Paul-Christian Bürkner , Jonah Gabry , Aki Vehtari

In the Bayesian literature on model comparison, Bayes factors play the leading role. In the classical statistical literature, model selection criteria are often devised used cross-validation ideas. Amalgamating the ideas of Bayes factor and…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-06-12 Debashis Chatterjee , Sourabh Bhattacharya

Cross-validation (CV) is a common method to tune machine learning methods and can be used for model selection in regression as well. Because of the structured nature of small, traditional experimental designs, the literature has warned…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-06-18 Maria L. Weese , Byran J. Smucker , David J. Edwards

We propose two classes of nonparametric point estimators of $\theta=P(X<Y)$ in the case where $(X,Y)$ are paired, possibly dependent, absolutely continuous random variables. The proposed estimators are based on nonparametric estimators of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-03-27 J. A. Montoya , F. J. Rubio

Conditional density estimation generalizes regression by modeling a full density f(yjx) rather than only the expected value E(yjx). This is important for many tasks, including handling multi-modality and generating prediction intervals.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-06-26 Michael P. Holmes , Alexander G. Gray , Charles Lee Isbell

We consider the problem of testing the equality of conditional distributions of a response variable given a vector of covariates between two populations. Such a hypothesis testing problem can be motivated from various machine learning and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-24 Xiaoyu Hu , Jing Lei

Density ratio estimation in high dimensions can be reframed as integrating a certain quantity, the time score, over probability paths which interpolate between the two densities. In practice, the time score has to be estimated based on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-13 Hanlin Yu , Arto Klami , Aapo Hyvärinen , Anna Korba , Omar Chehab

We present new results for consistency of maximum likelihood estimators with a focus on multivariate mixed models. Our theory builds on the idea of using subsets of the full data to establish consistency of estimators based on the full…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-02-13 Karl Oskar Ekvall , Galin L. Jones

The decision to incorporate cross-validation into validation processes of mathematical models raises an immediate question - how should one partition the data into calibration and validation sets? We answer this question systematically: we…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2011-08-31 Rebecca Morrison , Corey Bryant , Gabriel Terejanu , Kenji Miki , Serge Prudhomme

This paper introduces a statistical test inferring whether a variable allows separating two classes by means of a single critical value. Its test statistic is the prediction error of a nonparametric threshold classifier. While this approach…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-07-17 Fabian Schroeder

In the network literature, a wide range of statistical models has been proposed to exploit structural patterns in the data. Therefore, model selection between different models is a fundamental problem. However, there remains a lack of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-05 Bokai Yang , Yuanxing Chen , Yuhong Yang

We formulate nonparametric and semiparametric hypothesis testing of multivariate stationary linear time series in a unified fashion and propose new test statistics based on estimators of the spectral density matrix. The limiting…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-09-03 Yoshihiro Yajima , Yasumasa Matsuda

In the field of modeling, the word validation refers to simple comparisons between model outputs and experimental data. Usually, this comparison constitutes plotting the model results against data on the same axes to provide a visual…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-06-11 Farid Mohammadi

In this paper, we consider nonparametric multidimensional finite mixture models and we are interested in the semiparametric estimation of the population weights. Here, the i.i.d. observations are assumed to have at least three components…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-12-14 Elisabeth Gassiat , Judith Rousseau , Elodie Vernet

Dealing with distribution shifts is one of the central challenges for modern machine learning. One fundamental situation is the covariate shift, where the input distributions of data change from training to testing stages while the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-28 Yu-Jie Zhang , Zhen-Yu Zhang , Peng Zhao , Masashi Sugiyama

Given a high-dimensional covariate matrix and a response vector, ridge-regularized sparse linear regression selects a subset of features that explains the relationship between covariates and the response in an interpretable manner. To…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-02-13 Ryan Cory-Wright , Andrés Gómez

We provide a distribution-free test that can be used to determine whether any two joint distributions $p$ and $q$ are statistically different by inspection of a large enough set of samples. Following recent efforts from Long et al. [1], we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-07-26 Francesco Solera , Andrea Palazzi

Complex and larger networks are becoming increasingly prevalent in scientific applications in various domains. Although a number of models and methods exist for such networks, cross-validation on networks remains challenging due to the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-12 Sayan Chakrabarty , Srijan Sengupta , Yuguo Chen